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SECY-97-173

August 1, 1997

FOR: The Commissioners
FROM: L. Joseph Callan /s/
Executive Director for Operations
SUBJECT: POTENTIAL REVISION TO 10 CFR 50.65(a)(3) OF THE MAINTENANCE RULE TO REQUIRE LICENSEES TO PERFORM SAFETY ASSESSMENTS

PURPOSE:

To obtain Commission agreement with the staff's recommendation that the staff develop a proposed rulemaking to revise the maintenance rule to require that licensees assess the impact on safety when removing equipment from service for preventive maintenance.

SUMMARY:

The staff recommends that a revision to 10 CFR 50.65(a)(3) should be pursued to require licensees to assess the impact on safety when removing equipment from service for preventive maintenance. Three alternatives, including not changing the rule, would be considered as part of the regulatory analysis for proposed rulemaking. The final proposal for changing the maintenance rule would be based on the results of the analysis.

The maintenance rule baseline inspections identified a substantial number of preventive maintenance plant configurations where safety assessments were not performed (including some that caused a significant increase in risk) and weaknesses in licensees' programs that also could result in failures to perform safety assessments prior to removing equipment from service for maintenance. In addition, the staff believes that industry would be supportive of this rule change because if licensees have (a)(3) safety assessment programs of sufficient quality, licensees may be able to use these programs to support other risk-informed initiatives, such as risk-informed allowed outage times in technical specifications. Contingent upon Commission agreement with the staff's recommendation, the staff can present the proposed rulemaking to the Commission for approval in about six months. This much time is necessary because of: (1) the limited availability of staff resources (the staff responsible for revising the rule also supports the baseline inspections and the Probabilistic Risk Assessment [PRA] Implementation Plan), and (2) the effort necessary to develop the proposed rulemaking, including regulatory and backfit analyses, and regulatory guidance for the proposed change.

BACKGROUND:

The maintenance rule, 10 CFR 50.65, "Requirements for monitoring the effectiveness of maintenance at nuclear power plants," was issued on July 10, 1991, and became effective on July 10, 1996. The staff has periodically sent the Commission papers and provided briefings on the status of the maintenance rule, the last Commission paper being SECY 97-055, "Maintenance Rule Status, Results, and Lessons Learned," dated March 4, 1997. The staff briefed the Commission on the same subject on March 10, 1997. In response to the briefing, the Commission issued a staff requirements memorandum (SRM) on April 11, 1997, asking the staff to: (1) consider clarifying paragraph (a)(3) of the maintenance rule; (2) provide specific examples of weak programs or safety assessments found during baseline inspections and the staff's basis for its findings; (3) address how the staff would monitor the quality of the (a)(3) safety assessments and; (4) determine the efficacy of the rule in general. This Commission paper responds to the first two issues in that SRM, the other two issues are addressed in the recently issued SECY 97-172, "The Maintenance Rule: Monitoring the Quality of 10 CFR 50.65(a)(3) Safety Assessments and Methods for Monitoring its Efficacy," dated August 1, 1997.

DISCUSSION:

Paragraph (a)(3) of the maintenance rule currently states, in part, "In performing monitoring and preventative maintenance activities, an assessment of the total plant equipment that is out of service should be taken into account to determine the overall effect on performance of safety functions." The use of the word "should" means that licensees are not required to perform the safety assessments. The staff's expectation for the (a)(3) safety assessments is that the level of assessment be based on the safety significance of the equipment involved. Structures, systems, and components (SSCs) of high safety significance would involve more quantitative approaches, while SSCs of low safety significance (especially those not modeled in the PRA) could be assessed more qualitatively.

Importance of Configuration Control

The bases for granting the operating license for a nuclear power plant include analyses of the equipment and configuration of the plant to ensure that it conforms to regulatory requirements. Certain regulatory requirements are related to design configuration control. For example, the general design criteria (Appendix A to 10 CFR Part 50) require that consideration be given to ensuring that the design can withstand a single failure and to including adequate redundancy to allow for testing of individual systems. Once an operating license is granted, the technical specifications required by 10 CFR 50.36 contain a means of configuration control by requiring shutting the plant down in the event that certain equipment is individually or simultaneously out of service for more than a limited period of time. The regulations were not developed to address the current operating practice by many licensees, which is to conduct substantial amounts of maintenance while at power and with multiple components out of service. The result of this practice is that while the baseline risk (no equipment out of service) remains low, significant risk "spikes" can occur for brief periods during maintenance activities even though the licensee is in compliance with the regulations. Probabilistic risk assessments have shown that configuration control for accident prevention and mitigation equipment is very risk significant.

