ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL

SPENES

MSZ000-LAZ000-ARZ000-

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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/05/09 1030Z

SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678

LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1015Z KUSSELSON

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LOCATION...C MISSISSIPPI...N LOUISIANA...S ARKANSAS...

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ATTN WFOS...JAN...LZK...SHV...

ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...

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EVENT...HIGHLIGHTED HPC SLIGHT RISK OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FF GUIDANCE...

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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SCATTERED AREA OF CONVECTION ALREADY
ORGANIZED INTO A FOCUSED BAND OR TWO ALONG THE AR-LA BORDERS INTO CENTRAL
MS ON NOSE OF WEAK JET COMING IN FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS.

EXPECTING BAND OF RAIN/SHOWERS CONTINUING TO DEVELOP NW OK BACK INTO

SW KS TO DRIFT SE AND FURTHER DEVELOP NEXT 6 HRS ACROSS OK AND THINK
THIS WILL ALL HELP ACTIVATE HEIGHTENED FF POTENTIAL CENTERED SE OK...

NE TX ACROSS S AR/EXT N LA INTO MS FOR LATER TODAY.  HIGHEST PRECIP
WATER VALUES FROM S GA THRU S AL TO JUST SOUTH OF FOCUSED AREA (S MS/

C LA) AND BACK INTO N CENTRAL TX.  GOOD LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION
BEGINNING TO FLOW INTO OK FROM N CENTRAL TX AND WILL HELP CONVECTION/

HVY RAIN GET GOING THERE AS THE DAY GOES ON.   ADDITIONAL MOISTURE
ADVECTION/TRANSPORT NE TX THRU C MS WILL HELP THAT ASPECT OF THE HVY
RAIN THREAT INCREASE AND THE REASON NCEP HPC KEYS ON THE S AR INTO MS

AREA FOR LATER TODAY AND MORE IMPORTANTLY TONIGHT.   WILL CONTINUE
TO MONITOR...

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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.

....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....

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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:

HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/

...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/

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LAT...LON 3382 9296 3359 8977 3242 8998 3257 9232 3262 9263



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