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Emissions of Greenhouse Gases Report
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Carbon Dioxide Emissions
  Total Emissions | Energy-Related Emissions | Weather Effects on Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 2006 and 2007 |
  Residential Sector | Commercial Sector | Industrial Sector | Transportation Sector | Electric Power Sector |
  Nonfuel Uses of Energy Inputs | Adjustments to Energy Consumption | Other Sources
Report Chapters

Overview
Carbon Dioxide Emissions
Methane Emissions
Nitrous Oxide Emissions
High GWP Cases
Land-Use Emissions  

Preface
Contacts
Latest Documentation
Total Emissions    

Total U.S. carbon dioxide emissions in 2007 increased by 75.9 million metric tons (1.3 percent) compared with 2006 emissions (see Figure 5 on right), to 6,022 million metric tons (MMT). The increase offset a 1.4-percent drop in 2006 (to 5,946 MMT), raising the total back close to the 2005 level (6,032 MMT). 

The important factors that contributed to the increase in carbon dioxide emissions in 2007 included: unfavorable weather, with both heating and cooling degree-days above 2006 levels (see discussion on "Weather Effects on energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 2006 and 2007"); and the combination of a 2.5-percent increase in electricity demand and a 14.2-percent decline in hydropower generation that resulted in a 2.9-percent increase in emissions from the electric power sector.

Energy-related carbon dioxide emissions account for 98 percent of U.S. carbon dioxide emissions (see Table 5 below). The vast majority of carbon dioxide emissions come from fossil fuel combustion, with smaller amounts from the nonfuel use of energy inputs, and the total adjusted for emissions from U.S. Territories and international bunker fuels. Other sources include emissions from industrial processes, such as cement and limestone production.


Table 5. U.S. Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy and Industry, 1990, 1995, and 2000-2007 (million metric tons carbon dioxide).  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.

 
Figure 5. Annual Change in U.S. Carbon Dioxide emissions, 1990-2007 (million metric tons carbon dioxide).  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.
figure data

U.S. Anthropogenic Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1990, 2005, and 2006 Table.  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.


Energy-Related Emissions    

Energy-related carbon dioxide emissions account for more than 80 percent of U.S. greenhouse gas emissions. EIA breaks energy use into four end-use sectors (see Table 6 below), and emissions from the electric power sector are attributed to the end-use sectors. 

Growth in energy-related carbon dioxide emissions has resulted largely from increases associated with electric power generation and transportation fuel use. All other energy-related carbon dioxide emissions (from direct fuel use in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors) have been either flat or declining in recent years (see Figure 6 on right).

Reasons for the growth in electric power and transportation sector emissions include: increased demand for electricity for computers and electronics in homes and offices; strong growth in demand for commercial lighting and cooling; substitution of new electricity-intensive technologies, such as electric arc furnaces for steelmaking, in the industrial sector; and increased demand for transportation services as a result of relatively low fuel prices and robust economic growth in the 1990s and early 2000s.6 

Other U.S. energy-related carbon dioxide emissions have remained flat or declined, for reasons that include increased efficiencies in heating technologies, as well as declining activity in older “smokestack” industries and the growing importance of less energy-intensive industries, such as computers and electronics.

Table 6. U.S. Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions by End-Use Sector, 1990, 1995, and 2000-2007 (million metric tons carbon dioxide).  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.


 
Figure 6. U.S. Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Sector, 1990-2007 (million metric tons).  Need help, contact the Naational Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.


U.S. Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1990, 2006, and 2007 Table.  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.
Weather Effects on energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 2006 and 2007    

Annual variations in CO2 emissions in the residential and commercial sectors over the 2005-2007 period illustrate the impacts that changes in weather can have on emissions in those sectors. Total energy-related CO2 emissions for all the end-use sectors combined (residential, commercial, industrial, and transportation) were down in 2006 by about 69 million metric tons (MMT), but in 2007 they were up by about 84 MMT, inviting the question: Why are these years so different from each other? 

