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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
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000
FNUS54 KMRX 060827
FWFMRX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
427 AM EDT MON OCT 6 2008
.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS THROUGH TUESDAY. AT MID WEEK A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL APPROACH
FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WITH INCREASING CLOUDS...SHOWERS AND A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-071000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
427 AM EDT MON OCT 6 2008
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND) 77-82 (+1) 50-55 (+1) 74-79
RH % (24H TREND) 24-29 (-3) 70-75 (+2) 32-37
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7400 4900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 7 SE 10
DISPERSION 31 27
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-071000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
427 AM EDT MON OCT 6 2008
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND) 75-80 (+1) 47-52 (+2) 71-76
RH % (24H TREND) 25-30 (-4) 77-82 (+2) 37-42
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7000 5000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 7 SE 14
DISPERSION 27 8
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ072-074-071000-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
427 AM EDT MON OCT 6 2008
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND) 74-79 (+2) 46-51 (+2) 70-75
RH % (24H TREND) 22-27 (-7) 74-79 (+3) 31-36
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) NE 5 LGT/VAR E 6
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6500 5300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 9 SE 14
DISPERSION 28 27
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
$$
TNZ087-102-071000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
427 AM EDT MON OCT 6 2008
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 78-83 (+1) 46-51 (+2) 73-78
RH % (24H TREND) 22-27 (-9) 82-87 (0) 31-36
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 5
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6900 5400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 10 SE 18
DISPERSION 43 53
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. HIGHS IN
THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
NCZ060-061-071000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
427 AM EDT MON OCT 6 2008
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 77-82 (+1) 43-48 (-1) 72-77
RH % (24H TREND) 20-25 (-11) 87-92 (+8) 29-34
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6800 5500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 12 SE 21
DISPERSION 46 41
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. HIGHS
IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-071000-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
427 AM EDT MON OCT 6 2008
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND) 78-83 (0) 48-53 (+1) 76-81
RH % (24H TREND) 27-32 (-1) 80-85 (+3) 33-38
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7400 5300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 7 SE 13
DISPERSION 35 40
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
$$
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-071000-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
427 AM EDT MON OCT 6 2008
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 79-84 (+1) 50-55 (+1) 77-82
RH % (24H TREND) 27-32 (-4) 80-85 (+1) 33-38
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
LASI 5 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 7600 6400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 8 SE 13
DISPERSION 42 58
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-071000-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
427 AM EDT MON OCT 6 2008 /327 AM CDT MON OCT 6 2008/
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND) 81-86 (+1) 52-57 (+3) 77-82
RH % (24H TREND) 25-30 (-8) 79-84 (-7) 33-38
20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 6
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
LASI 4 4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6300 6500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 12 S 23
DISPERSION 49 103
REMARKS...NONE.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
$$
TG/TD
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