Historical Trends (1981-2005)
Mortality, United States, Lung & Bronchus, White (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes
Mortality, United States, Lung & Bronchus, Black (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes
Mortality, United States, Lung & Bronchus, Hispanic (any race), All Ages, Both Sexes
Mortality, United States, Lung & Bronchus, API (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes
Mortality, United States, Lung & Bronchus, AI/AN (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes
Mortality, United States, Lung & Bronchus, White (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes
Line graph with 25 years and 3 segments
During 1981-1990, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.6 to 2.0.
During 1990-1995, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was statistically stable: -0.1 with a 95% confidence interval from -0.6 to 0.5.
During 1995-2005, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was slightly falling: -0.9 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to -0.7.
Yearly points:
In 1981, the observed rate was 49.3. The estimated rate was 49.8.
In 1982, the observed rate was 50.8. The estimated rate was 50.7.
In 1983, the observed rate was 51.7. The estimated rate was 51.6.
In 1984, the observed rate was 52.6. The estimated rate was 52.5.
In 1985, the observed rate was 53.7. The estimated rate was 53.4.
In 1986, the observed rate was 54.4. The estimated rate was 54.4.
In 1987, the observed rate was 55.6. The estimated rate was 55.4.
In 1988, the observed rate was 56.4. The estimated rate was 56.4.
In 1989, the observed rate was 57.2. The estimated rate was 57.4.
In 1990, the observed rate was 58.2. The estimated rate was 58.4.
In 1991, the observed rate was 58.4. The estimated rate was 58.4.
In 1992, the observed rate was 58.3. The estimated rate was 58.3.
In 1993, the observed rate was 58.7. The estimated rate was 58.3.
In 1994, the observed rate was 58.2. The estimated rate was 58.3.
In 1995, the observed rate was 58.1. The estimated rate was 58.2.
In 1996, the observed rate was 57.7. The estimated rate was 57.7.
In 1997, the observed rate was 57.3. The estimated rate was 57.2.
In 1998, the observed rate was 56.9. The estimated rate was 56.7.
In 1999, the observed rate was 55.3. The estimated rate was 56.2.
In 2000, the observed rate was 56.0. The estimated rate was 55.8.
In 2001, the observed rate was 55.5. The estimated rate was 55.3.
In 2002, the observed rate was 55.3. The estimated rate was 54.8.
In 2003, the observed rate was 54.5. The estimated rate was 54.4.
In 2004, the observed rate was 53.7. The estimated rate was 53.9.
In 2005, the observed rate was 53.2. The estimated rate was 53.4.
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Mortality, United States, Lung & Bronchus, Black (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes
Line graph with 25 years and 3 segments
During 1981-1990, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was rising: 1.9 with a 95% confidence interval from 1.7 to 2.0.
During 1990-1995, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was slightly falling: -0.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.2 to -0.2.
During 1995-2005, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.7 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.8 to -1.5.
Yearly points:
In 1981, the observed rate was 60.6. The estimated rate was 61.1.
In 1982, the observed rate was 62.3. The estimated rate was 62.2.
In 1983, the observed rate was 63.7. The estimated rate was 63.4.
In 1984, the observed rate was 65.1. The estimated rate was 64.6.
In 1985, the observed rate was 65.8. The estimated rate was 65.8.
In 1986, the observed rate was 67.0. The estimated rate was 67.1.
In 1987, the observed rate was 68.7. The estimated rate was 68.3.
In 1988, the observed rate was 69.2. The estimated rate was 69.6.
In 1989, the observed rate was 71.0. The estimated rate was 70.9.
In 1990, the observed rate was 72.1. The estimated rate was 72.3.
In 1991, the observed rate was 71.6. The estimated rate was 71.8.
In 1992, the observed rate was 71.4. The estimated rate was 71.2.
In 1993, the observed rate was 71.1. The estimated rate was 70.7.
In 1994, the observed rate was 70.2. The estimated rate was 70.2.
In 1995, the observed rate was 69.3. The estimated rate was 69.7.
In 1996, the observed rate was 68.3. The estimated rate was 68.6.
In 1997, the observed rate was 67.9. The estimated rate was 67.4.
In 1998, the observed rate was 66.9. The estimated rate was 66.3.
In 1999, the observed rate was 65.0. The estimated rate was 65.2.
In 2000, the observed rate was 63.8. The estimated rate was 64.1.
In 2001, the observed rate was 62.7. The estimated rate was 63.1.
In 2002, the observed rate was 62.2. The estimated rate was 62.0.
In 2003, the observed rate was 61.1. The estimated rate was 61.0.
In 2004, the observed rate was 60.1. The estimated rate was 60.0.
In 2005, the observed rate was 58.8. The estimated rate was 59.0.
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Mortality, United States**, Lung & Bronchus, Hispanic (any race), All Ages, Both Sexes
Line graph with 16 years and 2 segments
During 1990-1997, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was statistically stable: -0.4 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.1 to 0.2.