Original Intent of the Maintenance Rule

The statements of consideration for the maintenance rule indicate that the use of the word "should" in paragraph (a)(3) was intentional, although the basis for this decision is not explicit. The statements of consideration imply that the expectation was that a safety assessment would be performed in all cases. For example, the statements of consideration state that, "Assessing the cumulative impact of the out-of-service equipment on the performance of safety functions, as called for under paragraph (a)(3), is intended to ensure that the plant is not placed in risk-significant configurations."

The statements of consideration also indicate that the rigor of the assessments would vary. It notes that, "These assessments do not necessarily require that a quantitative assessment of probabilistic risk be performed. The level of sophistication with which such assessments are performed is expected to vary, based upon the circumstances involved. The assessments may range from simple deterministic judgments to the use of on-line living PRA." The Commission also expected that the sophistication of the assessments would change with time since the statements of consideration state that, "It is expected that, over time, assessments of this type will be refined based upon technological improvement and experience."

The staff continues to agree that the sophistication of the safety assessments should vary. For some SSCs of low safety significance, a qualitative assessment based on licensee knowledge may be sufficient to justify removing those SSCs from service. Additionally, other strategies may not need a specific safety assessment as described in paragraph (a)(3), for example, when a licensee only removes a single SSC from service at a time. This is because short term unavailability of many risk significant SSCs has already been determined to be acceptable as part of the licensing basis.

However, as the number and safety significance of SSCs out-of-service increases, the level of sophistication of the analysis should likewise increase as noted by the statements of consideration. Observations during inspections indicate that the simultaneous unavailability of multiple SSCs is common. The conduct of maintenance while at power(1) has significantly increased since the maintenance rule was issued(2) partly due to the economic incentive to maximize unit availability and reliability. This further emphasizes the need for licensees to maintain substantial oversight of configuration control.

Use of Safety Assessment Program in Other Risk-Informed Initiatives

Some licensees have tried to use their paragraph (a)(3) safety assessment program as a basis for other initiatives, such as including risk-informed allowed outage times in technical specifications. Because this provision of the maintenance rule is not a requirement, the staff has not allowed this as a basis for these initiatives unless the licensees commit to perform the safety assessments as part of the other risk-informed initiative (e.g., in effect make paragraph (a)(3) safety assessments of the maintenance rule part of technical specifications). On the basis of a presentation by a Nuclear Energy Institute (NEI) manager during the 1997 Regulatory Information Conference, the staff believes that industry is supportive of revising paragraph (a)(3) to require the safety assessments because all licensees inspected to date are treating the (a)(3) safety assessment provision as a requirement. Additionally, if licensees have (a)(3) safety assessment programs of sufficient quality, licensees may be able to use these programs to support other risk-informed initiatives.

Staff Experience During Baseline Inspections

Staff experience during the maintenance rule baseline inspections has indicated that all licensees have developed programs to implement the safety assessment provision of paragraph (a)(3). The safety assessment portion of the inspections includes a review of the licensee's program for performing the assessments, plus a review of a sample of actual preventive maintenance configurations to determine if the licensee had performed an assessment of the configuration in accordance with the licensee's procedures.

Of the 21 baseline inspections for which inspection reports had been issued as of May 27, 1997, five sites had (a)(3) assessment programs in place where the staff found no weaknesses. At five other sites, the inspectors noted situations in which the licensee had failed to assess the impact on safety before entering one or more specific maintenance configurations. The other 11 sites had weaknesses in their (a)(3) safety assessment programs but no instances of failures to perform safety assessments were observed. A summary of the (a)(3) safety assessments results follows. See Attachment 1 for a discussion of the (a)(3) safety assessments results for each baseline inspection.

The five sites that had no noted weaknesses with their (a)(3) safety assessment programs tended to have some common features. The involvement of the PRA staff was evident (1) in all phases of maintenance planning and scheduling, and (2) in routine interactions with the operations staff. The programs also addressed emergent work, typically through models that can account for real-time changes in configuration, or through consultation between the operations, maintenance, and PRA staffs.

