State Cancer Profiles

Historical Trends

Export Data | Send to Printer | Close Window

Historical Trends (1981-2005)
Mortality, United States, Lung & Bronchus, White (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes
Mortality, United States, Lung & Bronchus, Black (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes
Mortality, United States, Lung & Bronchus, Hispanic (any race), All Ages, Both Sexes
Mortality, United States, Lung & Bronchus, API (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes
Mortality, United States, Lung & Bronchus, AI/AN (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes

Mortality, United States, Lung & Bronchus, White (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes
Period	Annual Percent Change ¹ (95% Confidence Intervals)	Recent Trend
1981-1990	1.8 (1.6, 2.0)	rising
1990-1995	-0.1 (-0.6, 0.5)	stable
1995-2005	-0.9 (-1.0, -0.7)	falling

Year	Observed	Estimated
1981	49.3	49.8
1982	50.8	50.7
1983	51.7	51.6
1984	52.6	52.5
1985	53.7	53.4
1986	54.4	54.4
1987	55.6	55.4
1988	56.4	56.4
1989	57.2	57.4
1990	58.2	58.4
1991	58.4	58.4
1992	58.3	58.3
1993	58.7	58.3
1994	58.2	58.3
1995	58.1	58.2
1996	57.7	57.7
1997	57.3	57.2
1998	56.9	56.7
1999	55.3	56.2
2000	56.0	55.8
2001	55.5	55.3
2002	55.3	54.8
2003	54.5	54.4
2004	53.7	53.9
2005	53.2	53.4

[return to top]

Mortality, United States, Lung & Bronchus, Black (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes
Period	Annual Percent Change ¹ (95% Confidence Intervals)	Recent Trend
1981-1990	1.9 (1.7, 2.0)	rising
1990-1995	-0.7 (-1.2, -0.2)	falling
1995-2005	-1.7 (-1.8, -1.5)	falling

Year	Observed	Estimated
1981	60.6	61.1
1982	62.3	62.2
1983	63.7	63.4
1984	65.1	64.6
1985	65.8	65.8
1986	67.0	67.1
1987	68.7	68.3
1988	69.2	69.6
1989	71.0	70.9
1990	72.1	72.3
1991	71.6	71.8
1992	71.4	71.2
1993	71.1	70.7
1994	70.2	70.2
1995	69.3	69.7
1996	68.3	68.6
1997	67.9	67.4
1998	66.9	66.3
1999	65.0	65.2
2000	63.8	64.1
2001	62.7	63.1
2002	62.2	62.0
2003	61.1	61.0
2004	60.1	60.0
2005	58.8	59.0

[return to top]

Mortality, United States**, Lung & Bronchus, Hispanic (any race), All Ages, Both Sexes
Period	Annual Percent Change ¹ (95% Confidence Intervals)	Recent Trend
1990-1997	-0.4 (-1.1, 0.2)	stable
1997-2005	-1.8 (-2.3, -1.3)	falling

Year	Observed	Estimated
1990	27.7	27.1
1991	27.3	26.9
1992	26.1	26.8
1993	26.3	26.7
1994	26.4	26.6
1995	26.5	26.5
1996	26.4	26.3
1997	26.6	26.2
1998	25.6	25.8
1999	25.3	25.3
2000	25.1	24.8
2001	24.0	24.4
2002	24.3	23.9
2003	23.4	23.5
2004	22.7	23.1
2005	22.9	22.7

[return to top]

Mortality, United States, Lung & Bronchus, API (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes
Period	Annual Percent Change ¹ (95% Confidence Intervals)	Recent Trend
1990-2005	-1.2 (-1.5, -1.0)	falling

Year	Observed	Estimated
1990	29.8	31.3
1991	31.0	30.9
1992	30.6	30.6
1993	30.7	30.2
1994	29.8	29.8
1995	30.0	29.5
1996	29.1	29.1
1997	28.4	28.7
1998	29.1	28.4
1999	28.0	28.0
2000	27.6	27.7
2001	28.2	27.4
2002	25.7	27.0
2003	27.1	26.7
2004	26.3	26.4
2005	25.9	26.1

[return to top]

Mortality, United States, Lung & Bronchus, AI/AN (incl Hisp), All Ages, Both Sexes
Period	Annual Percent Change ¹ (95% Confidence Intervals)	Recent Trend
1990-2005	-0.2 (-1.0, 0.6)	stable

Year	Observed	Estimated
1990	31.9	36.6
1991	35.4	36.5
1992	35.1	36.4
1993	37.2	36.3
1994	36.3	36.2
1995	37.7	36.2
1996	38.3	36.1
1997	38.3	36.0
1998	40.8	35.9
1999	36.9	35.8
2000	32.7	35.7
2001	35.6	35.7
2002	34.3	35.6
2003	32.3	35.5
2004	36.9	35.4
2005	34.8	35.3

Notes:

Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 01/30/2009 8:35 pm.

Regression lines calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program.

¹ The APC is the Annual Percent Change over the time interval. Rates used in the calculation of the APC are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+).
Statistics for minorities may be affected by inconsistent race identification between the cancer case reports (sources for numerator of rate) and data from the Census Bureau (source for denominator of rate); and from undercounts of some population groups in the census.

Source: Incidence data provided by the SEER Program. Rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Rates are for invasive cancer only (except for bladder cancer which is invasive and in situ) or unless otherwise specified. Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI.

Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates (deaths per 100,000 population per year) are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1-4, 5-9, ... , 80-84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI.

** Hispanic mortality data for the United States has been excluded for the following states: Connecticut, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, New Hampshire, New York, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Vermont, and Virginia. The data on Hispanic and non-Hispanic mortality for these states may be unreliable for the time period used in the generation of the trend (1990-2005) and has been excluded from the calculation of the United States recent trend. This was based on the value of the Hispanic Index.

Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected racial groups or counties.