Each year since 1996, EIA’s Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting has produced a comparison between realized energy outcomes and the projections included in previous editions of the AEO. Each year, the comparison adds the projections from the most recent AEO and updates the historical data to the most recently available.  The comparison summarizes the relationship of the AEO reference case projections since 1982 to realized outcomes by calculating the average absolute percent differences for several of the major variables for AEO82 through AEO2006.

Annual Energy Outlook Retrospective Review, 2006 Report
Revisions to Gross Domestic Product and Implications for the Comparisons

Table 1. Summary of Differences between AEO Reference Cases and Realized Outcomes
Table 2. Comparison of Absolute Percent Difference Between AEO Reference Case Projections and Realized Outcomes
Actual vs. Reference Case Projection Tables
Table 3. Gross Domestic Product
Table 4. World Oil Prices
Table 5. Total Petroleum Consumption
Table 6. Domestic Crude Oil Production
Table 7. Petroleum Net Imports
Table 8. Natural Gas Wellhead Prices
Table 9. Total Natural Gas Consumption
Table 10. Natural Gas Production
Table 11. Natural Gas Net Imports
Table 12. Coal Prices to Electric Generating Plants
Table 13.Total Coal Consumption
Table 14. Coal Production
Table 15. Average Electricity Prices
Table 16. Total Electricity Sales
Table 17. Total Energy Consumption
Table 18. Total Carbon Dioxide Emissions
Table 19. Energy Intensity