Assumptions to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003

Table 48.   Cost and Performance Characteristics for Fossil-Fueled Generating Technologies:  Three Cases

   

 Total  Overnight
Cost
in 2002

Total Overnight Cost1

Heatrate in  2002

Heat Rate

 

 (Reference)

Reference

High Fossil

Low Fossil

(Reference)

Reference

High Fossil

Low Fossil

 

(2001$/kW)

(2001$/kW)

(2001$/kW)

(2001$/kW)

Btu/kWhr

Btu/kWhr

Btu/kWhr

Btu/kWhr


  Pulverized Coal

1155

     

9000

     

    2010

 

1128

1134

1128

 

8689

8689

8689

    2015

 

1101

1022

1095

 

8600

8600

8600

    2020

 

1086

1109

1079

 

8600

8600

8600

    2025

 

1080

1097

1072

 

8600

8600

8600

  Adv. Coal

1367

     

8000

     

   2010

 

1320

1023

1367

 

7378

6799

7911

   2015

 

1290

998

1367

 

7200

6104

7911

   2020

 

1260

973

1367

 

7200

5687

7911

   2025

 

1231

949

1367

 

7200

5687

7911

Conv Combined Cycle

536

     

7500

     

   2010

 

527

527

527

 

7056

7056

7056

   2015

 

521

521

521

 

7000

7000

7000

   2020

 

515

515

515

 

7000

7000

7000

   2025

 

509

509

509

 

7000

7000

7000

Adv. Gas Technology

608

     

7000

     

   2010

 

549

549

608

 

6422

5717

6928

   2015

 

513

513

608

 

6350

4960

6928

   2020

 

503

503

608

 

6350

4960

6928

   2025

 

494

494

608

 

6350

4960

6928

Conv. Combustion
     Turbine

409

     

10939

     

   2010

 

402

402

402

 

10450

10450

10450

   2015

 

397

397

397

 

10450

10450

10450

   2020

 

393

393

393

 

10450

10450

10450

   2025

 

388

388

388

 

10450

10450

10450

Adv. Combustion
     Turbine

461

     

9394

     

   2010

 

391

391

461

 

8550

6669

9394

   2015

 

355

355

461

 

8550

6669

9394

   2020

 

351

351

461

 

8550

6669

9394

   2025

 

348

348

461

 

8550

6669

9394

1.  Total overnight cost (including project contingency, technological optimism and learning factors, but excluding regional multipliers), for projects initiated in the given year.
Source: AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System runs: AEO2003.D110502C, HFOSS03.D110602A, LFOSS03.D110602A.