It is difficult to estimate the relative importance of the different factors that affect year-to-year changes in emissions. Since 1990, energy-related emissions have grown on average by about 1.0 percent per year. At current emissions levels that would mean about 60 MMT added per year. With U.S. GDP growing by 2.8 percent in 2006 but by only 2.0 percent in 2007, why was 2006 emissions growth so far below average (-69 MMT) and 2007 growth above average (+84 MMT)? 

One of the most important factors causing deviations from average emissions growth is weather. The table on the right shows emissions from energy use for heating and cooling in the residential and commercial sectors for 2006 and 2007, and weather adjustments for both sectors, based on estimates from EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook 2008.7 In 2006, emissions attributable to space heating and space cooling both were lower than in 2005; in 2007, both were higher than in 2006.8 The annual variations can be estimated more precisely by using changes in heating degree-days (HDD) and cooling degree-days (CDD).9 In 2006, both HDD and CDD were down relative to 2005, reducing both space heating and cooling requirements; in 2007, both HDD and CDD were up relative to 2006, increasing demand for both heating and cooling. 

In the residential sector, CO2 emissions related to heating and cooling in 2006 were estimated to be about 48 and 13 MMT lower than in 2005, respectively, for a total weather effect of -61 MMT. In the commercial sector, emissions related to heating and cooling in 2006 were 10 and 4 MMT lower than in 2005. Thus, for both sectors, emissions in 2006 were about 76 MMT lower than they would have been without the weather effect. The effect is not insignificant: when 2006 emissions in the two sectors are adjusted for the weather effect, the result shows an increase of 7 MMT from 2005 to 2006. Similarly, for 2007, the weather effect accounts for about two-thirds (56 MMT) of the total increase in residential and commercial sector CO2 emissions relative to 2006. 

With the adjustments for weather, the growth of total energy-related CO2 emissions in both 2006 and 2007 is below the 1.0-percent average growth rate for the 1990-2007 period. Other important factors in year-to-year changes in CO2 emissions include total and relative fuel prices, efficiency of electricity generation and the energy-intensive industries, and the availability of hydropower, nuclear power, and other low-carbon energy sources, as well as overall economic growth.

 


Emissions (MMT CO2) Table.  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.

Residential Sector    

Residential sector carbon dioxide emissions originate primarily from: 
    -Direct fuel consumption (principally, natural gas) for heating and cooking 
    -Electricity for cooling (and some heating), for lighting, and increasingly for televisions, computers, and other
     household electronic devices (see Table 7 below). 

Energy consumed for heating in homes and businesses has a large influence on the annual fluctuations in energy-related carbon dioxide emissions.
   -The 6.5-percent increase in heating degree-days in 2007 was the second-largest year-to-year increase over the
    period from 1990 to 2007 (see Figure 7 on right).
   -Although annual changes in cooling degree-days have a smaller impact on energy demand, the 2.2-percent
    increase in 2007 contributed to the upward pressure on electricity demand.
   -Weather was a key factor behind the 4.3-percent increase in carbon dioxide emissions from the residential
    sector in 2007.

In the longer run, residential emissions are affected by population growth and income. From 1990 to 2007:
   -Residential sector carbon dioxide emissions grew by an average of 1.6 percent per year.
   -U.S. population grew by an average of 0.9 percent per year.
   -Per-capita income (measured in constant dollars) grew by an average of 1.7 percent per year.

 
Figure 7. Annual Changes In U.S. Heating Degree-Days and residential Sector CO2 Emissions from Direct Fuel Combustion, 1990-2007 (annual percent change).  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.
figure data
Residential Sector Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1990, 2006, and 2007 Table.  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.
Commercial Sector    

Commercial sector emissions (see Table 8 below) are largely the result of energy use for lighting, space heating, and space cooling in commercial structures, such as office buildings, shopping malls, schools, hospitals, and restaurants. 

Lighting accounts for a larger component of energy demand in the commercial sector (approximately 20 percent of total demand in 2006) than in the residential sector (approximately 11 percent of the total).

