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Above-average prices threaten food security in West Africa

Las condiciones estimadas de seguridad de alimento, Cuarto 1 2009 (enero-marzo)

Generalmente en Seguridad Alimentaria
Inseguridad Alimentaria Moderada
Inseguridad Alimentaria Alta
Inseguridad Alimentaria Extrema
Hambruna
Ningunos Datos

Condiciones Favorables
Un Tanto Favorable
Falta Temporal de Lluvia
Sequía
Sequía Severa
Preocupación Humanitaria

Evento Extremo
Nieve Fuerte
Lluvias Fuertes
Inundaciónes
Levantando Polvo
Frio Extremo
Calor Extremo

Los datos geográficos son parcialmente derivados del sistema GAUL de NN.UU/FAO. Lea la Denegación

Africa del Oeste

Burkina Faso

03/02/2009

Food security conditions are generally good for the country, but urban households are increasingly affected by increases in cereals prices.
Grai ... más
- Food security conditions are generally good for the country, but urban households are increasingly affected by increases in cereals prices.
- Grain importers from coastal west Africa have begun their purchases in Burkina Faso earlier than usual. Producers are also holding onto parts of their grain stocks in anticipation of higher prices in coming months. These combined factors resulted in normal increases in cereals prices observed in January.
- Terms of trade for herders remain favorable, due to the continuing strength of animal prices.
Centro de País de Burkina Faso
Chad | Mali | Mauritania | Niger | Nigeria | Centro Regional

Africa del Sud

Mozambique

04/03/2009

In the south, drought conditions over the past two years, extremely high food prices, and the delay in the start of rains this season are the main causes of ... más
- In the south, drought conditions over the past two years, extremely high food prices, and the delay in the start of rains this season are the main causes of prevailing food insecurity, particularly in inland Gaza and Inhambane and parts of Maputo provinces. As a result of seasonal rains, the impact of drought has been minimized. Water for human and animal consumptions improved greatly and green maize, cowpeas, and peanuts are increasingly available. In Nampula, food security has become a significant concern for households in Mogincual District, due to multiple hazards, and immediate food assistance is required.
- Despite dry spells over the last month, the current cropping season is progressing well in most places. Crops are now reaching the flowering to maturity stage and there are places where harvests have already started. Additional rain will be required through the end of March in places where planting started late.
- Maize price increases have been higher this year than in previous years. The continuously high price of maize and the inability of poor households to generate income following last season’s poor harvests have reduced the ability of households to access enough quality food on markets, even though food is available.
- Prices remain well above the five-year average and prices last years in the whole country. While normally seasonal price drops are expected in February/March, in anticipation of the harvest onset, this year effective and significant drops will probably occur later.
Centro de País de Mozambique
Malawi | Zambia | Zimbabwe | Centro Regional

Caribe

Haiti

12/02/2009

The number of food insecure people in Haiti is estimated at approximately 3 million, about one the third of the population. The most affected zones are in th ... más
- The number of food insecure people in Haiti is estimated at approximately 3 million, about one the third of the population. The most affected zones are in the departments of Nord-Ouest, Artibonite, Sud-Est, Nippes and the Grande Anse.
- In the most likely scenario, food prices will continue to drop during the first six months of 2009, despite the below-normal harvest now in progress. This assumption is based on the declining cereal price trend on the international market. In this scenario, the number of people who are food insecure should slightly decrease from 3 million to approximately 2.8 million.
- The worst case scenario is primarily based on upcoming April-June seasonal rains being insufficient and badly distributed; the occurrence of floods and landslides during May and June (beginning of the cyclone season; and the continuation of the global financial crisis during an election period. In this scenario, the number of food insecure people would increase to approximately 3.1 million during the period of April-June 2009.
Centro de País de Haiti

