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Publications

Kenah E, Lipsitch M, Robins JM.
Generation interval contraction and epidemic data analysis.
Math Biosci. 2008 May;213(1):71-9.

Takahashi K, Kulldorff M, Tango T, Yih K.
A flexibly shaped space-time scan statistic for disease outbreak detection and monitoring.
Int J Health Geogr. 2008 Apr 11;7:14.

Cauchemez S, Valleron AJ, Boëlle PY, Flahault A, Ferguson NM.
Estimating the impact of school closure on influenza transmission from Sentinel data.
Nature. 2008 Apr 10;452(7188):750-4.

Halloran ME, Ferguson NM, Eubank S, Longini IM Jr, Cummings DAT, Lewis B, Xu S, Fraser C, Vullikanti A, Germann TC, Wagener D, Beckman R, Kadau K, Barrett C, Macken CA, Burke DS, Cooley P.
Modeling targeted layered containment of an influenza pandemic in the United States.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2008 Mar 25;105(12):4639-44.

Rosvall M, Bergstrom CT.
Maps of random walks on complex networks reveal community structure.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2008 Jan 29;105(4):1118-23.

Kenah E, Robins JM.
Network-based analysis of stochastic SIR epidemic models with random and proportionate mixing.
J Theor Biol. 2007 Dec 21;249(4):706-22.

Longini IM Jr, Nizam A, Ali M, Yunus M, Shenvi N, Clemens JD.
Controlling endemic cholera with oral vaccines.
PLoS Med. 2007 Nov 27;4(11):e336.

Schmid-Hempel P, Frank SA.
Pathogenesis, virulence, and infective dose.
PLoS Pathog. 2007 Oct;3(10):e147.

Kenah E, Robins JM.
Second look at the spread of epidemics on networks.
Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys. 2007 Sep;76(3 Pt 2):036113.

Yang Y, Halloran ME, Sugimoto JD, Longini IM.
Detecting human-to-human transmission of avian influenza A (H5N1).
Emerg Infect Dis. 2007 Sep;13(9):1348-53.

Pitzer VE, Olsen SJ, Bergstrom CT, Dowell SF, Lipsitch M.
Little evidence for genetic susceptibility to influenza A (H5N1) from family clustering data.
Emerg Infect Dis. 2007 Jul;13(7):1074-6.

Halloran ME, Piedra PA, Longini IM Jr, Gaglani MJ, Schmotzer B, Fewlass C, Herschler GB, Glezen WP.
Efficacy of trivalent, cold-adapted, influenza virus vaccine against influenza A (Fujian), a drift variant, during 2003-2004.
Vaccine. 2007 May 16;25(20):4038-45.

Pitzer VE, Leung GM, Lipsitch M.
Estimating variability in the transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome to household contacts in Hong Kong, China.
Am J Epidemiol. 2007 May 10; [Epub ahead of print]

Billings L, Schwartz IB, Shaw LB, McCrary M, Burke DS, Cummings DAT.
Instabilities in multiserotype disease models with antibody-dependent enhancement.
J Theor Biol. 2007 May 7;246(1):18-27.

Epstein JM, Goedecke DM, Yu F, Morris RJ, Wagener DK, Bobashev GV.

Controlling pandemic flu: the value of international air travel restrictions.
PLoS ONE. 2007 May 2; 2:e401.

Bootsma MC, Ferguson NM.
The effect of public health measures on the 1918 influenza pandemic in US cities.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2007 May 1;104(18):7588-93

Hatchett RJ, Mecher CE, Lipsitch M.
Public health interventions and epidemic intensity during the 1918 influenza pandemic.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2007 May 1;104(18):7582-7.

Rosvall M, Bergstrom CT.
An information-theoretic framework for resolving community structure in complex networks.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2007 May 1;104(18):7327-31.

Lipsitch M, O’hagan JJ.
Patterns of antigenic diversity and the mechanisms that maintain them.
J R Soc Interface. 2007 Apr 10; [Epub ahead of print]

Lessler J, Cummings DA, Fishman S, Vora A, Burke DS.
Transmissibility of swine flu at Fort Dix, 1976.
J R Soc Interface. 2007 Apr 3; [Epub ahead of print]

Handel A, Longini IM Jr., Antia R.
What is the best control strategy for multiple infectious disease outbreaks?
P Roy Soc B-Biol Sci. 2007 Mar 22;274(1611):833-7.

Longini IM Jr, Halloran ME, Nizam A, Yang Y, Xu S, Burke DS, Cummings DA, Epstein JM.
Containing a large bioterrorist smallpox attack: a computer simulation approach.
Int J Infect Dis. 2007 Mar;11(2):98-108.

Wallinga J, Lipsitch M.
How generation intervals shape the relationship between growth rates and reproductive numbers.
Proc Biol Sci. 2007 Feb 22;274(1609):599-604.

Lipsitch M, Cohen T, Murray M, Levin BR.
Antiviral resistance and the control of pandemic influenza.
PLoS Med. 2007 Jan 23;4(1):e15.

