The Public Health and Air Pollution in Asia (PAPA) Project: Estimating the Mortality Effects of Particulate Matter in Bangkok, Thailand Nuntavarn Vichit-Vadakan,1 Nitaya Vajanapoom,1 and Bart Ostro2 1Faculty of Public Health, Thammasat University, Rangsit Campus, Klongluang, Pathumthani, Thailand; 2Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment, California Environmental Protection Agency, Oakland, California, USA Abstract Background: Air pollution data in Bangkok, Thailand, indicate that levels of particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤ 10 µm (PM10) are significantly higher than in most cities in North America and Western Europe, where the health effects of PM10 are well documented. However, the pollution mix, seasonality, and demographics are different from those in developed Western countries. It is important, therefore, to determine whether the large metropolitan area of Bangkok is subject to similar effects of PM10. Objectives: This study was designed to investigate the mortality risk from air pollution in Bangkok, Thailand. Methods: The study period extended from 1999 to 2003, for which the Ministry of Public Health provided the mortality data. Measures of air pollution were derived from air monitoring stations, and information on temperature and relative humidity was obtained from the weather station in central Bangkok. The statistical analysis followed the common protocol for the multicity PAPA (Public Health and Air Pollution Project in Asia) project in using a natural cubic spline model with smooths of time and weather. Results: The excess risk for non-accidental mortality was 1.3% [95% confidence interval (CI) , 0.8–1.7] per 10 µg/m3 of PM10, with higher excess risks for cardiovascular and above age 65 mortality of 1.9% (95% CI, 0.8–3.0) and 1.5% (95% CI, 0.9–2.1) , respectively. In addition, the effects from PM10 appear to be consistent in multipollutant models. Conclusions: The results suggest strong associations between several different mortality outcomes and PM10. In many cases, the effect estimates were higher than those typically reported in Western industrialized nations. Key words: air pollution, Bangkok, mortality, PM10, time series. Environ Health Perspect 116: 1179–1182 (2008) . doi:10.1289/ehp.10849 available via http://dx.doi.org/ [Online 9 July 2008] Address correspondence to N. Vajanapoom, Faculty of Public Health, Thammasat University, Rangsit Campus, Klongluang, Pathumthani 12121, Thailand. Telephone: 662-516-7614. Fax: 662-516-7614. E-mail: nvajanapoom@yahoo.com We especially thank S. Wangwongwatana, Director of the Pollution Control Department, for his support of this project. We also thank W. Huang and S. Mehta of the Health Effects Institute (HEI) for their assistance on this project. We acknowledge the HEI for helpful comments from their International Scientific Oversight Committee. We also acknowledge the cooperation of the Thai Ministry of Public Health, the Pollution Control Department, and the Meteorological Department. This study was supported by grant 4714-RFIQ03-3/04-10 from the HEI. The authors declare they have no competing financial interests. Received 5 September 2007 ; accepted 26 June 2008. The full version of this article is available for free in HTML or PDF formats. |