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Methods to Minimize False Positive FindingsThanks to leaps in technology, potentially exciting findings in the molecular epidemiology of cancer are available faster than ever before. As with all areas of progress, there are challenges. DCEG Director Joseph F. Fraumeni, Jr., M.D., said, The emergence of new genomic technologies has provided epidemiologists with powerful tools to identify genetic variants that predispose to common diseases, including cancer. But progress has been slowed by a disconcerting number of inconsistent associations reported in the literature. The problems, he says, are being solved in two ways:
A 2004 paper in the Journal of the National Cancer Institute, by Sholom Wacholder, Ph.D., a senior investigator in the Biostatistics Branch, and others, introduced the FPRP statistic as a way to limit the number of false positive results. The FPRP statistic can be calculated using the observed p value, the prior probability of an association as estimated by the investigator, and the studys power to detect the association. In a statistical test, youre making a decision, saying This test result is significant and worthy of note or We do not see compelling evidence of an association, Dr. Wacholder said. There are too many declarations of significance under the usual test of significance, a p value of 0.05, when you have a prior probability of something like 1 in 1,000. The FPRP statistic, Dr. Wacholder said, allows each hypothesis to be evaluated on its own, and it takes into account not only the data but also other information available about the hypothesis. I think this is the way scientists work: They temper their enthusiasm for surprising findings by considerations of plausibility. Montserrat Garcia-Closas, M.D., Ph.D., a tenure-track investigator in the Hormonal and Reproductive Epidemiology Branch, was a coauthor on the FPRP manuscript. FPRP is a useful tool to evaluate how robust findings are, taking into account our prior knowledge she said. Dr. Garcia-Closas, who attended medical school in her native Spain and received a doctoral degree in epidemiology from the Harvard School of Public Health, is also a leader in conducting large-scale collaborative studies that are designed to avoid some of the pitfalls of false positive findings. Her work is focusing on genetic susceptibility to breast and bladder cancers. |
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Her breast cancer research has involved two large population-based studies in the United States and Poland. Together, these case-control studies involved more than 5,300 cases and 5,200 controls. Three papers in press show that missense mutations in the ATM gene are likely to influence breast cancer risk, whereas the evidence was weaker or not present for genetic polymorphisms in other double-strand break repair genes or base-excision repair genes. We are able to look across two studies to see if a finding in one study is replicated in the other, Dr. Garcia-Closas said. She is also involved with two consortia of breast cancer studies involving other case-control studies as well as cohort studies that are generating data on several thousand cases. Dr. Garcia-Closas is also incorporating in her epidemiologic studies both traditional and molecular pathology approaches in a search for heterogeneity in breast cancer. Early results from the Polish study suggest that different tumor typesas characterized by histology, grade, size, and nodal statusmight actually be etiologically distinct. She and colleagues are also using tissue microarrays containing tumor tissue from breast cancer patients in the Polish study to look at molecular markers in breast cancer. The first markers under studythe estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, and HER2/neuwere quantitatively evaluated using an automated fluorescent staining technique, in addition to standard immunohistochemistry. In a statistical test, youre making a decision, saying This test result is significant and worthy of note or We do not see compelling evidence of an association. There are too many declarations of significance under the usual test of significance, a p value of 0.05, when you have a prior probability of something like 1 in 1,000. Next well move to molecular classification of tumors identified by gene expression microarrays, Dr. Garcia-Closas said. Later well move to more exploratory classificationmarkers of hormone action, metabolism, and othersbut were starting with factors that have well-described clinical relevance.
Dr. Garcia-Closass research on bladder cancer has focused on the risk related to variants in metabolic and DNA repair genes. A study recently published in Lancet provided compelling evidence that two genetic polymorphismsNAT2 slow acetylation and GSTM1 null genotypeare associated with an increased risk of bladder cancer. Dr. Garcia-Closas and colleagues recently formed the International Consortium of Case-Control Studies of Bladder Cancer so that they can more easily conduct pooled and parallel analyses to confirm and clarify findings. This consortium approach, Dr. Fraumeni said, provides an opportunity to combine datasets for large-scale studies that are needed to estimate the cancer risks associated with susceptibility genes and to conduct subset analyses that may help uncover gene-gene and gene-environment interactions. To Dr. Garcia-Closas, the future of molecular epidemiology has the potential to be very bright. I think we now have the technology to explore common genetic variation, which could have a sizable impact on cancer, she explained. We used to look at a few genetic variants and now we can look at several thousand, in an affordable and much more efficient way. In addition, she continued, another limitation was the relatively small size of individual studies. Now the studies are larger and the consortia being formed are accelerating this trend. One exciting avenue for genetic susceptibility research is whole-genome scans, she said. Right now we explore genetic susceptibility based on current knowledge on pathways to cancer, but we might be missing mechanisms that we dont understand so well. The scans might let us identify novel genes and etiologic pathways. |
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DCEG Linkage is a publication of the Division Joseph F. Fraumeni, Jr., Director Managing Editor Scientific Highlights Editor DCEG Linkage Reporters Palladian Partners, Inc. |
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SOPHIA WANG: TENURE-TRACKER TACKLES TWO TUMORSSophia Wang, Ph.D., a tenure-track investigator in the Hormonal and Reproductive Epidemiology Branch (HREB), has developed a diverse portfolio in two distinct areas of epidemiologic research: non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) and cervical cancer. I strongly believe that my work in one research area also informs what I do in another, and makes me a better investigator, Dr. Wang said. When Dr. Wang joined the NCI in 2000, data collection for the large interdisciplinary NCI/SEER (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results) case-control study of NHL had just been completed. Led by Patricia Hartge, Sc.D., Deputy Director of the Epidemiology and Biostatistics Program, the population-based study included 1,321 cases and 1,057 controls and was conducted in four different areas around the United States where SEER registries are located. Study participants were interviewed about a wide range of risk factors, and biospecimens were also collected. Dr. Hartge and the study group had created exactly the type of environment that most appealed to me, Dr. Wang said. The study serves so many people on so many levelsits truly a collaborative effort. Dr. Wang has been deeply involved in the study since her arrival, overseeing specimen handling, genotyping, and biological specimen analysis. Dr. Wang recently coauthored a pooled analysis of 12 single nucleotide polymorphisms that linked certain inflammatory response genes to increased risk of NHL. The study, which was published in the January issue of Lancet Oncology, found an increased risk of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma in individuals who were homozygous for the TNF-308A allele and who carried at least one IL10-3575A allele. Data from 3,586 cases and 4,018 controls were pooled from NHL investigators participating in InterLymphthe International Lymphoma Epidemiology Consortiumfrom a dozen countries around the world. Members of InterLymph initiate collaborative projects and merge data across studies to test specific hypotheses. Dr. Wang has been involved with InterLymph since its inception and gives it rave reviews. Its a friendly and nurturing environment for research, she said. Weve been able to conduct parallel and pooled analyses with great successall the investigators have been very cooperative and helpful. In addition to Dr. Hartge, Dr. Wang credits Nathaniel Rothman, M.D., M.P.H., M.H.S., Occupational and Environmental Epidemiology Branch, and Martha Linet, M.D., M.P.H., Chief of the Radiation Epidemiology Branch, with spearheading the InterLymph effort at NCI. Her current InterLymph collaboration involves conducting a pooled analysis of family history of cancer and NHL risk. Dr. Wangs second major research area involves the natural history studies of cervical cancer. She is leading SUCCEED (Study to Understand Cervical Cancer Early Endpoints and Determinants), where she is examining intermediate stages of cervical carcinogenesis to understand disease progression. One of the main reasons I joined DCEG was that I wanted the opportunity to be an independent investigator and conduct research that I cared deeply about, she said. Louise Brinton, Ph.D., (Chief of HREB) has been wonderful in nurturing tenure-track investigators such as myself and supporting us as independent investigators. It is easy to be inspired by the legacy of HREB cervical cancer studies conducted by Dr. Brinton, Mark Schiffman, M.D., M.P.H., and Allan Hildesheim, Ph.D. Cervical cancer is an ideal model tumor to study; with precursor lesions and the etiologic agent known, it provides a unique opportunity to use cutting-edge technology to truly understand the gene expression profiles at each stage of disease progression. By doing this, we can identify biomarkers of early detection for cervical cancer and help inform carcinogenesis in general. Dr. Wang studied molecular biology at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, where her senior thesis advisor thought an introduction to David Hunter, Sc.D., of the Harvard School of Public Health might prove beneficial. Hearing Dr. Hunter describe the goals of the Channing Laboratory, I realized that I could take my skills in molecular biology and apply them to studies of human populations, Dr. Wang recalled. She earned her Ph.D. in epidemiology from Johns Hopkins University with support from an NCI cancer epidemiology training grant. Dr. Wang then completed two years as an Epidemic Intelligence Service Officer at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. My mentor, Muin Khoury, M.D., was so inspiring that he sealed my interest in genetic epidemiology, she said. He also expanded the breadth of my experience, enabling me to investigate the avian influenza outbreak in Hong Kong that provided invaluable experience as a shoe-leather epidemiologist. As it turns out, having a good working knowledge of viral genetics has proven particularly useful, since I am drawn to tumors with known or suspected infectious etiologies. (Human papillomavirus is the central etiologic agent of cervical cancer, and NHL has been linked with Epstein-Barr virus, hepatitis C virus, and HIV.) InterLymph [is] a friendly and nurturing environment for research. Weve been able to conduct parallel and pooled analyses with great success. Not only is Dr. Wang involved in two areas of cancer research, she is also passing along her knowledge and skills to others, which she sees as the key to scientific progress. I think one of the things Im most proud of is that by becoming well-versed in specific areas, I have the opportunity to convey that knowledge to others, she said. Working with talented students and postdoctoral fellows is a real treat, and mentoring them so that they can pursue good ideas and become independent investigators is particularly satisfying.