Halloran ME, Hayden FG, Yang Y, Longini IM Jr, Monto AS.
Antiviral effects on influenza viral transmission and pathogenicity: observations from household-based trials.
Am J Epidemiol. 2007 Jan 15;165(2):212-21.

Yates A, Antia R, Regoes RR.
How do pathogen evolution and host heterogeneity interact in disease emergence?
Proc Biol Sci. 2006 Dec 22;273(1605):3075-83.

Barbour AG, Dai Q, Restrepo BI, Stoenner HG, Frank SA.
Pathogen escape from host immunity by a genome program for antigenic variation.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2006 Nov 28;103(48):18290-5.

Halloran ME.
Invited commentary: challenges of using contact data to understand acute respiratory disease transmission.
Am J Epidemiol. 2006 Nov 15;164(10):945-6.

Burke DS, Epstein JM, Cummings DA, Parker JI, Cline KC, Singa RM, Chakravarty S.
Individual-based computational modeling of smallpox epidemic control strategies.
Acad Emerg Med. 2006 Nov;13(11):1142-9.

Scharfstein DO, Halloran ME, Chu H, Daniels MJ.
On estimation of vaccine efficacy using validation samples with selection bias.
Biostatistics. 2006 Oct;7(4):615-29.

Handel A, Regoes RR, Antia R.
The role of compensatory mutations in the emergence of drug resistance.
PLoS Comput Biol. 2006 Oct;2(10):e137.

Holmberg SD, Layton CM, Ghneim GS, Wagener DK.
State plans for containment of pandemic influenza.
Emerg Infect Dis. 2006 Sep;12(9):1414-17

Ferguson NM, Cummings DA, Fraser C, Cajka JC, Cooley PC, Burke DS.
Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic.
Nature. 2006 Jul 27;442(7101):448-52.

Mills CE, Robins JM, Bergstrom CT, Lipsitch M.
Pandemic influenza: risk of multiple introductions and the need to prepare for them.
PLoS Med. 2006 Jun;3(6):e135.

Lipsitch M, Robins JM, Mills CE, Bergstrom CT.
Multiple outbreaks and flu containment plans
Science. 2006 May 12;312(5775):845.

Yang Y, Longini IM Jr, Halloran ME.
Design and evaluation of prophylactic interventions using infectious disease incidence data from close contact groups.
Applied Statistics. 2006 May;55(3):317-30.

Germann TC, Kadau K, Longini IM Jr, Macken CA.
Mitigation strategies for pandemic influenza in the United States.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2006 Apr 11;103(15):5935-40.

Dibble C.
Computational laboratories for spatial agent-based models.
In: Tesfatsion L, Judd KL, eds. Handbook of computational economics, vol 2: Agent-based computational economics. North-Holland: 2006.

Halloran ME, Longini IM Jr.
Public health. Community studies for vaccinating schoolchildren against influenza.
Science. 2006 Feb 3;311(5761):615-6

Eubank S.
Network based models of infectious disease spread.
Jpn J Infect Dis. 2005 Dec;58(6):S9-13.

Schwartz IB, Shaw LB, Cummings DA, Billings L, McCrary M, Burke DS.
Chaotic desynchronization of multistrain diseases.
Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys. 2005 Dec 1;72(6 Pt 2):066201.

Cummings DA, Schwartz IB, Billings L, Shaw LB, Burke DS.
Dynamic effects of antibody-dependent enhancement on the fitness of viruses.
PNAS. 2005 Oct 18;102(42):15259-64.

Ferguson NM, Cummings DA, Cauchemez S, Fraser C, Riley S, Meeyai A, Iamsirithaworn S, Burke DS.
Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia.
Nature. 2005 Sep 8;437(7056):209-14.

Longini IM Jr., Nizam A, Xu S, Ungchusak K, Hanshaoworakul W, Cummings DA, Halloran ME.
Containing pandemic influenza at the source.
Science. 2005 Aug 12;309(5737):1083-7.

Ganusov VV, Antia R.
Pathology during acute infections: contributions of intracellular pathogens and the CTL response.
Biol Lett. 2005 Jun 22;1(2):239-42.

Barrett CL, Eubank SG, Smith JP.
If smallpox strikes Portland....
Sci Am. 2005 Mar;292(3):42-9.

Longini IM Jr., Halloran ME.
Strategy for distribution of influenza vaccine to high-risk groups and children.
Am J Epidemiol. 2005 Feb 15;161(4):303-6.

Ferguson NM, Fraser C, Donnelly CA, Ghani AC, Anderson RM.
Public health. Public health risks from the avian H5N1 influenza epidemic.
Science. 2004 May 14;304(5673):968-9.

Other articles include:

Riley S.
Large-scale spatial-transmission models of infectious disease.
Science. 2007 Jun 1;316(5829):1298-1301.

Burke DS.
Curing disparity: epidemiology in silicon.
eJournal USA: Global Issues. 2006 Oct;11(3):13-14.

Eubank S, Guclu H, Kumar VS, Marathe MV, Srinivasan A, Toroczkai Z, Wang N.
Modelling disease outbreaks in realistic urban social networks.
Nature. 2004 May 13;429(6988):180-4.

This page last updated December 30, 2008