Commercial sector emissions are affected less by weather than are residential sector emissions: heating and cooling accounted for approximately 37 percent of energy demand in the residential sector in 2006 but only about 19 percent in the commercial sector.10

Although weather has a smaller effect on emissions in the commercial sector than in the residential sector, it contributed, along with 2-percent economic growth, to the 4.3-percent increase in 2007—well above the average annual increase from 1990 to 2006.

In the longer run, trends in emissions from the commercial sector parallel economic trends. Commercial sector emissions grew at an average annual rate of 2.0 percent from 1990 to 2007—about the same rate as growth in real per capita income (see Figure 8 on right).

Emissions from direct fuel consumption in the commercial sector declined from 1990 to 2007, while the sector’s electricity-related emissions increased by an average of 2.6 percent per year.

Table 8. U.S. Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Commercial Sector Energy Consumption, 1990, 1995, and 2000-2007 (million metric tons carbon dioxide).  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.
Data for all years 1990-2007

 
Figure 8. U.S. Commercial Sector CO2 Emissions and Per Capita Income, 1990-2007.  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.

figure data
Commercial Sector Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1990, 2006, and 2007 Table.  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.
Industrial Sector    

Unlike commercial sector emissions, trends in U.S. industrial sector emissions (see Table 9 below) have not followed economic growth trends. In 2007, industrial carbon dioxide emissions fell by 0.8 percent from 2006 and were 2.8 percent below their 1990 level. 

Decreases in industrial sector carbon dioxide emissions have resulted largely from erosion of the older energy-intensive (specifically, coal-intensive) U.S. industrial base.

Coke plants consumed 22.7 million short tons of coal in 2007, down from 38.9 million short tons in 1990. Other industrial coal consumption declined from 76.3 million short tons in 1990 to 56.5 million short tons in 2007, as reflected by the drop in emissions from coal shown in Figure 9 on right.

The share of manufacturing activity represented by less energy-intensive industries, such as computer chip and electronic component manufacturing, has increased, while the share represented by the more energy-intensive industries has fallen.

By fuel, only petroleum and purchased electricity use in 2007 were above 1990 levels for the commercial sector. Coal use has fallen since 1990, and natural gas use, which rose in the 1990s, has fallen since 2000.

 
Figure 9. U.S. Industrial Sector CO2 Emissions and Major Industrial fuel Use, 1990-2007.  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.
figure data
Industrial Sector Carbon Dioxidde Emissions, 1990, 2006, and 2007 Table.  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.
Transportation Sector    

Transportation sector carbon dioxide emissions in 2007 were 431.8 million metric tons higher than in 1990 (see Table 10 below), an increase that represents 44 percent of the growth in unadjusted energy-related carbon dioxide emissions from all end-use sectors over the period. 

The transportation sector has led all U.S. end-use sectors in emissions of carbon dioxide since 1999; however, with higher fuel prices and slower economic growth in 2007, emissions from the transportation sector were essentially unchanged from their 2006 level.

Petroleum combustion is the largest source of carbon dioxide emissions in the transportation sector, as opposed to electricity-related emissions in the other end-use sectors.

Increases in ethanol fuel consumption in recent years have mitigated the growth in transportation sector emissions somewhat (emissions from energy inputs to ethanol production plants are counted in the industrial sector).

Transportation sector emissions from gasoline and diesel fuel combustion generally parallel total vehicle miles traveled (see Figure 10 on right).

 

Figure 10. U.S. Vehicle Miles Traveled and CO2 Emissions from Gasoline and Diesel Transportation Fuel Use, 1980-2007. Need help, contact the Naational Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.
figure data


Transportation Sector Carbon Dioxidde Emissions, 1990, 2006, and 2007 Table.  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.

Electric Power Sector    

The electric power sector transforms primary energy inputs into electricity. The sector consists of companies whose primary business is the generation of electricity. 

Carbon dioxide emissions from electric power generation rose by 2.9 percent in 2007 (see Table 11 below). The increase resulted from growth in total electricity generation (2.5 percent) and an increase in the carbon intensity of the electricity supply (0.4 percent).