PAOLO VINEIS VISITS DCEG AS DISTINGUISHED LECTURERPaolo Vineis, M.D., M.P.H., visited NCI from November 34, 2005, as an invited lecturer for the DCEG Distinguished Lectures in Occupational and Environmental Cancer. Dr. Vineis is the Chair in Environmental Epidemiology in the Division of Epidemiology, Public Health, and Primary Care in the School of Medicine at Imperial College in London. A leader in the field of molecular epidemiology, Dr. Vineis conducts research focusing on cancer and genetic susceptibility in relation to DNA repair and the metabolism of carcinogenic substances. Dr. Vineis is also one of the key coordinators for the European Prospective Investigation and Cancer project, a large cohort study of diet and cancer. He has served numerous times on expert working groups and advisory boards. Dr. Vineiss lecture on The integration of mechanistic data into the evaluation of environmental carcinogens underscored the importance of molecular epidemiology for research on cancer etiology. He illustrated his theme with several examples of the use of biomarkers for assessing carcinogenic effects, including those resulting from exposure to environmental tobacco smoke, styrene, and ethylene oxide. He also discussed the challenges of studying gene-environment interactions and expressed concern that current measures for exposure assessment, even including biomarkers of exposure, have not yet reached the degree of sophistication of modern genetic analysis. This could lead to a greater degree of classification error for these markers and increased potential for false negative findings. For genetic studies, assay reliability is generally not a problem, but newer high-throughput methods threaten to produce large numbers of false positive findings. Dr. Vineis highlighted several approaches to improve exposure assessment in epidemiologic studies. One method is to use repeated exposure measures to allow for regression dilution bias. He also called for careful validation of novel analytic methods to detect proteomic and metabolomic signatures in body fluids of metabolic processes and external exposures. He concluded his talk by considering how mechanistic data have been successfully included in the evaluation process for identification and risk assessment related to environmental carcinogens. Following Dr. Vineiss talk, Dalsu Baris, M.D., Ph.D., Occupational and Environmental Epidemiology Branch (OEEB), coordinator of the Distinguished Lecturer Series, presented Dr. Vineis with a plaque in recognition of his valuable contributions to the fields of occupational and environmental epidemiology. Dr. Vineiss two-day visit also involved a second seminar for OEEB staff entitled The GENAIR study: Cancer, air pollution, and environmental tobacco smoke and meetings with DCEG investigators and fellows.
BREAST CANCER RISK IN ATAXIA-TELANGIECTASIA FAMILIESMargaret Tucker, M.D., Chief of the Genetic Epidemiology Branch, and Ruth Kleinerman, M.P.H., Radiation Epidemiology Branch, organized an international workshop entitled Population-based studies of breast cancer risk in relatives of ataxia-telangiectasia patients. The workshop, sponsored by the Office of Rare Diseases, was held on September 26, 2005, at the headquarters of the Danish Cancer Society in Copenhagen. Jorgen Olsen, M.D., Director of the Institute for Epidemiologic Research at the Danish Cancer Society, cohosted the workshop. The goals of the workshop were to explore the development of collaboration between investigators with published population-based studies of cancer risk in families with the ataxia-telangiectasia mutated gene (known as ATM), to identify specific scientific questions that could be answered by data from these studies, and to define a common approach to epidemiologic and mutation data analyses. Most attendees came from France, the United Kingdom, and the Nordic countries. They were charged with defining the opportunities to determine whether breast cancer risk is causally related to the ATM gene and what resources will be needed for a productive collaboration. The first half of the meeting was dedicated to the presentation of epidemiologic and mutation data from existing studies conducted by the French, U.K., and Nordic investigators. These studies have accrued data for more than 4,000 relatives in 232 families with an ataxia-telangiectasia child. The second half of the meeting was spent identifying research questions that could be answered by pooled analyses and developing criteria for pooling. The possibility of adding population-based studies from other countries was discussed. Lead roles for various study tasks (protocol development, analytic strategies, mutation analysis) were determined, and three papers were planned. The group made tentative plans to meet again in June 2006 to review preliminary pooled analyses.
CANCER RISKS FROM NUCLEAR WEAPONS TESTING FALLOUTFifty years ago, the United States tested nuclear weapons in the Nevada desert. Radioactive debris from the tests became airborne and was deposited downwind as fallout, predominantly in states east and north of the test site. Residents of these areas were exposed to radiation from the fallout, in particular to radioactive iodine (I-131) that found its way into milk and dairy products produced by cows, sheep, and goats that grazed on contaminated vegetation. Some contaminated dairy products also entered the national food supply, so people in other areas of the United States were also exposed to I-131. Individuals who consumed these milk and dairy products as children are now at higher risk for developing thyroid disease and abnormalities, including thyroid cancer. Exposure to gamma radiation from the fallout has also resulted in an increased risk of leukemia, though the risk is much less than that for thyroid cancer. The publication highlights an interactive web-based calculator, developed by REB investigators, that permits users to estimate their thyroid radiation dose from Nevada fallout and the related risk of developing thyroid cancer. An overview of radioactive fallout from nuclear weapons testing and related cancer risks was recently published by Steven Simon, Ph.D., Andre Bouville, Ph.D., and Charles Land, Ph.D., of the Radiation Epidemiology Branch (REB) in the American Scientist. The paper describes the history of atmospheric nuclear testing, explains how radioactivity in fallout is transferred through the environment and results in human exposure, discusses the meaning of radiation dose, and provides estimates of dose and related cancer risks to the American people.
