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Subject: G12) What is my chance of having a
tropical storm or hurricane strike by each month?
Contributed by Chris Landsea
The following figures show that for
These figures were created by Todd Kimberlain.
at any particular location what the chance that a tropical storm
or hurricane will affect the area
sometime during an individual month. We utilized the years 1944
to 1999 in the analysis and counted hits when a storm or hurricane
was within about 100 miles (165 km).
Many folks are are concerned about the possible impacts that
a hurricane could have on their vacation. If so, please
check with your hotel, cruise company, etc. to find out how they
inform their guests when a hurricane is coming, what actions they
plan and what refund policies they have (if any). Keep in mind
that a direct hit by a major hurricane is an extremely rare event
and if I had a chance - for example - to go on a cruise in the
Caribbean Sea during hurricane season, I would go without hesitation.
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