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OKZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/05/09 1438ZSATELLITE
ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-EAST:1415Z  JS
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LOCATION...WESTERN TO SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
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ATTN WFOS...TSA...OUN...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...
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EVENT...DEVELOPING COMPLEX OVER WESTERN OK SHOULD CONTINUE TO BECOME
MORE ORGANIZED AS THE DAY PROGRESSES.
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IR LOOP THROUGH 1415Z SHOWS CLOUD
TOPS EXPANDING/COOLING WITH BATCH OF STORMS MOVING MAINLY TO THE EAST
ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA. AUTOMATED SATELLITE ESTIMATING TECHNIQUES
ARE INDICATING STORM TOTALS APPROACHING 1.5" ACROSS APPROXIMATE AXIS
STRETCHING FROM ROGER MILLS TO WASHITA/CUSTER COUNTIES WITH MUCH OF THIS
OCCURRING DURING THE PAST HOUR. AS PER RECENT SWOMCD AS WELL AS ANALYSIS
OF SATELLITE DATA/TRENDS, BELIEVE ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AS
IT SPREADS TO THE EAST WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT ALSO OCCURRING ALONG
THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE COMPLEX WHERE BEST LOW LEVEL JET/WARM
ADVECTION IS FOCUSED. THE MOST RECENT GOES IMAGE AT 1415Z SHOWS BETTER
IR ENHANCEMENT/OVERSHOOTING CLOUD TOPS EVEN FARTHER TO THE SOUTH DOWN
INTO NE KIOWA/SRN CADDO COUNTIES WITH VISIBLE IMAGERY/COMPOSITE RADAR
ANIMATIONS POINTING TOWARD MORE CELL DEVELOPMENT TOWARD RED RIVER REGION
OF SW OK. AS STATED EARLIER EXPECT ACTIVITY TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
IN RAINFALL EFFICIENCY AS ACTIVITY PROGRESSES MORE TO THE EAST/SOUTHEAST
INTO SOMEWHAT MORE MOIST ENVIRONMENT. CONVECTION WILL ALSO LIKELY GET A
BOOST LATER TODAY WITH THE APPROACH OF UPPER LEVEL SPEED MAX NOW PUSHING
FROM THE GREAT BASIN TOWARD THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AS DEPICTED IN RECENT
GOES HIGH DENSITY WIND PLOT. AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOULD BE
ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10 MINUTES.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3578 9913 3570 9660 3441 9659 3442 9902
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