The article summarizes the findings of several REB projects on fallout exposures from nuclear tests carried out in Nevada and elsewhere in the world. It reconstructs the likely radiation doses to affected populations and estimates their cancer risk from this exposure. The publication highlights an interactive web-based calculator, developed by REB investigators, that permits users to estimate their thyroid radiation dose from Nevada fallout and the related risk of developing thyroid cancer. Available online, the I-131 Thyroid Dose/Risk Calculator estimates exposure to I-131 based on where users lived from 1951 to 1971 and how much milk they may have consumed. The calculator is easy to use and is the only tool of its kind available for public use. The dose/risk calculator is available at http://ntsi131.nci.nih.gov. Much of the research on I-131 conducted in the REB has been in response to congressional requests that were fueled by public concern about radiation risks and the growing knowledge of the long-term health consequences of nuclear testing conducted during the 1950s and 1960s. The article also explains how the knowledge gained from years of studying radioactive fallout and nuclear accidents can provide an understanding and basis for preparing for terrorist attacks that might involve radioactive materials. NIH RESEARCH FESTIVALThe 18th annual NIH Research Festival was held October 1821, 2005. This two-and-a-half day event showcases the achievements of intramural investigators and provides an opportunity to explore the breadth and depth of research conducted across the NIH Intramural Research Program. This year, DCEG investigators Patricia Hartge, Sc.D., Deputy Director of the Epidemiology and Biostatistics Program, Stephen Chanock, M.D., Director of the Core Genotyping Facility, Nathaniel Rothman, M.D., M.P.H., M.H.S., a senior investigator in the Occupational and Environmental Epidemiology Branch, and Sophia Wang, Ph.D., an investigator in the Hormonal and Reproductive Epidemiology Branch, along with Sandeep Dave, M.D. (NHLBI), and Michael Lenardo, M.D. (NIAID), led a panel on the Molecular epidemiology of non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL): Etiology, prognosis, and underlying mechanisms. The discussion focused on the need to identify factors that play a role in preventive and therapeutic strategies. DCEG research has demonstrated that environmental and host factors are implicated in the etiology of NHL, a disease for which incidence rates have steadily increased since 1950. Andrew Bergen, Ph.D., Genetic Epidemiology Branch, Michael Leitzmann, M.D., Dr.P.H., Nutritional Epidemiology Branch (NEB), Panagiota Mitrou, Ph.D. (NEB), and Preetha Rajaraman, Ph.D., Radiation Epidemiology Branch, presented posters that described their research. Kristin Kiser, M.H.A., Program Coordinator in the Office of Education, and Sandy Rothschild, Office of the Director, manned the Divisions exhibit booth and provided materials on DCEG research highlights, copies of Linkage newsletters, and educational information.
DCEG WELCOMES VISITING SCHOLAR MUIN KHOURYDCEG hosted Muin Khoury, M.D., as its most recent Visiting Scholar on September 1516, 2005. A leader in the field of genetic epidemiology, Dr. Khoury is the founding Director of CDCs Office of Genomics and Disease Prevention, which assesses the impact of advances in human genetics and the Human Genome Project on public health and disease prevention and integrates genomics into public health research. Dr. Khoury, the author of the classic textbook Fundamentals of Genetic Epidemiology, lectures extensively and holds faculty positions at the Emory Rollins and Johns Hopkins Bloomberg Schools of Public Health. A leading figure in the study of interactions between genes and environment, he has chaired several national task forces and given congressional testimony on the importance of these interactions to public health. Dr. Khoury has received numerous awards in recognition of his scholarship and leadership, including the Public Health Service Special Recognition Award, the Arthur Fleming Award, and the CDC Research Honor Award. In his keynote address, Public health genomics: Using genetic knowledge for public health, Dr. Khoury noted the acceleration of technology in genetics and challenged the cancer epidemiology community to change in fundamental ways. He argued for new models of data sharing, analysis, and rapid public dissemination of results, and he offered HuGENet (Human Genome Epidemiology Network) as one model. Dr. Khoury initiated HuGENet several years ago in an effort to encourage data pooling as a means to derive more accurate estimates of specific genetic effects on disease risk. Citing the immense influence of genomic factors on population health as an overarching theme, he touched briefly on the public health impact of genetic tests for screening and prevention and the use of family history as a tool for disease prevention and public health. At the conclusion of Dr. Khourys presentation, Demetrius Albanes, M.D., Chief of the Office of Education and Senior Investigator in the Nutritional Epidemiology Branch, presented him with a plaque in recognition of his outstanding contributions to the field of genetic epidemiology. The remainder of the two-day visit was devoted to a series of stimulating group discussion sessions and meetings with individuals and branches. In a group discussion on epidemiological networks and consortia moderated by Thomas OBrien, M.D., M.P.H., Hormonal and Reproductive Epidemiology Branch (HREB), and Patricia Hartge, Sc.D., Deputy Director of the Epidemiology and Biostatistics Program, DCEG investigators reported on more than a dozen cancer epidemiology consortia now actively working to conduct pooled and parallel analyses and to foster collaborations. Dr. Khoury described his newest venture, A Network of Networks, a community of scientists involved in research consortia, of which DCEG is a member. Phillip Rosenberg, Ph.D., Biostatistics Branch (BB), hosted a journal club discussion of Dr. Khourys recent article, Do we need genomic research for the prevention of common diseases with environmental causes? A related group discussion on statistical approaches to the investigation of risk factor combinations followed, led by Sholom Wacholder, Ph.D. (BB), and Montserrat Garcia-Closas, M.D., Ph.D. (HREB). During these sessions, Dr. Khoury and DCEG scientists probed the statistical, organizational, and cultural challenges involved in translating findings from genetic epidemiological studies into public health actions. Dr. Khoury discussed current issues in studying cancer-prone families and in patient counseling with members of the Genetic Epidemiology Branch (GEB) and the Clinical Genetics Branch. Margaret Tucker, M.D., Chief of GEB and Director of the Human Genetics Program, moderated a group session that focused on current challenges in genetic epidemiology. According to Dr. Khoury, these challenges include scientific issues such as design, analysis, and the juxtaposition of family and population studies, and logistical considerations such as ethical review of human subjects research and HIPAA regulations; response rates; the size and cost of repositories; and budgeting for high-throughput genotyping, expression arrays, and proteomics during austerity periods. Dr. Khoury also met with scientists in the Health Communications Branch of the Division of Cancer Control and Population Sciences (DCCPS) and with DCCPS Director Robert Croyle, Ph.D. His visit concluded with a roundtable discussion where he met with postdoctoral fellows and offered his suggestions for scientific career development.
NEW NCI DIRECTORS INNOVATION AWARDSThe newly created NCI Directors Innovation Award Program is designed to support the development of novel approaches and cutting-edge technology targeting high-impact, high-risk areas of cancer research. The Program offers two levels of awards: those for tenure-track or recently tenured principal investigators, who may apply for up to $50,000 of single-year funding, and Career Development Awards for postdoctoral fellows, staff scientists, staff clinicians, and senior scientists, which include a one-time award of up to $10,000. John Niederhuber, M.D., NCI Deputy Director and Deputy Director for Translational and Clinical Sciences, announced the winners of these prestigious awards at a ceremony held during the NCI Intramural Scientific Retreat on January 11, 2006. The DCEG principal investigator award recipients were Christian Abnet, Ph.D., M.P.H., Nutritional Epidemiology Branch (NEB), for his proposal on Automated measurement of tissue element concentrations by x-ray fluorescence spectroscopy for epidemiological studies; Maria Teresa Landi, M.D., Ph.D., Genetic Epidemiology Branch (GEB), for her proposal that MicroRNAs provide a functional link from molecular epidemiology to cancer progression; and Jorge Toro, M.D. (GEB), for his proposal on Identification and validation of novel protein partners of the fumarate hydratase protein. Career Development Award recipients were D. Michal Freedman, Ph.D., Radiation Epidemiology Branch, and Unhee Lim, Ph.D. (NEB), for their proposal on Serum vitamin D and risk of lymphoid cancers in a prospective study; Ola Landgren, M.D., Ph.D. (GEB), for his proposal on Serum protein markers of early oncogenic events: A pre-diagnostic multiple myeloma study; and Jim Vaught, Ph.D., Office of the Director, and Mark Cosentino, Ph.D., SAIC-Frederick, for their proposal on Designing a novel cryococktail for peripheral blood mononuclear cell storage.
