:Data_list: ws_refm.txt :Created: 2009 May 07 0010 UTC # # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center. # Please send comments and suggestions to SWPC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # Relative Electron Forcast Model # Based on observed solar wind speed from ACE spacecraft # and solar wind speed predictions from the Wang Sheeley model # (WS mode, 00 UTC Model Run) # # Observed values valid on date shown (00-00 UTC) # Forecasts valid for subsequent 24-hour periods, as specified # by forecast day number # # Units: fluence and forecast = electrons/cm2-da-sr # Missing data: SW Speed = -999, other fields = -9.9e+04 # # Observed Observed # UTC Date Fluence SW Speed Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast # YR MO DA (>2 MeV) (km/s) Day 2 Day 3 Day 4 Day 5 Day 6 Day 7 Day 8 #------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2009 03 08 5.8e+05 407 5.7e+05 5.0e+05 3.0e+05 3.4e+05 3.1e+05 3.3e+05 8.9e+05 2009 03 09 8.8e+05 381 3.9e+05 2.1e+05 2.3e+05 3.0e+05 4.0e+05 3.8e+05 -9.9e+04 2009 03 10 1.0e+06 330 1.8e+05 1.8e+05 2.1e+05 3.6e+05 4.2e+05 -9.9e+04 -9.9e+04 2009 03 11 6.6e+05 336 1.8e+05 2.0e+05 7.5e+05 9.4e+05 5.1e+05 1.7e+05 -9.9e+04 2009 03 12 2.1e+05 363 2.0e+05 7.1e+05 6.7e+05 3.7e+05 1.9e+05 3.3e+05 5.0e+06 2009 03 13 1.3e+06 508 2.1e+06 1.7e+06 5.7e+05 3.7e+05 7.0e+05 1.5e+06 -9.9e+04 2009 03 14 3.1e+07 551 3.5e+06 1.1e+06 9.5e+05 4.1e+05 7.0e+05 8.1e+05 1.1e+06 2009 03 15 1.3e+08 466 1.9e+06 1.6e+06 5.3e+05 1.2e+06 1.2e+06 8.2e+05 -9.9e+04 2009 03 16 9.9e+07 425 3.0e+06 9.2e+05 1.4e+06 2.0e+06 9.9e+05 -9.9e+04 -9.9e+04 2009 03 17 8.0e+07 388 9.7e+05 1.4e+06 6.6e+06 1.9e+07 2.2e+07 1.2e+07 1.1e+09 2009 03 18 7.5e+07 338 1.5e+06 7.4e+06 1.7e+07 2.2e+07 1.2e+07 6.3e+06 -9.9e+04 2009 03 19 4.9e+07 300 4.1e+06 1.1e+07 2.6e+07 2.1e+07 3.9e+07 4.2e+07 -9.9e+04 2009 03 20 3.0e+07 336 3.9e+06 1.1e+07 1.2e+07 2.7e+07 4.5e+07 5.0e+07 7.4e+08 2009 03 21 1.4e+06 411 5.1e+06 5.6e+06 1.5e+07 9.5e+06 1.7e+07 3.0e+07 1.1e+09 2009 03 22 1.7e+05 425 3.0e+06 7.5e+06 5.5e+06 1.0e+07 1.6e+07 2.1e+07 -9.9e+04 2009 03 23 2.7e+05 395 6.0e+06 4.0e+06 7.1e+06 1.2e+07 1.3e+07 -9.9e+04 -9.9e+04 2009 03 24 2.1e+05 427 3.5e+06 5.8e+06 8.8e+06 4.1e+06 3.2e+06 4.5e+06 1.6e+07 2009 03 25 5.4e+06 476 1.0e+07 1.4e+07 4.6e+06 3.6e+06 3.4e+06 4.4e+06 -9.9e+04 2009 03 26 6.2e+06 451 1.9e+07 5.8e+06 6.2e+06 8.2e+06 6.5e+06 3.5e+06 -9.9e+04 2009 03 27 7.2e+06 420 4.8e+06 5.5e+06 3.1e+06 4.7e+06 6.1e+06 1.1e+07 1.6e+07 2009 03 28 7.4e+06 406 7.3e+06 4.1e+06 4.8e+06 7.3e+06 7.8e+06 6.5e+06 -9.9e+04 2009 03 29 6.8e+06 421 4.6e+06 5.3e+06 2.8e+06 5.5e+06 5.6e+06 6.6e+06 5.2e+06 2009 03 30 5.1e+06 416 7.1e+06 3.5e+06 4.9e+06 5.5e+06 4.9e+06 4.6e+06 -9.9e+04 2009 03 31 4.9e+06 390 3.2e+06 4.5e+06 3.1e+06 2.3e+06 8.5e+05 8.6e+05 -9.9e+04 2009 04 01 5.5e+06 353 4.5e+06 3.2e+06 