Higher overall carbon intensity of power generation in 2007 was the result of a large drop in generation from hydropower resources (down by 40 billion kilowatthours), which more than offset increases in generation from wind and nuclear power plants (up by 6 and 19 billion kilowatthours, respectively). While nuclear generation rose by 2.4 percent from 2006 to 2007, generation from renewable fuels—including hydropower—fell by 9.6 percent, and generation from fossil fuels increased by 4.1 percent.

From 2000 to 2007, as the overall efficiency of U.S. electricity generation has increased, there has been a decline in electric power sector energy losses11 relative to total sales, which has helped to mitigate the sector’s carbon dioxide emissions (see Figure 11 on right). For example, generation from natural gas rose by 57 percent from 2000 to 2007, but emissions from natural-gas-fired generation rose by only 33 percent over the same period.

 

Figure 11. U.S. Electric Power Sector Energy Sales and Losses and CO2 Emissions from Primary Fuel Combustion, 1990-2007.  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.

figure dataElectric Power Sector Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1990, 2006, and 2007 Table.  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.

Nonfuel Uses of Energy Inputs    

Nonfuel uses of fossil fuels (for purposes other than their energy value) create carbon dioxide emissions and also sequester carbon in nonfuel products. 

In 2007, carbon dioxide emissions from nonfuel uses of energy inputs totaled 117.6 MMT—more than 5 percent above the 2006 total (see Table 12 below).
Carbon sequestration from nonfuel uses of energy inputs in 2007 included 301.5 MMTCO2e that was embedded in plastics and other nonfuel products rather than emitted to the atmosphere (see Table 13 below).
The 2007 sequestration total was 0.2 percent below the 2006 total.
 
Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Nonfuel Uses of Energy Inputs, 1990, 2006, and 2007 Table.  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.

Carbon Sequestration from Nonfuel Uses of Energy Inputs, 1990, 2006, and 2007 Table.  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.
Adjustments to Energy Consumption    

EIA's greenhouse gas emissions inventory includes two “adjustments to energy consumption” (see Table 14 below). First, the energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions data in this report correspond to EIA’s coverage of energy consumption, which includes the 50 States and the District of Columbia, but under the UNFCCC the United States is also responsible for emissions emanating from its Territories; therefore, their emissions are added to the U.S. total. Second, because the IPCC definition of energy consumption excludes international bunker fuels, emissions from international bunker fuels are subtracted from the U.S. total. Similarly, because the IPCC excludes emissions from military bunker fuels from national totals, they are subtracted from the U.S. Total. 

The net adjustment in emissions has been negative in every year from 1990 to 2007, because emissions from bunker fuels have always exceeded emissions from U.S. Territories. The net negative adjustment for 2007 was larger (-74.2 MMT), because emissions from the U.S. Territories fell while emissions from bunker fuels increased.
 
Carbon Dioxide Emissions from U.S. Territories, 1990, 2006, and 2007 Table.  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.

Carbon Dioxide Emissions from International Bunker Fuels, 1990, 2006, and 2007 Table.  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.
Other Sources    

“Other emissions sources” in total accounted for 1.7 percent (105.1 MMT) of all U.S. carbon dioxide emissions in 2007 (see Figure 12 on right). 

The largest source of U.S. carbon dioxide emissions other than fossil fuel consumption is cement manufacture (see Table 15 below), where most emissions result from the production of clinker (consisting of calcium carbonate sintered with silica in a cement kiln to produce calcium silicate).

Limestone consumption, especially for lime manufacture, is the source of 15 to 20 MMT of carbon dioxide emissions per year.

In addition, “other sources” include: soda ash manufacture and consumption; carbon dioxide manufacture; aluminum manufacture; flaring of natural gas at the wellhead; carbon dioxide scrubbed from natural gas; and waste combustion in the commercial and industrial sectors.

 

Figure 12. U.S. Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Other Sources, 2007.  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.

figure data


Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Other Sources, 1990, 2006, and 2007 Table.  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.

 

 

 

 

 

Notes and Sources

 
Report Chapters

Overview
Carbon Dioxide Emissions
Methane Emissions
Nitrous Oxide Emissions
High GWP Cases
Land-Use Emissions  

Preface
Contacts
Latest Documentation