NEW FELLOWSHIP IN CANCER HEALTH DISPARITIESIn response to the need for cancer research directed toward elucidating the causes of cancer health disparities across populations, DCEG is teaming up with two other components of NCI, the Center to Reduce Cancer Health Disparities and the Division of Cancer Control and Population Sciences, to sponsor a new training program called the NCI Cancer Health Disparities Fellowship. Together, these groups have the scientific expertise, resources, and large population databases to investigate the demographic patterns of cancer and the determinants of cancer health disparities. Research will focus on identifying, explaining, and reducing the elevated rates of cancer among racial, ethnic, gender, socioeconomic, and geographic/regional subgroups of the U.S. population. These disparities in cancer incidence and mortality provide important clues to factors that affect cancer risk and prognosis in the general population as well as in population subgroups. Like current postdoctoral fellows, cancer health disparities fellows will have a mentored research experience lasting up to five years. The fellows may work on descriptive, etiologic, or prevention projects, as well as issues related to cancer care policy and delivery. This type of research aims to bridge the gap between discovery and delivery by informing and developing translational research interventions that will help reduce cancer health disparities. The fellows will have access to a growing portfolio of studies and resources through which cancer health disparities can be studied. Applicants should have an M.D., Ph.D., or other equivalent degree in epidemiology, biostatistics, genetics, or a related field; be pursuing a degree in these areas; or have a doctoral degree in the social and behavioral sciences or a related health research field. Applications will be accepted in spring 2006, with new fellows arriving in the summer and fall of 2006. For more information, see www.dceg.cancer.gov.
COMMITTEE REPRESENTS DCEG SCIENTISTSAaron Blair, Ph.D., of the Occupational and Environmental Epidemiology Branch, has assumed a new role as Chair of the DCEG Committee of Scientists (COS), as Mary Lou McMaster, M.D., Genetic Epidemiology Branch, steps down at the end of her two-and-a-half-year term as COS Chair. Background, structure, and representationWhen DCEG was first established as a separate Division within the NCI Intramural Research Program, Division Director Joseph F. Fraumeni, Jr., M.D., saw the need to develop a new mechanism that would keep him attuned to the issues, challenges, and concerns facing DCEG scientific staff. The COS was created to serve this need and was given the task of making recommendations to facilitate communication across the Division at all scientific levels. The charge to the Committee was broad: In addition to fostering Division-wide communication, COS was asked to consider ways to improve administrative and research support that would promote successful, productive research. The Committee was also asked to identify approaches that would enhance morale and strengthen the scientific environment for DCEG scientists as well as promote opportunities for career development. The committee has been brilliant at identifying problems at the earliest stage, thus making it possible to take corrective steps that enrich the work life in the Division and empower staff to maximize their scientific potential. Today, COS plays an active role within the Division, with representation from all Branches and all levels of scientific staff. The COS Chair maintains office hours (from 10:00 a.m. to 12:00 p.m. on the last Friday of each month) to consult with any member of DCEG and also serves as a voting member of the DCEG Senior Advisory Group (SAG). All COS representatives are available to discuss potential issues and concerns with members of their respective Branches and professional categories, and these discussions frequently generate action items that are taken up at the monthly COS meetings and, when appropriate, by the SAG. Over the course of its 10-year history, COS has spearheaded a variety of ways to enhance communications and interventions across the Division, including separate town meetings that the Division Director conducts with principal investigators, postdoctoral fellows, or staff scientists. COS was also instrumental in developing the Annual Survey of Branch and Division Management and creating annual awards that recognize outstanding publications by postdoctoral fellows and staff scientists. COS suggestions have led to changes in the annual personnel review of staff scientists, improvements to the process of manuscript review, better contract management, and access to various training resources. ProceduresIssues or concerns can be brought to the attention of COS through a variety of channels, including direct communications between scientific staff and their COS representative or the COS chair, responses to the DCEG Annual Survey of Branch and Division Management, and matters that arise during the town meetings. The Committee evaluates all concerns and advises the Division Director on structural or procedural solutions. Periodically, the Committee invites the Division Director or Deputy Director to attend its meetings and present the status of previous COS recommendations and to hear about current activities and concerns that have newly arisen. COS also helps to play a role in resolving individual problems through discussion or by directing individuals to the appropriate services and channels at NIH. At the same time, COS members appreciate the need to protect the confidentiality of DCEG staff and take great care to preserve the confidentiality of scientists who bring issues forward for their consideration.
SCIENTIFIC HIGHLIGHTSALL CANCERS Diazinon and Cancer RisksThe relation of diazinon, an organophosphate insecticide, with cancer risk was assessed in the Agricultural Health Study, a prospective cohort study of pesticide applicators in Iowa and North Carolina enrolled from 1993 to 1997. Among 4,961 male applicators who reported using diazinon, 301 incident cancer cases were diagnosed, and among 18,145 participants who reported no use, 968 cases were diagnosed. Based on lifetime exposure days, increased risks for the highest tertile of exposure and significant tests for trend for lung cancer and leukemia were observed. (Beane Freeman LE, Bonner MR, Blair A, Hoppin JA, Sandler DP, Lubin JH, Dosemeci M, Lynch CF, Knott C, Alavanja MC. Cancer incidence among male pesticide applicators in the Agricultural Health Study cohort exposed to diazinon. Am J Epidemiol 2005;162:10701079) BREAST CANCER Dietary PatternsTo prospectively examine the association between dietary patterns and postmenopausal breast cancer risk, data were analyzed from 40,559 women in the Breast Cancer Detection Demonstration Project, 1,868 of whom developed breast cancer. Three major dietary patterns emerged: vegetable-fish/poultry-fruit, beef/pork-starch, and traditional southern. After adjustment for confounders, there was no significant association between the vegetable-fish/poultry-fruit and beef/pork-starch patterns and breast cancer. The traditional southern pattern, however, was associated with a nonsignificantly reduced breast cancer risk among all cases (in situ and invasive) that was significant for invasive breast cancer (relative hazard = 0.78; CI = 0.650.95). This diet was also associated with a reduced risk in women without a family history of breast cancer, who were underweight or normal weight, or who had tumors positive for estrogen receptor or progesterone receptor. Foods in the traditional southern pattern associated with reduced risk included legumes, low-mayonnaise salad dressing, and cabbage. (Velie EM, Schairer C, Flood A, He JP, Khattree R, Schatzkin A. Empirically derived dietary patterns and risk of postmenopausal breast cancer in a large prospective cohort study. Am J Clin Nutr 2005;82:13081319) COLORECTAL ADENOMAS Hormone TherapyFindings from some studies of colorectal cancer and adenoma suggest that the protective effect of post-menopausal hormone replacement therapy (HRT) may differ between categories of age