During 1997-2005, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was falling: -1.8 with a 95% confidence interval from -2.3 to -1.3.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 27.7. The estimated rate was 27.1.
In 1991, the observed rate was 27.3. The estimated rate was 26.9.
In 1992, the observed rate was 26.1. The estimated rate was 26.8.
In 1993, the observed rate was 26.3. The estimated rate was 26.7.
In 1994, the observed rate was 26.4. The estimated rate was 26.6.
In 1995, the observed rate was 26.5. The estimated rate was 26.5.
In 1996, the observed rate was 26.4. The estimated rate was 26.3.
In 1997, the observed rate was 26.6. The estimated rate was 26.2.
In 1998, the observed rate was 25.6. The estimated rate was 25.8.
In 1999, the observed rate was 25.3. The estimated rate was 25.3.
In 2000, the observed rate was 25.1. The estimated rate was 24.8.
In 2001, the observed rate was 24.0. The estimated rate was 24.4.
In 2002, the observed rate was 24.3. The estimated rate was 23.9.
In 2003, the observed rate was 23.4. The estimated rate was 23.5.
In 2004, the observed rate was 22.7. The estimated rate was 23.1.
In 2005, the observed rate was 22.9. The estimated rate was 22.7.
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Mortality, United States, Lung & Bronchus, API (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes
Line graph with 16 years and 1 segments
During 1990-2005, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was slightly falling: -1.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.5 to -1.0.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 29.8. The estimated rate was 31.3.
In 1991, the observed rate was 31.0. The estimated rate was 30.9.
In 1992, the observed rate was 30.6. The estimated rate was 30.6.
In 1993, the observed rate was 30.7. The estimated rate was 30.2.
In 1994, the observed rate was 29.8. The estimated rate was 29.8.
In 1995, the observed rate was 30.0. The estimated rate was 29.5.
In 1996, the observed rate was 29.1. The estimated rate was 29.1.
In 1997, the observed rate was 28.4. The estimated rate was 28.7.
In 1998, the observed rate was 29.1. The estimated rate was 28.4.
In 1999, the observed rate was 28.0. The estimated rate was 28.0.
In 2000, the observed rate was 27.6. The estimated rate was 27.7.
In 2001, the observed rate was 28.2. The estimated rate was 27.4.
In 2002, the observed rate was 25.7. The estimated rate was 27.0.
In 2003, the observed rate was 27.1. The estimated rate was 26.7.
In 2004, the observed rate was 26.3. The estimated rate was 26.4.
In 2005, the observed rate was 25.9. The estimated rate was 26.1.
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Mortality, United States, Lung & Bronchus, AI/AN (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes
Line graph with 16 years and 1 segments
During 1990-2005, the APC1 in the rate of cancer was statistically stable: -0.2 with a 95% confidence interval from -1.0 to 0.6.
Yearly points:
In 1990, the observed rate was 31.9. The estimated rate was 36.6.
In 1991, the observed rate was 35.4. The estimated rate was 36.5.
In 1992, the observed rate was 35.1. The estimated rate was 36.4.
In 1993, the observed rate was 37.2. The estimated rate was 36.3.
In 1994, the observed rate was 36.3. The estimated rate was 36.2.
In 1995, the observed rate was 37.7. The estimated rate was 36.2.
In 1996, the observed rate was 38.3. The estimated rate was 36.1.
In 1997, the observed rate was 38.3. The estimated rate was 36.0.
In 1998, the observed rate was 40.8. The estimated rate was 35.9.
In 1999, the observed rate was 36.9. The estimated rate was 35.8.
In 2000, the observed rate was 32.7. The estimated rate was 35.7.
In 2001, the observed rate was 35.6. The estimated rate was 35.7.
In 2002, the observed rate was 34.3. The estimated rate was 35.6.
In 2003, the observed rate was 32.3. The estimated rate was 35.5.
In 2004, the observed rate was 36.9. The estimated rate was 35.4.
In 2005, the observed rate was 34.8. The estimated rate was 35.3.
Notes:
Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 01/30/2009 8:35 pm.Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program.1 The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).
Explanation of the Calculation of the Trend: If the APC is less than -1.5, the trend is falling. If the APC is between -1.5 and -0.5, the trend is slightly falling. If the APC is between -0.5 and 0.5, the trend is statistically stable. If the APC is between 0.5 and 1.5, the trend is slightly rising. If the APC is greater than 1.5, the trend is rising.Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.
Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI.
Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI.
** Hispanic mortality data for the United States has been excluded for the following states: Connecticut, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, New Hampshire, New York, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Vermont, and Virginia. The data on Hispanic and non-Hispanic mortality for these states may be unreliable for the time period used in the generation of the trend (1990-2005) and has been excluded from the calculation of the United States recent trend. This was based on the value of the Hispanic Index.
Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected racial groups or counties.
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