:Product: 0406RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Apr 06 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 096 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Apr 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours and the solar disk remains spotless
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for 07 April.  Quiet to unsettled conditions
are expected for 08 April as a recurrent coronal hole high speed
stream becomes geoeffective.  Predominately unsettled levels with
periods of active conditions are expected for 09 April under the
influence of the coronal hole.
III.  Event Probabilities 07 Apr-09 Apr
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           06 Apr 069
Predicted   07 Apr-09 Apr  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        06 Apr 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Apr  003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Apr  002/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Apr-09 Apr  005/005-007/008-010/015
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Apr-09 Apr
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/30/35
Minor storm           01/05/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/05
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/35/35
Minor storm           01/10/15
Major-severe storm    01/05/05