and body mass index (BMI). The authors identified 1,468 women with at least one left-sided adenoma and 19,203 without adenoma or colorectal cancer from the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial. Compared to never use of HRT, current use was associated with a decreased prevalence of left-sided adenoma (OR = 0.85; CI = 0.750.97), but there was no evidence of dose-response. The protection from current HRT use was stronger among women aged 65 or older (OR = 0.69; CI = 0.560.84), with a BMI less than 30 (OR = 0.82; CI = 0.710.95), and who regularly used aspirin or ibuprofen (OR = 0.77; CI = 0.650.91). The protective effect was short-lived following cessation of use. (Purdue MP, Mink PJ, Hartge P, Huang WY, Buys S, Hayes RB. Hormone replacement therapy, reproductive history, and colorectal adenomas: Data from the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian (PLCO) Cancer Screening Trial (United States). Cancer Causes Control 2005;16:965973) Benzo(a)pyrene IntakeA study of 140 colorectal adenoma cases and 228 controls was conducted to address the risk associated with dietary intake of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH). A food-frequency questionnaire with detailed questions on meat-cooking methods and doneness levels and a benzo(a)pyrene (BaP) database (as a surrogate for total carcinogenic PAHs) were developed. The odds ratios (OR) for dietary BaP from meat with the first quintile was 1.19 (CI = 0.512.80) for the second quintile, 1.71 (CI = 0.763.83) for the third quintile, 2.16 (CI = 0.964.86) for the fourth quintile, and 2.82 (CI = 1.246.43) for the fifth quintile (p for trend = 0.01). Increased risk of colorectal adenomas was more strongly associated with BaP intake estimated from all foods (see Figure 1); the odds ratios were 2.61 (CI = 1.086.29) for the second quintile, 4.21 (CI = 1.799.91) for the third quintile, 2.45 (CI = 0.986.12) for the fourth quintile, and 5.60 (CI = 2.2014.2) for the fifth quintile (p for trend = 0.002). This study provides evidence that dietary BaP plays a role in colorectal adenoma etiology. (Sinha R, Kulldorff M, Gunter MJ, Strickland P, Rothman N. Dietary benzo[a]pyrene intake and risk of colorectal adenoma. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2005;14:20302034) COLORECTAL CANCER Fiber Intake Pooled AnalysisTo evaluate the controversial relationship between dietary fiber and colorectal cancer, 725,628 men and women from 13 prospective cohort studies included in the Pooling Project of Prospective Studies of Diet and Cancer were followed up for 6 to 20 years. During follow-up, 8,081 incident colorectal cancer cases were identified. For the highest vs. the lowest quintile of dietary fiber intake, an inverse association was found in the age-adjusted model (relative risk [RR] = 0.84; CI = 0.770.92). However, the association was attenuated and no longer statistically significant after adjusting for other risk factors (RR = 0.94; CI = 0.861.03). In categorical analyses, compared with dietary fiber intake of 10 to fewer than 15 g/d, the multivariate RR was 1.18 (CI = 1.051.31) for less than 10 g/d, and the RR was 1.00 (CI = 0.851.17) for 30 or more g/d. In this pooled analysis, dietary fiber intake was inversely associated with risk of colorectal cancer in age-adjusted analyses, but it was not linearly associated with risk after accounting for other dietary risk factors. (Park Y, Hunter DJ, Spiegelman D, Bergkvist L, Berrino F, van den Brandt PA, Buring JE, Colditz GA, Freudenheim JL, Fuchs CS, Giovannucci E, Goldbohm RA, Graham S, Harnack L, Hartman AM, Jacobs DR Jr, Kato I, Krogh V, Leitzmann MF, McCullough ML, Miller AB, Pietinen P, Rohan TE, Schatzkin A, Willett WC, Wolk A, Zeleniuch-Jacquotte A, Zhang SM, Smith-Warner SA. Dietary fiber intake and risk of colorectal cancer: A pooled analysis of prospective cohort studies. JAMA 2005;294:28492857) ESOPHAGEAL CANCER Carbonated Soft DrinksCarbonated soft drinks (CSDs) have been associated with gastroesophageal reflux, an established risk factor for esophageal adenocarcinoma. As both CSD consumption and esophageal adenocarcinoma incidence have increased sharply in recent decades, CSD as a risk factor for esophageal and gastric cancers was examined in data from a U.S. multicenter, population-based case-control study conducted between 1993 and 1995. Contrary to the proposed hypothesis, CSD consumption three to five years before diagnosis was inversely associated with esophageal adenocarcinoma risk (highest vs. lowest quartiles, OR = 0.47; CI = 0.290.76; p for trend = 0.005), due primarily to intake of diet CSD. High CSD consumption did not increase risk of any esophageal or gastric cancer subtype in men or women or when analyses were restricted to nonproxy interviews. These findings indicate that CSD consumption does not likely contribute to increased incidence rates. (Mayne ST, Risch HA, Dubrow R, Chow WH, Gammon MD, Vaughan TL, Borchardt L, Schoenberg JB, Stanford JL, West AB, Rotterdam H, Blot WJ, Fraumeni JF Jr. Carbonated soft drink consumption and risk of esophageal adenocarcinoma. J Natl Cancer Inst 2006;98:7275) HORMONE-RELATED CANCERS Endometriosis and Uterine LeiomyomaThe relationships between hospital and outpatient admissions for endometriosis or leiomyomas and the development of ovarian and uterine cancers were assessed in Denmark between 1978 and 1998. In a population-based cohort study of more than 99,000 women, including 2,491 with ovarian cancers, 860 with borderline ovarian tumors, and 1,398 with uterine cancers, endometriosis seemed to predispose women to ovarian cancer, with the association restricted to endometrioid or clear cell malignancies. Five or more years after the diagnosis of endometriosis, the RRs were 2.53 (CI = 1.195.38) for endometrioid and 3.37 (CI = 1.249.14) for clear cell malignancies. Uterine leiomyomas were associated with increases in the risk of uterine malignancies, particularly sarcomas, where the RRs were 20.80 (CI = 11.3238.22) for women with one to four years of follow-up and 5.70 (CI = 2.2714.32) for those with more extended follow-up. (Brinton LA, Sakoda LC, Sherman ME, Frederiksen K, Kjaer SK, Graubard BI, Olsen JH, Mellemkjaer L. Relationship of benign gynecologic diseases to subsequent risk of ovarian and uterine tumors. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2005;14:29292935) Impact of Hysterectomy on Endometrial Cancer RatesIn the United States, endometrial carcinoma incidence rates, uncorrected for hysterectomy prevalence, are higher among white women than black women. Corrected endometrial carcinoma rates for the years from 1992 to 2000 were estimated by racial/ethnic group and age using data from the SEER program and the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance Survey. Hysterectomies were more prevalent among black women than among Hispanic and white, non-Hispanic women. Correcting for hysterectomy prevalence increased age-adjusted endometrial carcinoma rates per 100,000 woman-years from 29.2 to 48.7 (66.8% increase) overall, from 14.6 to 28.5 (a 95.3% increase) among blacks, from 18.8 to 29.6 (57.6% increase) among Hispanics, and from 33.2 to 54.9 (a 65.1% increase) among white non-Hispanics. This correction reduced the rate ratio for white non-Hispanics compared with blacks from 2.3 to 1.9 (see Figure 2). Among blacks but not among Hispanics or white non-Hispanics, the endometrial carcinoma risk factors of obesity and diabetes were more prevalent among hysterectomized women than among women with uteri. Failure to correct for hysterectomy prevalence may lead to underestimation of endometrial carcinoma risk, especially among blacks. The high prevalence of hysterectomy among blacks with strong endometrial cancer risk factors may partly account for lower cancer rates in this group. (Sherman ME, Carreon JD, Lacey JV Jr, Devesa SS. Impact of hysterectomy on endometrial carcinoma rates in the United States. J Natl Cancer Inst 2005;97:17001702) LYMPHOMA Anthropometry, Exercise, and Medical ConditionsIn a population-based study of 1,321 HIV-negative non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) cases and 1,057 controls from four Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) areas, high