HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
752 AM EDT TUE MAY 05 2009
 
VALID 00Z WED MAY 06 2009 - 00Z WED MAY 13 2009
 

SEMIZONAL PAC FLOW CONTS THRU TEH PERIOD WITH BELOW AVG HTS. A
MEAN MID LEVEL TROF STILL EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WITH ITS AXIS NEAR
160W AND EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO THE 10 DAY RANGE.
MODELS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT THRU ABOUT DAY 4 BUT THEN
DIFFER IN DEPTH OF AMPLITUDE AN TROF LOCATION WITH ECMWF/CMC AND
UKMET HAVING THE STRONGEST SOLUTIONS. AT THE SURFACE LT TRADES
CONT THRU THE PERIOD. GFS GUIDANCE INDICATES A DRY PERIOD. LATE
PERIOD CMC/ECMWF DEEPER TROF GIVES POTENTAIL OF PULLING NWD MORE
TROPICAL MOSITURE AND A BETTER CHANCE OF SOME SHOWERS. 
ROSENSTEIN