Africa del Este

Djibouti

23/02/2009

Good seasonal rains from October to January have improved livestock conditions in many areas, and the production of milk, butter and livestock is satisfactor ... más
- Good seasonal rains from October to January have improved livestock conditions in many areas, and the production of milk, butter and livestock is satisfactory in all areas except the Northwest and the Southeast border pastoral livelihood zones.
- In urban areas, very poor households are resorting to negative coping strategies to meet minimum food needs, given the high cost of the minimum expenditure basket.
- The prospects of food security in inland areas, particularly in the Northwest, will be subject to the performance of the Sougoum/Diraa (March to May) rains which are vital for replenishing pasture, browse and water conditions in the livestock dependant areas of Northwest after almost five months of normal dry season.
- Food aid distributions across the country’s rural areas are continuing. This assistance is improving food security and mitigating the impacts of consecutive poor seasons on pastoral households.
Centro de País de Djibouti
Etiopía | Kenía | Somalia | Sudan | Tanzania | Uganda | Centro Regional

América Central

Guatemala

13/02/2009

La disponibilidad de alimentos para los hogares de subsistencia mejorará durante el presente trimestre (enero-marzo), luego de la reciente cosecha en el alti ... más
- La disponibilidad de alimentos para los hogares de subsistencia mejorará durante el presente trimestre (enero-marzo), luego de la reciente cosecha en el altiplano y la cosecha de postrera en el resto del país, incluyendo el norte. Las reservas de los hogares pobres a lo largo del país empezarán a disminuir hacia el final del trimestre. La reducción anticipada en los precios luego de la cosecha y la demanda estacional de mano de obra no calificada mejorará el acceso económico, particularmente para los hogares que dependen de la compra de sus alimentos. Sin embargo, pérdidas en los cultivos comerciales también se esperan debido a las heladas y frentes fríos. Debido a todos estos factores, el número de personas en inseguridad alimentaria y nutricional aumentará de aproximadamente 1.8 millones a 1,885,666.
- En el escenario más probable de abril a junio, el número de personas en inseguridad alimentaria y nutricional disminuirá de un estimado de 1,885,666 a 1,824,393. Este periodo cubre la temporada anual de escasez, cuando los precios normalmente llegan a sus máximos, pero no se espera que los precios lleguen a niveles extremos, y se esperarían condiciones climáticas favorables para una siembra de granos básicos de primera normal. La disponibilidad de alimentos mejorará luego de la cosecha en febrero y marzo, beneficiando a aquellos que fueron afectados por la Depresión Tropical 16 en octubre 2008.
- En el peor escenario de abril a junio, los pobres rendimientos de la cosecha de febrero-marzo en el norte afectarán la disponibilidad de alimentos y precios, el índice de inflación incrementará hasta dos dígitos, y las condiciones climáticas de La Niña se reestablecerán, causando una temporada lluviosa irregular y fuerte. El número de personas que enfrentarán la inseguridad alimentaria y nutricional podría incrementar en 103,431, a un estimado de 1.9 millones.
Centro de País de Guatemala

Asia Central

Afghanistan

25/11/2008

Taking into consideration the magnitude of current donor-funded food security programs and recent imports, food security is likely to remain stable through F ... más
- Taking into consideration the magnitude of current donor-funded food security programs and recent imports, food security is likely to remain stable through February 2008, although typical seasonal increases in human and animal morbidity are likely to occur during the wet season.
- In comparison to the beginning of the 2007-2008 winter, the forecast for this year looks optimistic in terms of both precipitation and temperature.
- Retail wheat prices continue to decline in all reference markets. However, in comparison to both the five-year average and 2007, prices remain high.
Centro de País de Afghanistan

Monitoreo de clima y cultivos

Observatorio de precios

Archivo

Más Reciente 30/01/2009
Previo: 05/01/2009

More Markets and Trade products

Resumen Ejecutivo

Archivo

Más Reciente 25/02/2009
Previo: 31/01/2009

Alertas Más Recientes

Africa del Oeste	17/02/2009
Above-average prices threaten food security
Somalia	04/02/2009
Resources urgently needed for food insecurity

También con alerta

Chad | Etiopía | Guatemala | Haiti | Kenía | Zimbabwe

Informes Especiales

Archivo

Africa del Sud	19/02/2009
Impact of global food crisis on Moz HHs
Somalia	09/01/2009
Deyr seasonal rainfall performance mixed

Amenazas Climáticas

Archivo

Afghanistan	24/02/2009
Afghan: Extreme cold in the northeast
Afghanistan	04/03/2009
Afghan: Possible flooding in the west

Planificación de Respuesta

Acerca de Planificación
El Proceso de Planificación de Contingencia
El Proceso de Planificación de Respuesta

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