The five sites that failed to perform safety assessments (for the sample of preventive maintenance configurations reviewed) had programs for assessing safety; however, weaknesses in their programs or implementation contributed to the failure to perform safety assessments. At two sites it appears that the licensees simply did not perform the safety assessments in isolated cases; at one site the failure to perform the assessment resulted from emergent work occurring between the time the maintenance schedule was "frozen" and the planned maintenance outage began; at one site maintenance activities were added after the schedule was analyzed; and at one site some of the equipment that was out of service was not included in the licensee's "risk matrix"(3) and the impact of this equipment on safety was not considered even though, in combination with other out-of-service equipment, the risk was significantly higher than implied by the matrix. The causes of the failures to perform safety assessments included inadequate procedures, insufficient involvement by PRA staff, failure to follow procedures, and insufficient knowledge of the PRA insights by operators and scheduling staff.

Although the safety significance of the unassessed preventive maintenance configurations was not quantitatively determined during the inspection in all cases, it appears that some of the unassessed configurations resulted in the plant being in a state of substantially greater risk than was assumed. Further, the licensees' lack of awareness of the level of risk is of significant regulatory concern because the weaknesses in the licensees' programs or licensees' staff performance that led to the lack of awareness could allow preventive maintenance configurations of even greater risk to be entered without being adequately assessed. Given that the inspections review only a sample of the preventive maintenance configurations, the staff considers the number of missed assessments and their apparent risk significance to be a safety concern.

The other 11 sites had weaknesses in their (a)(3) safety assessment implementation that ranged from minor training weaknesses to poor procedures and methods that did not include all the SSCs of high safety significance in the risk matrix. Most of these licensees adequately addressed the impact of removing SSCs of high safety significance from service, but often did not have a clear method for assessing the removal from service of SSCs of low safety significance(4) or for assessing combinations outside of the pre-analyzed matrix. Another common finding was procedural weaknesses for addressing emergent work. Although at these 11 sites the inspectors did not identify specific instances where safety assessments were not performed in the sample of preventive maintenance configurations reviewed, the weaknesses in these programs had the potential that an assessment may not have been performed.

In summary, the baseline inspection findings show that about 75% of the licensees inspected to date have had weaknesses in their methods for performing (a)(3) safety assessments (and one-third of these have had instances of not performing safety assessments). The staff believes that these findings do not meet the staff's or the Commission's current expectations regarding paragraph (a)(3).

Alternatives Considered

To address the staff's concerns related to implementation of paragraph (a)(3), the staff considered three alternatives.

Alternative 1: No Change to Paragraph (a)(3)

The first alternative considered was to not revise paragraph (a)(3). As noted in SECY 97-055, licensees have, for the most part, voluntarily complied with the safety assessment provision in paragraph (a)(3) because of the obvious connection between safety and out-of-service equipment. Given that all licensees inspected to date have voluntarily complied with the safety assessment provision in the rule, and some have indicated a willingness to improve their programs to address weaknesses during inspections, the existing rule language could be considered sufficient. Where inspections identify deficiencies in individual licensee's programs, the staff could continue to encourage those licensees to improve their performance.

The advantage to Alternative 1 is that no additional burden would be placed on licensees or on the staff that would occur with a rulemaking.

The disadvantages to Alternative 1 are that: (1) the staff cannot enforce this provision of the rule, (2) licensees cannot take credit for their safety assessment programs under other risk-informed initiatives (unless they make the safety assessments a requirement through the other initiative), and (3) because the safety assessments are not required, some licensees could view any efforts to encourage the safety assessments as a potential backfit.

Alternative 2: Change the Word "Should" to "Shall"

The second alternative considered was to revise (a)(3) to require that safety be assessed before equipment is removed from service for preventive maintenance. This alternative would consist of a simple change to paragraph (a)(3): replace the word "should" with "shall."

