:Product: 0312RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Mar 12 2201 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 071 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Mar 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  11/2100Z
to 12/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to increase to unsettled to active levels during days 1 - 2
(13 - 14 March) with a chance for minor to major storm periods at
high latitudes due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream.
Field activity is expected to decrease to mostly quiet levels on day
3 (15 March).
III.  Event Probabilities 13 Mar-15 Mar
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           12 Mar 070
Predicted   13 Mar-15 Mar  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        12 Mar 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 11 Mar  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Mar  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Mar-15 Mar  012/015-010/010-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Mar-15 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/20/10
Minor storm           10/10/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                30/30/15
Minor storm           20/20/05
Major-severe storm    05/05/01