Overview
The agricultural baseline database provides longrun, 10-year projections
from USDA's annual long-term projections report, which is published in February
each year. The database covers projections
for major field crops (corn, sorghum, barley, oats, wheat, rice,
soybeans, and upland cotton) and livestock (beef, pork, poultry
and eggs, and dairy) starting with the February 2000 report.
Data Files
Search the
database interactively—View, graph, and/or download
database variables for major field crops and livestock.
Type of Data and Component Software
Interactive long-term projections data can be saved as a comma delimited output
file, tab delimited output file, or an HTML output file.
All long-term projections are available in Excel or Lotus
(wk1) spreadsheets.
Release Date
The database is updated in conjunction with USDA's annual agricultural
long-term projections report, which is released in February each year.
Printed Versions of Long-Term Agricultural Projections Data
The most recent projections may be
accessed electronically through the USDA
Long-Term Agricultural Projections Report in Adobe PDF or Microsoft Word.
Longrun projections data in Previous
Long-Term Projections Reports are also available.
Questions and Answers
Question: What time period does the long-term projections report cover?
Answer: The report contains 2 years of history and 10 years of projections. For example, data from the February 2009
USDA
projections report include estimated historical observations and short-term
projections for 2007 and 2008 from the November 2008 World
Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report, followed
by 10 years of long-term projections for 2009 through 2018.
Question: What assumptions underlie the long-term projections?
Answer: The projections are based on specific assumptions
regarding macroeconomic conditions, policy, weather, and international
developments. Normal weather is assumed. Further, the projections assume
that there are no shocks to other factors affecting global agricultural
supply and demand. Current agricultural legislation
is assumed to remain in effect throughout the projections.
Printed Versions of Long-Term Agricultural Projections Data
The most recent projections may be
accessed electronically through the USDA
Long-Term Agricultural Projections Report in Adobe PDF or Microsoft Word.
Longrun projections data in Previous
Long-Term Projections Reports are also available.
Related Data Products
Additional long-term projections information for other data are available
in Excel or Lotus
(wk1) spreadsheets. These include data for macroeconomic
and farm policy assumptions, as well as projections for specialty
crops, farm income, food prices, and global agricultural trade.
International Long-Term
Projections
for major crops for selected countries are available in Excel spreadsheets.
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