The advantages to Alternative 2 are that: (1) if licensees fail to perform a safety assessment (as in the case of five of the 21 sites inspected), the staff could use enforcement to require corrective actions that ensure licensees perform the safety assessments in the future; (2) licensees would retain maximum flexibility to operate within configurations allowed by their current license as envisioned when the rule was originally issued; (3) there would be little or no burden on most licensees since the weaknesses that could lead to failures to perform safety assessments identified during the baseline inspections could be corrected relatively easily; and (4) where appropriate, it would allow licensees to take credit for their paragraph (a)(3) safety assessment program in other regulatory initiatives.

The disadvantages to Alternative 2 are that: (1) licensees are, in general, treating this provision as a requirement and thus the staff may be unnecessarily expending resources on a rule change, and (2) it would not address the weaknesses identified during the baseline inspections pertaining to the quality of licensees' methods for performing the safety assessments. Therefore, licensees could theoretically use methods that the staff considered technically inferior, would not necessarily optimize recovery from emergent work, and could perform maintenance in a configuration involving more risk than the staff would consider prudent; and still be in compliance with the rule as long as the licensee assessed safety before performing the preventive maintenance.

Alternative 3: Comprehensive Revision to Paragraph (a)(3)

As described previously, the statements of consideration for the maintenance rule note that the safety assessments would be refined based upon technological improvement and experience. Therefore, as the third alternative, the staff considered a comprehensive revision of the paragraph (a)(3) safety assessment provision to reflect current techniques. In order to remain performance based, the rule would not prescribe a specific approach. Rather, it would provide criteria that assessment methodologies would be required to meet, while continuing to give licensees the flexibility to develop specific approaches that best suit each licensee's needs. Also consistent with the definition of performance-based regulation, specific limits on the risk associated with maintenance activities could be established (e.g., limit total risk, incremental risk per maintenance outage, limit cumulative risk per time period).

The advantages to Alternative 3 are that: (1) it would require licensees to evaluate and control maintenance activities through technically sound methods, (2) would provide specific limits to the risk associated with preventive maintenance activities, and (3) would establish a foundation upon which other risk-informed regulation could build. Thus, Alternative 3 would address all of the weaknesses identified during the baseline inspections, and allow the use of the enforcement policy to require corrective actions on any of the weaknesses.

The disadvantages of Alternative 3 are: (1) such a rule would have a broad impact on other current and proposed rules (e.g., technical specifications and the proposed shutdown rule) and should thus be part of a separate rulemaking that would be used for risk-informed regulation in general; (2) since it would likely result in the use of probabilistic methods, it would impose a substantial burden on both licensees and the staff; (3) because of the greater burden on licensees it may be less likely to have industry support relative to Alternative 2; and (4) additional resources would be expended for rulemaking even though industry is, in general, treating this provision as a requirement.

Conclusions

On the basis of (1) the importance to safety of licensees' understanding risk associated with preventive maintenance configurations, (2) the increased performance of preventive maintenance while at power, (3) the licensees' proposed use of their (a)(3) safety assessment programs in other risk-informed initiatives, and (4) staff experience during the maintenance rule baseline inspections, the staff concludes that it should proceed with a proposed rulemaking to require safety assessments (i.e., Alternative 2 as a minimum). The staff would evaluate all three alternatives as part of the regulatory analysis. The final recommendation as to which alternative should be pursued would be based on the results of this regulatory analysis.

RESOURCES:

The staff expects that the proposed rulemaking, regulatory and backfit analyses, and associated guidance documents can be done with existing staff resources in six months.

COORDINATION:

The Office of the General Counsel has no legal objection to this paper. The Office of the Chief Financial Officer has no resource-related objection to this paper. The Office of the Chief Information Officer has reviewed this paper for information technology and information management implications and concurs.

RECOMMENDATION:

That the staff develop a rulemaking proposal on the basis of a regulatory and backfit analysis for the three alternatives presented above.

SCHEDULE:

Contingent upon Commission agreement with the staff's recommendation, the staff can perform the regulatory analysis, and if warranted, present the proposed rulemaking to the Commission for approval in about six months. This length of time is necessary because of (1) the limited availability of staff resources (the staff responsible for revising the rule also supports the baseline inspections and the PRA Implementation Plan) and (2) the effort necessary to develop the proposed rulemaking, if warranted, including regulatory and backfit analyses, and regulatory guidance for the proposed change.