body mass index (BMI > 35; OR = 1.73; CI = 1.152.59) and history of gallstones (OR = 1.95; CI = 1.113.40) were associated with diffuse NHL but not with follicular or all NHL combined. Height was associated with risk of all NHL combined (OR = 1.38 for > 70 vs. < 65 inches; CI = 0.981.94) and of both diffuse and follicular NHL. Non-occupational physical activity was inversely associated with risk of all NHL combined (ORs with increasing level: 1, 0.75, 0.71, 0.55, 0.68; p for trend = 0.04) and with risk of diffuse and follicular NHL. No associations of total energy intake, type 2 diabetes, or hypertension with NHL risk were found. Associations of BMI and history of gallstones with risk of diffuse NHL support a role for obesity. The height association results suggest a role for early life nutrition in NHL risk. (Cerhan JR, Bernstein L, Severson RK, Davis S, Colt JS, Blair A, Hartge P. Anthropometrics, physical activity, related medical conditions, and the risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma. Cancer Causes Control 2005;16:12031214) Plasma OrganochlorinesPolychlorinated biphenyls (PCB) and other organochlorines and risk of NHL were the subject of this population-based U.S. case-control study. Congeners of PCBs (including coplanar congeners), dioxins, furans, and pesticides or pesticide metabolites were measured in plasma of 100 untreated cases and 100 control subjects. Certain PCB congeners were associated with increased risk of NHL, including coplanar PCBs 156, 180, and 194, with ORs for the highest vs. the lowest quartile ranging from 2.7 to 3.5 and significant trends. Each of the furan congeners was associated with risk of NHL, as were total furans, with a 3.5-fold increased risk for the highest vs. the lowest quartile and a significant trend across quartiles (p = 0.006). The toxic equivalency quotient (TEQ), a summed metric that weights congeners by their dioxin-like potency, was associated with NHL, with a 35% increased risk per 10 TEQ pg/g lipid (CI = 1.021.79). (De Roos AJ, Hartge P, Lubin JH, Colt JS, Davis S, Cerhan JR, Severson RK, Cozen W, Patterson DG Jr, Needham LL, Rothman N. Persistent organochlorine chemicals in plasma and risk of non-Hodgkins lymphoma. Cancer Res 2005;65:1121411226) Immune-related Conditions and MedicationsIn a population-based study of 1,321 NHL cases and 1,057 controls, NHL was associated with Sjögrens syndrome (OR = 13; CI = 1.7100) and lupus (OR = 4.2; CI = 1.2, 15). Two NHL subtypes were strongly associated with Sjögrens syndrome: salivary gland (OR = 290; CI = 332,600) and marginal zone (OR = 75; CI = 9.1610). NHL was less strongly associated with receipt of an organ transplant (OR = 2.0; CI = 0.411). Corticosteroid use was unrelated to NHL, but methotrexate use was marginally associated (OR = 2.3; CI= 0.77.5). Family history of dermatomyositis was associated with NHL (7 cases vs. 0 controls, OR = infinite; two-sided p = 0.02), but dermatomyositis was absent in cases themselves. Results suggest that disordered immunity in some immune-related conditions can lead to NHL. (Engels EA, Cerhan JR, Linet MS, Cozen W, Colt JS, Davis S, Gridley G, Severson RK, Hartge P. Immune-related conditions and immune-modulating medications as risk factors for non-Hodgkin lymphoma: A case-control study. Am J Epidemiol 2005;162:11531161) Dietary One-carbon NutrientsThe associations between NHL and folate; vitamin B2, B6, and B12; methionine; and a one-carbon antagonist, alcohol, were examined in a population-based study of 425 NHL cases and 359 controls from four SEER areas. Higher intake of one-carbon determinants from food was associated with a lower risk of NHL, but only the effects associated with vitamin B6 (highest vs. lowest quartile: OR = 0.57; CI = 0.340.95; p for trend = 0.01) and methionine (OR = 0.49; CI = 0.310.76; p for trend = 0.002) reached statistical significance. Folate from food was inversely associated with diffuse NHL (OR = 0.47; CI = 0.230.94; p for trend = 0.03). There was no association between total vitamins (food plus supplements) and NHL. Nonusers of alcohol had a higher NHL risk than users, and alcohol use did not modify other nutrient-NHL associations. Findings suggest that one-carbon nutrients, particularly vitamin B6 and methionine, may be protective against NHL. (Lim U, Schenk M, Kelemen LE, Davis S, Cozen W, Hartge P, Ward MH, Stolzenberg-Solomon R. Dietary determinants of one-carbon metabolism and the risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma: NCI-SEER case-control study, 19982000. Am J Epidemiol 2005;162:953964) Incidence by WHO SubtypeA comprehensive assessment of 114,548 lymphoid neoplasms diagnosed between 1992 and 2001 in 12 SEER registries was conducted according to the WHO lymphoma classification system. Diverse incidence patterns and trends by lymphoid neoplasm subtype and population were observed. Among the elderly (aged 75 years and older), rates of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma and follicular lymphoma increased 1.4% and 1.8% per year, respectively, whereas rates of chronic lymphocytic leukemia/small lymphocytic lymphoma (CLL/SLL) declined 2.1% per year. Although whites have the highest incidence of most lymphoid neoplasm subtypes, most notably for hairy cell leukemia and follicular lymphoma, blacks have a higher incidence of plasma cell and T-cell neoplasms. Asians have considerably lower rates than whites and blacks for CLL/SLL and Hodgkin lymphoma (HL). Striking differences in incidence patterns by histologic subtype strongly suggest that there is etiologic heterogeneity among lymphoid neoplasms and support the pursuit of epidemiologic analysis by subtype. (Morton LM, Wang SS, Devesa SS, Hartge P, Weisenburger DD, Linet MS. Lymphoma incidence patterns by WHO subtype in the United States, 19922001. Blood 2006;107:265276) TNF and IL10 VariationThe effect of common genetic variants in immune and inflammatory response genes on the risk of NHL was tested using data on 3,586 cases and 4,018 controls from eight European, Canadian, and U.S. case-control studies in the International Lymphoma Epidemiology Consortium (InterLymph). Twelve single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in nine genes that have important roles in lymphoid development, Th1/Th2 balance, and proinflammatory or anti-inflammatory pathways (IL1A, IL1RN, IL1B, IL2, IL6, IL10, TNF, LTA, and CARD15), were selected for analysis on the basis of previous functional or association data. The tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-308G-A polymorphism was associated with increased risk of NHL, particularly diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, the main histological subtype (OR = 1.29 and CI = 1.101.51 for GA; OR = 1.65 and CI = 1.162.34 for AA), but not for follicular lymphoma. The interleukin10 (IL10)-3575T-A polymorphism was also associated with increased risk of NHL, again, particularly for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma. For individuals homozygous for the TNF-308A allele and carrying at least one IL10-3575-A allele, risk of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma doubled (OR = 2.13; CI = 1.373.32). Common polymorphisms in TNF and IL10, key cytokines for the inflammatory response, and Th1/Th2 balance, could be susceptibility loci for NHL. (Rothman N, Skibola CF, Wang SS, Morgan G, Lan Q, Smith MT, Spinelli JJ, Willett E, De Sanjose S, Cocco P, Berndt SI, Brennan P, Brooks-Wilson A, Wacholder S, Becker N, Hartge P, Zheng T, Roman E, Holly EA, Boffetta P, Armstrong B, Cozen W, Linet M, Bosch FX, Ennas MG, Holford TR, Gallagher RP, Rollinson S, Bracci PM, Cerhan JR, Whitby D, Moore PS, Leaderer B, Lai A, Spink C, Davis S, Bosch R, Scarpa A, Zhang Y, Severson RK, Yeager M, Chanock S, Nieters A. Genetic variation in TNF and IL10 and risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma: A report from the InterLymph Consortium. Lancet Oncol 2006;7:2738) BCL6 Gene PolymorphismExon 6 of the B-cell lymphoma 6 gene (BCL6), an oncogene that contributes to lymphomagenesis, contains a common SNP (195 C > T; dbSNP ID: rs1056932) that alters a potential binding site for an exonic splicing enhancer. Unconditional logistic regression models were