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Spatial and Temporal Projections of Cancer Incidence
2003
US Predicted Cancer Incidence, 1999:
Complete Maps by County and State from Spatial Projection Models
This monograph presented a new spatial statistical model
that can predict cancer incidence in all U.S. counties when only
a subset of counties can provide observed data for the analysis.
Predictions for 1999 are presented based on 17 SEER registries.
2007
Extension of the spatial statistical model to also model rate
changes over time can be used to fill in the data gaps to provide
estimates of cancer incidence in all U.S. counties for each
year. These spatio-temporal estimates can be used to project
rates or counts ahead in time. This method will be used by the
American Cancer Society to estimate the numbers of new cancer
cases in the coming calendar year beginning in 2007.
Pickle LW, Hao Y, Jemal A, Zou Z, Tiwari RC,
Ward E, Hachey M, Howe HL, Feuer EJ. A new method of
estimating United States and state-level cancer incidence
counts for the current calendar year. CA Cancer J Clin 2007
57:30-42. [Full
Text] [PDF]
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