Model Links:
- Introduction
- Latest Output (1-day)
- Latest Output (7-day)
- Output List
- Historical Validation
- References
Post comments to
Terry Onsager@noaa.gov
Figure Description:
This graphic shows the latest output over the past 24 hours in two panels.
The top panel plots the magnitude of the predicted index in Kp units and
the 3-hour interval over which the prediction is valid (solid bar for
the latest and dotted for older predictions). Error bars are plotted on
the most recent prediction to show the 50% confidence interval. The most
recent observed estimates of the Kp index, as determined by the US Air Force,
are overplotted in blue. The predictions are color coded according to the
amount of solar wind data that was available for each model run, ranging
from green (most data) to yellow (little data). The bottom panel plots
the lead time of the prediction, which is the propagation time from L1 to
the Earth. Note that the lead time points are plotted at the model run time
whereas the corresponding prediction points in the top panel are plotted
at the model valid time (run time + propagation time), which is usually
30-90 minutes into the future.
Updating page with graph only.
