National Cancer Institute
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Risk Factor Monitoring & Methods
Cancer Control and Population Sciences


Articles on the Development, Evaluation, & Application of Cancer Risk Prediction Models

  • Gerds TA, Cai T, Schumacher M. The performance of risk prediction models. Biom J 2008 Aug;50(4):457-79.
  • Santen RJ, Boyd NF, Chlebowski RT, Cummings S, Cuzick J, Dowsett M, Easton D, Forbes JF, Key T, Hankinson SE, Howell A, Ingle J; Breast Cancer Prevention Collaborative Group. Critical assessment of new risk factors for breast cancer: considerations for development of an improved risk prediction model. Endocr Relat Cancer 2007 Jun;14(2):169-87.
  • Cassidy A, Duffy SW, Myles JP, Liloglou T, Field JK. Lung cancer risk prediction: a tool for early detection. Int J Cancer 2007 Jan 1;120(1):1-6.
  • Decarli A, Calza S, Masala G, Specchia C, Palli D, Gail MH. Gail model for prediction of absolute risk of invasive breast cancer: independent evaluation in the Florence-European Prospective Investigation Into Cancer and Nutrition cohort. J Natl Cancer Inst 2006 Dec 6;98(23):1686-93.
  • Elmore JG, Fletcher SW. The risk of cancer risk prediction: "What is my risk of getting breast cancer"? J Natl Cancer Inst 2006 Dec 6;98(23):1673-5.
  • Reilly BM, Evans AT. Translating clinical research into clinical practice: impact of using prediction rules to make decisions. Ann Intern Med 2006 Feb 7;144(3):201-9.
  • Nelson HD, Huffman LH, Fu R, Harris EL; U.S. Preventive Services Task Force. Genetic risk assessment and BRCA mutation testing for breast and ovarian cancer susceptibility: systematic evidence review for the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force. Ann Intern Med 2005 Sep 6;143(5):362-79.
  • Freedman AN, Seminara D, Gail MH, Hartge P, Colditz GA, Ballard-Barbash R, Pfeiffer RM. Cancer risk prediction models: a workshop on development, evaluation, and application. J Natl Cancer Inst 2005 May 18;97(10):715-23.
  • Domchek SM, Eisen A, Calzone K, Stopfer J, Blackwood A, Weber BL. Application of breast cancer risk prediction models in clinical practice. J Clin Oncol 2003 Feb 15;21(4):593-601.
  • Claus EB. Risk models used to counsel women for breast and ovarian cancer: a guide for clinicians. Fam Cancer 2001;1(3-4):197-206.

Last modified:
04 Dec 2008
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