used to examine the association between this SNP and the risk of NHL in a population-based case-control study of women residing in Connecticut (including 461 case patients and 535 control subjects). The risk of NHL among women with the CC genotype was more than double that among women with the TT genotype (OR = 2.2; CI = 1.53.3). Higher risks were observed for B-cell chronic lymphatic leukemia/prolymphocytic leukemia/small lymphocytic lymphoma (OR = 3.5; CI = 1.67.8) and T-cell lymphoma (OR = 5.2; CI = 2.013.3). Results support the hypothesis that a genetic variant that could alter mRNA transcripts of BCL6 may contribute to the etiology of NHL. (Zhang Y, Lan Q, Rothman N, Zhu Y, Zahm SH, Wang SS, Holford TR, Leaderer B, Boyle P, Zhang B, Zou K, Chanock S, Zheng T. A putative exonic splicing polymorphism in the BCL6 gene and the risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma. J Natl Cancer Inst 2005;97:16161618) MULTIPLE MYELOMA Monoclonal GammopathyThe age-adjusted incidence of multiple myeloma (MM) is twice as high in African Americans as in white Americans. A few small studies have reported a higher prevalence of monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) in African Americans than in whites. The prevalence of MGUS and subsequent risk of MM were quantified among four million African American and white male veterans admitted to VA hospitals. The age-adjusted prevalence ratio of MGUS in African Americans compared to whites was 3.0 (CI = 2.73.3). Among 2,046 MGUS cases, the estimated cumulative risk of MM during the first 10 years of follow-up was similar for African Americans (17%) and whites (15%). In the largest study to date, results suggest that the excess risk of MM in African Americans results from an increase in risk of MGUS rather than an increased risk of progression from MGUS to MM. (Landgren O, Gridley G, Turesson I, Caporaso NE, Goldin LR, Baris D, Fears TR, Hoover RN, Linet MS. Risk of monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) and subsequent multiple myeloma among African American and white veterans in the United States. Blood 2006;107(3):904906) NASOPHARYNGEAL CANCER Killer Cell Immunoglobulin-like Receptors and HLA-C GenesNasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), an Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)-associated malignancy, is associated with specific human leukocyte antigen alleles that present viral and other antigens to the immune system. To determine whether innate immunity is associated with NPC, a case-control study was conducted among 295 Taiwanese NPC cases (99% EBV seropositive) and 252 community controls (29% EBV seropositive). Results suggested that an increasing number of activating killer cell immunoglobulin-like receptor (KIR) alleles was associated with increasing NPC risk, particularly among individuals seropositive for anti-EBV antibodies known to be linked to NPC susceptibility (p for trend = 0.07). Among EBV-seropositive individuals, carriers of five or more activating KIRs had a 3.4-fold increased risk of disease (CI = 0.7415.7) compared with those having no functional activating KIRs. There was no clear evidence of risk associated with increasing numbers of inhibitory KIRs. (Butsch Kovacic M, Martin M, Gao X, Fuksenko T, Chen CJ, Cheng YJ, Chen JY, Apple R, Hildesheim A, Carrington M. Variation of the killer cell immunoglobulin-like receptors and HLA-C genes in nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2005;14:26732677) PANCREATIC CANCER Insulin Resistance and Serum Insulin and GlucoseObesity, diabetes mellitus, and glucose intolerance have been associated with increased pancreatic cancer risk, but prediagnostic serum insulin concentration has not been evaluated as a predictor of this malignancy. The relationships of prediagnostic fasting glucose and insulin concentrations and insulin resistance to incidence of exocrine pancreatic cancer were examined in the Alpha-Tocopherol, Beta-Carotene Cancer Prevention Study of 29,133 male Finnish smokers, including 169 incident pancreatic cancer cases and 400 controls. After adjusting for age, smoking, and body mass index, insulin resistance and higher baseline fasting serum concentrations of glucose and insulin were positively associated with pancreatic cancer. The presence of biochemically defined diabetes mellitus (glucose > or = 126 mg/dL) and insulin concentration in the highest vs. the lowest quartile both showed a significant two-fold increased risk (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.13; CI = 1.044.35 and HR = 2.01; CI = 1.033.93, respectively). The positive associations were stronger among the cases that occurred more than 10 years after baseline (highest vs. lowest quartile: glucose: HR = 2.16; CI = 1.054.42, insulin: HR = 2.90; CI = 1.226.92, and insulin resistance: HR = 2.71; CI = 1.196.18) (see Figure 3). Results support the hypothesis that higher insulin concentrations and insulin resistance predict the risk of exocrine pancreatic cancer. (Stolzenberg-Solomon RZ, Graubard BI, Chari S, Limburg P, Taylor PR, Virtamo J, Albanes D. Insulin, glucose, insulin resistance, and pancreatic cancer in male smokers. JAMA 2005;294:28722878) PROSTATE CANCER Meat and Meat MutagensThe association between meat and meat mutagensspecifically, 2-amino-1-methyl-6-phenylimidazo[4,5-b]pyridine (PhIP)and prostate cancer risk was investigated in the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial. During follow-up, a total of 1,338 prostate cancer cases were diagnosed among 29,361 men; this included 868 incident diagnoses and 520 advanced cases. Neither intake of red meat or white meat, or all meat combined, was associated with prostate cancer risk. Individuals who consumed more than 10 g/d of very well-done meat, compared to those who did not consume very well-done meat, were associated with a 1.4-fold increased risk of prostate cancer (CI = 1.051.92) and a 1.7-fold increased risk (CI = 1.192.40) of incident disease. The highest quintile of PhIP was associated with a 1.2-fold increased risk of prostate cancer (CI = 1.011.48) and a 1.3-fold increased risk of incident disease (CI = 1.011.61). This study lends epidemiologic support to animal studies that have implicated PhIP as a prostate carcinogen. (Cross AJ, Peters U, Kirsh VA, Andriole GL, Reding D, Hayes RB, Sinha R. A prospective study of meat and meat mutagens and prostate cancer risk. Cancer Res 2005;65:1177911784) HSD17B1 GeneThe association between the steroid hormone gene HSD17B1 and prostate cancer was investigated by the Breast and Prostate Cancer Cohort Consortium. Researchers systematically characterized variation in HSD17B1 by targeted resequencing and dense genotyping, selected haplotype-tagging single nucleotide polymorphisms (htSNPs) that efficiently predict common variants, and genotyped these htSNPs in 8,290 prostate cancer cases and 9,367 controls. HSD17B1 htSNPs or htSNP haplotypes were not associated with risk of prostate cancer or tumor stage. One haplotype was inversely associated with risk of prostate cancer among Latinos and Japanese Americans but not among African Americans, Native Hawaiians, or whites. Results suggest that germline variants in HSD17B1 characterized by these htSNPs do not substantially influence the risk of prostate cancer in whites. (Kraft P, Pharoah P, Chanock SJ, Albanes D, Kolonel LN, Hayes RB, Altshuler D, Andriole G, Berg C, Boeing H, Burtt NP, Bueno-de-Mesquita B, Calle EE, Cann H, Canzian F, Chen YC, Crawford DE, Dunning AM, Feigelson HS, Freedman ML, Gaziano JM, Giovannucci E, Gonzalez CA, Haiman CA, Hallmans G, Henderson BE, Hirschhorn JN, Hunter DJ, Kaaks R, Key T, Marchand LL, Ma J, Overvad K, Palli D, Pike MC, Riboli E, Rodriguez C, Setiawan WV, Stampfer MJ, Stram DO, Thomas G, Thun MJ, Travis R, Trichopoulou A, Virtamo J, Wacholder S. Genetic variation in the HSD17B1 gene and risk of prostate cancer. PLoS Genet 2005;1:e68) SECOND CANCERS Testicular Cancer SurvivorsAlthough second primary cancers are a leading cause of death among men with testicular cancer, few studies have quantified risks among long-term survivors. Within 14 population-based tumor registries in Europe and North America (19432001), 40,576 one-year