2.0e+06 7.8e+05 6.7e+05 -9.9e+04 -9.9e+04 2009 04 02 3.2e+06 328 1.7e+06 1.2e+06 5.1e+05 5.4e+05 5.5e+05 4.2e+05 2.0e+06 2009 04 03 2.7e+06 289 5.7e+05 2.6e+05 3.3e+05 3.4e+05 2.5e+05 9.8e+05 -9.9e+04 2009 04 04 2.9e+06 279 1.7e+05 2.1e+05 2.5e+05 1.8e+05 2.2e+05 7.1e+05 -9.9e+04 2009 04 05 1.4e+06 367 3.1e+05 3.2e+05 1.9e+05 2.2e+05 9.1e+05 1.7e+06 1.2e+06 2009 04 06 1.1e+06 398 5.3e+05 2.8e+05 2.2e+05 3.3e+05 5.5e+05 4.2e+05 1.8e+05 2009 04 07 8.8e+05 367 3.9e+05 2.9e+05 3.2e+05 7.0e+05 6.1e+05 4.3e+05 4.3e+05 2009 04 08 8.0e+05 339 3.7e+05 4.0e+05 7.0e+05 5.7e+05 3.3e+05 3.2e+05 -9.9e+04 2009 04 09 9.5e+04 452 8.8e+05 1.4e+06 7.0e+05 3.7e+05 2.7e+05 -9.9e+04 -9.9e+04 2009 04 10 1.3e+07 500 5.3e+06 2.3e+06 5.0e+05 2.0e+05 2.2e+05 2.6e+05 -9.9e+04 2009 04 11 6.4e+07 526 8.6e+06 1.8e+06 4.6e+05 4.3e+05 3.2e+05 -9.9e+04 -9.9e+04 2009 04 12 2.4e+08 491 5.8e+06 1.5e+06 1.0e+06 7.6e+05 -9.9e+04 -9.9e+04 -9.9e+04 2009 04 13 1.6e+08 416 4.1e+06 2.9e+06 1.3e+06 7.9e+06 6.9e+06 4.6e+06 -9.9e+04 2009 04 14 1.3e+08 347 4.5e+06 2.2e+06 1.3e+07 1.3e+07 6.4e+06 -9.9e+04 -9.9e+04 2009 04 15 4.4e+07 314 1.8e+06 1.3e+07 6.6e+06 5.6e+06 3.8e+06 1.9e+06 -9.9e+04 2009 04 16 1.6e+07 343 1.3e+07 7.3e+06 1.2e+07 4.8e+06 8.8e+06 1.0e+07 3.4e+07 2009 04 17 6.2e+06 433 4.3e+06 7.7e+06 4.8e+06 9.7e+06 1.2e+07 2.3e+07 -9.9e+04 2009 04 18 1.4e+06 492 1.3e+07 7.8e+06 6.6e+06 1.3e+07 1.7e+07 1.1e+07 -9.9e+04 2009 04 19 1.4e+06 463 9.9e+06 8.1e+06 1.6e+07 1.7e+07 1.2e+07 6.0e+06 -9.9e+04 2009 04 20 2.0e+06 444 1.3e+07 2.4e+07 1.5e+07 6.2e+06 3.6e+06 2.4e+06 -9.9e+04 2009 04 21 2.5e+06 431 3.1e+07 1.9e+07 7.8e+06 4.5e+06 3.8e+06 2.4e+06 -9.9e+04 2009 04 22 3.2e+06 399 1.3e+07 5.7e+06 4.7e+06 3.0e+06 2.0e+06 1.3e+06 -9.9e+04 2009 04 23 4.0e+06 364 4.3e+06 3.9e+06 3.1e+06 1.6e+06 1.5e+06 2.1e+06 -9.9e+04 2009 04 24 1.7e+06 396 4.2e+06 3.5e+06 2.5e+06 1.6e+06 1.8e+06 1.4e+06 -9.9e+04 2009 04 25 3.7e+05 412 3.8e+06 2.8e+06 1.6e+06 1.1e+06 8.4e+05 9.9e+05 1.5e+06 2009 04 26 7.6e+05 384 2.7e+06 1.7e+06 1.3e+06 8.7e+05 9.2e+05 8.4e+05 -9.9e+04 2009 04 27 7.4e+05 370 1.6e+06 1.3e+06 2.2e+06 1.6e+06 9.0e+05 5.3e+05 -9.9e+04 2009 04 28 9.8e+05 335 1.1e+06 2.0e+06 1.7e+06 9.3e+05 4.7e+05 -9.9e+04 -9.9e+04 2009 04 29 7.4e+05 339 1.9e+06 1.6e+06 1.1e+06 5.1e+05 -9.9e+04 -9.9e+04 -9.9e+04 2009 04 30 3.3e+05 334 8.0e+05 5.5e+05 4.4e+05 2.9e+05 2.6e+05 3.3e+05 -9.9e+04 2009 05 01 4.2e+05 317 3.0e+05 2.4e+05 3.3e+05 3.2e+05 3.5e+05 4.9e+05 -9.9e+04 2009 05 02 3.2e+05 316 1.8e+05 2.3e+05 2.5e+05 2.8e+05 3.8e+05 -9.9e+04 -9.9e+04 2009 05 03 2.3e+05 356 2.6e+05 2.5e+05 2.5e+05 3.4e+05 -9.9e+04 -9.9e+04 -9.9e+04 2009 05 04 1.4e+05 376 2.8e+05 2.6e+05 1.8e+06 5.9e+06 5.6e+06 2.6e+06 -9.9e+04 2009 05 05 2.0e+05 337 2.5e+05 1.6e+06 1.2e+06 7.4e+05 2.8e+05 1.9e+05 -9.9e+04 2009 05 06 1.3e+05 388 2.0e+06 1.4e+06 1.2e+06 5.2e+05 2.6e+05 3.4e+05 -9.9e+04