L. Joseph Callan
Executive Director for Operations

Contact: Thomas A. Bergman, NRR
(301) 415-1021

Attachment:  Baseline Inspection Results for Maintenance Rule Safety Assessments


ATTACHMENT

Baseline Inspection Results for Maintenance Rule Safety Assessments

In this attachment, the staff has summarized the paragraph (a)(3) safety assessments inspection findings for every maintenance rule baseline inspection for which an inspection report had been issued as of May 27, 1997.(5) This attachment is based solely on the information in the inspection reports. The reports are alphabetically by plant within three categories: programs with no noted weaknesses, programs with examples of failure to perform paragraph (a)(3) safety assessments (i.e., would have potentially been cited for violations had the recommended rule change been in place at the time of the inspection), and programs that had weaknesses. No inspection has identified a program that was unacceptable. The plants in each category follow:

Programs With No Noted Weaknesses

Plant Inspection Complete Report Date
Millstone 3 March 17, 1997 May 8, 1997
Nine Mile Point 1 October 11, 1996 January 15, 1997
Palisades February 10, 1997 April 16, 1997
Seabrook January 31, 1997 March 31, 1997
Waterford January 31, 1997 March 21, 1997

Programs with Failures to Perform Paragraph (a)(3) Safety Assessments

Plant Inspection Complete Report Date
Cooper August 16, 1996 October 7, 1996
D.C. Cook September 13, 1997 November 14, 1997
Grand Gulf March 3, 1997 April 8, 1997
Perry November 8, 1996 January 29, 1997
Surry January 17, 1997 February 20, 1997

Programs With Weaknesses

Plant Inspection Complete Report Date
Catawba February 10, 1997 March 20, 1997
Davis-Besse January 17, 1997 March 6, 1997
Hatch October 21, 1996 November 22, 1996
Hope Creek February 24, 1997 April 18, 1997
Indian Point 3 December 13, 1996 February 14, 1997
Palo Verde July 19, 1996 August 21, 1996
Peach Bottom August 9, 1996 October 7, 1996
Prairie Island October 11, 1996 January 10, 1997
Sequoyah December 6, 1996 January 2, 1997
St. Lucie September 20, 1996 October 16, 1996
WNP-2 November 22, 1996 January 29, 1997

PROGRAMS WITH NO NOTED WEAKNESSES

MILLSTONE 3

NINE MILE POINT 1

PALISADES

SEABROOK

WATERFORD


PROGRAMS WITH FAILURES TO PERFORM
PARAGRAPH (a)(3) SAFETY ASSESSMENTS

COOPER

D.C. COOK

GRAND GULF

PERRY

SURRY


PROGRAMS WITH WEAKNESSES

CATAWBA

DAVIS-BESSE

HATCH

HOPE CREEK

INDIAN POINT 3

PALO VERDE

PEACH BOTTOM

PRAIRIE ISLAND

SEQUOYAH

ST. LUCIE

WNP-2


1.  The maintenance rule applies to all modes. The staff expects that the (a)(3) safety assessments be performed in all modes.

2.  For example, in a speech delivered during the Institute of Nuclear Power Operations (INPO) 1996 Chief Executive Officer (CEO) Conference, Alfred C. Tollison, Jr., Executive Vice President, INPO, stated that the median refueling outage duration dropped from about 78 days in 1990 to 52 days in 1995, due in part to more thoughtful online maintenance. The staff expects this trend to continue because of economic deregulation.

3.  The risk matrix refers to one method of implementing this provision of the rule. Typically, the licensee lists equipment on the axes of the matrix and then notes which combinations are acceptable and sometimes adds a color coding to the combinations to indicate different levels of risk. This approach has limitations due to the amount of equipment that can be practically listed, and the inability to handle more than two out-of-service equipment per combination. However, when the limitations are addressed, this approach can result in an acceptable method.

4.  Even though the SSCs not on the matrix were of low safety significance, the unavailability of SSCs of low safety significance could, depending on other SSCs out of service, substantially increase risk.

5.  The inspection reports are available from the public document rooms. In addition, the baseline inspection reports are available online for those with access to the NRC internal server at http://nrr10.nrc.gov/adt/drch/mrhome.htm. The (a)(3) safety assessment portions of the report may be viewed by following the M1.5 thread. This information collection is expected to be available on the public server soon through the "reactors" page (http://www.nrc.gov/reactors.html).