survivors of testicular cancer were identified and data ascertained on any new incident solid tumors among these patients. A total of 2,285 second solid cancers were reported in the cohort. The relative risk and excess absolute risk decreased with increasing age at testicular cancer diagnosis (see Figure 4). Among 10-year survivors diagnosed with testicular cancer at age 35, the risk of developing a second solid tumor was increased (RR = 1.9; CI = 1.82.1). Risk remained elevated for 35 years (RR = 1.7; CI = 1.52.0; p < .001). Statistically significantly elevated risks were observed, for the first time, for cancers of the pleura (RR = 3.4; CI = 1.75.9) and esophagus (RR = 1.7; CI = 1.02.6). Cancers of the lung (RR = 1.5; CI = 1.21.7), colon (RR = 2.0; CI = 1.72.5), bladder (RR = 2.7; CI = 2.23.1), pancreas (RR = 3.6; CI = 2.84.6), and stomach (RR = 4.0; CI = 3.24.8) accounted for almost 60% of the total excess risk. Overall patterns were similar for seminoma and nonseminoma patients, with lower risks observed for nonseminoma patients treated after 1975. For patients diagnosed with seminomas or nonseminomatous tumors at age 35, cumulative risks of solid cancer by age 75 were 36% and 31%, respectively, compared with 23% for the general population. Testicular cancer survivors are at increased risk of solid tumors for at least 35 years after treatment. (Travis LB, Fossa SD, Schonfeld SJ, McMaster ML, Lynch CF, Storm H, Hall P, Holowaty E, Andersen A, Pukkala E, Andersson M, Kaijser M, Gospodarowicz M, Joensuu T, Cohen RJ, Boice JD Jr, Dores GM, Gilbert ES. Second cancers among 40,576 testicular cancer patients: Focus on long-term survivors. J Natl Cancer Inst 2005;97:13541365) Breast Cancer after Hodgkin LymphomaThe risk of breast cancer after treatment for HL at a young age was estimated among 3,817 female one-year survivors of HL diagnosed at age 30 or younger between 1965 and 1994. Cumulative absolute risks of breast cancer increased with age at the end of the follow-up, time since HL diagnosis, and radiation dose. For an HL survivor who was treated at age 25 with a chest radiation dose of at least 40 Gy without alkylating agents, estimated cumulative absolute risks of breast cancer by ages 35, 45, and 55 years were 1.4% (CI = 0.9%2.1%), 11.1% (CI = 7.4%16.3%), and 29.0% (CI = 20.2%40.1%), respectively. Cumulative absolute risks were lower among women treated with alkylating agents. These estimates are applicable to HL survivors treated with regimens of the past and can be used to counsel such patients and plan management and preventive strategies. (Travis LB, Hill D, Dores GM, Gospodarowicz M, van Leeuwen FE, Holowaty E, Glimelius B, Andersson M, Pukkala E, Lynch CF, Pee D, Smith SA, Vant Veer MB, Joensuu T, Storm H, Stovall M, Boice JD Jr, Gilbert E, Gail MH. Cumulative absolute breast cancer risk for young women treated for Hodgkin lymphoma. J Natl Cancer Inst 2005;97:14281437) TESTICULAR CANCER Incidence among Black MenSince at least the beginning of the SEER program in 1973, the incidence rates for testicular germ cell tumors (TGCT) have been five times higher among white men than among black men. In addition, rates among white men have been increasing, whereas rates among black men were stable through 1988. However, a recent examination of ethnic-specific rates suggested that the incidence among black men may have begun to change in the 1990s. Between the periods 1988 to 1992 and 1998 to 2001, the incidence of TGCT among black men increased by 100%, with the incidence of seminoma increasing twice as much (124.4%) as the incidence of nonseminoma (64.3%). Over the period from 1973 to 2001, there was no evidence of a change in the proportion of tumors diagnosed at earlier stages among black men. In contrast, the proportion of tumors diagnosed at localized stages significantly increased among white men. Although the reasons for the increase in TGCT among blacks are unclear, screening and earlier diagnosis of TGCT do not seem to be factors. (McGlynn KA, Devesa SS, Graubard BI, Castle PE. Increasing incidence of testicular germ cell tumors among black men in the United States. J Clin Oncol 2005:23:57575761) DCEG PEOPLE IN THE NEWS
COMINGS . . . GOINGS
REB EXPERTISE AIDS NATIONAL EFFORT AGAINST RADIOLOGICAL TERRORISMThe Radiation Epidemiology Branch (REB) has been tasked with expanding, enhancing, and developing new ways to contribute to the national strategic plan and research agenda for medical countermeasures against radiological and nuclear threats. As part of a joint program with the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services and the Office of Public Health Emergency Preparedness, NIH is playing a major role in evaluating the potential impacts of these threats on human health. At NIH, the program is coordinated by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, with help from experts in several areas of NCI. Among the broad and complex types of potential radiological and nuclear threats are detonation of conventional explosives combined with radioactive materials (e.g., dirty bombs), clandestine placement of radioactive sources in public places, contamination of food and water supplies, attacks on nuclear reactors or sites where radioactive materials are produced or stored, and detonation of a nuclear explosive device. REB investigators will be focusing their efforts in four major areas. Foremost is the Branchs long-standing expertise in dosimetry. Because most current biodosimetry methods are expensive and time-consuming, REB proposes to develop an alternative and less expensive dose estimation method, which combines data about radiation levels in and around a source with knowledge about the location of individuals during and following an event. To provide important data on thyroid and other organ doses associated with higher fallout-related radiation levels, REB investigators will draw on the wealth of knowledge derived from studies in Chornobyl, Kazakhstan, and the Marshall Islands. The Branchs epidemiological studies may provide valuable information about late effects of radiation among people exposed at various ages and those tasked with cleaning up the debris from radiological terrorist events. Other dosimetry-related REB activities will include expanded efforts to evaluate the prevalence of radiation-associated chromosomal aberrations in offspring of women exposed to high environmental levels of radionuclides. In addition, the Branch is collaborating to evaluate the reliability of electron paramagnetic resonance measurements made on tooth enamel to help refine environmental dose models. REB members are also collaborating on the development of optically stimulated luminescence of tooth enamel in the hopes of providing a quick, easy, and inexpensive approach for assessing radiation exposure in vivo. If the required sensitivity can be reached, this new method would be invaluable in triage and dose reconstruction in large populations. Recently, REB researchers initiated biokinetic studies to more accurately estimate radiation doses to the thyroid from I-131, or radioactive iodine, in a cohort study of patients with thyrotoxicosis. A potentially important application of this work would be to assess radiation doses to the thyroid of young persons with thyroid abnormalities who are exposed to accidental or intentional release of radioiodines. As a second major contribution, the Branchs epidemiological studies may provide valuable information about late effects of radiation among people exposed at various ages and those tasked with cleaning up the debris from radiological terrorist events. The epidemiological studies in Chornobyl and Kazakhstan are sources of potential estimates of risk for cancer and other chronic diseases after exposure to fallout. A third useful contribution is Branch members ongoing work in identifying and quantifying the sources of uncertainty in dose and risk estimation. Understanding sources of uncertainty is the first step to increasing the accuracy of risk estimation. Finally, the fourth major emphasis of REBs efforts will be the training of a new generation of scientists in radiation epidemiology, dosimetry, and relevant methods of statistical analysis. |