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Initiation of Marijuana Use: Trends, Patterns, and Implications |
3.1 Introduction
Estimates of marijuana incidence, or the number of new marijuana users during a given year, provide an important measure of the Nation's marijuana use problem. They can suggest emerging patterns of use, give clues about the changes in the prevalence of use, identify at-risk subgroups for targeting prevention programs, and suggest substance abuse treatment needs for the Nation.
This chapter presents incidence estimates of marijuana use based on data from the 1999 and 2000 National Household Surveys on Drug Abuse (NHSDAs). These incidence estimates are based on the NHSDA questions on age at first use, year and month of first use for recent initiates, the respondent's date of birth, and the interview date. Using this information, along with editing and imputation when necessary, an exact year, month, and day of first use was determined for each substance used by each respondent. Because these data were collected on a retrospective basis, incidence estimates were always 1 year behind the data on current use. For age-specific incidence rates, the period of exposure was defined for each respondent and age group for the time that a respondent was in an age group during a calendar year.
The average age of new users in each year also was estimated. These rates are presented in this report as the number of new marijuana users per 1,000 potential new users because they indicate the rate of new use among persons who had not yet used the drug (i.e., potential new users). More precisely, the rates are actually the number of new users per 1,000 person-years of exposure. The numerator of each rate is the number of persons in the age group who first used the drug in the year. The denominator is the person time exposure measured in thousands of years. Each person's exposure time ends on the date of first use. For age-specific estimates, exposure is limited to the time during the year that the person was in that age group. Persons who first used the drug in a prior year had zero exposure to first use in the current year, and persons who still had never used the drug by the end of the current year had 1 full year of exposure to the risk.
Because these incidence estimates were based on retrospective reports, they were subject to several biases, as discussed in Chapter 2. It is possible that some of these biases, particularly telescoping and underreporting because of fear of disclosure, may affect estimates for the most recent years more significantly. However, further analysis is needed to understand the magnitude of these biases. In addition, the estimates in this report were based on the new CAI data, and the estimation methodology for these estimates was different from that used in NHSDAs prior to 1999 (i.e., based on paper-and-pencil interviewing [PAPI] methodology). The revised methodology had an impact on age-specific rates (Gfroerer et al., in press). Thus, comparisons with prior NHSDA estimates should not be made.
Estimated trends and incidence rates of marijuana use reported in this chapter were based on the combined sample of 1999 and 2000 CAI data. These estimates are presented by the overall sample, combined age groups and gender (e.g., 12 to 14 male, 12 to 14 female, 15 to 17 male, 15 to 17 female, 18 to 20 male, 18 to 20 female, 21 or older male, and 21 or older female), and race/ethnicity (e.g., white, black, Hispanic, Asian/Pacific Islander/Native Hawaiian, American Indian/Alaska Native, and persons reporting more than one race).
3.2 Trends in Marijuana Incidence
Table 3.1 summarizes the estimated number of new marijuana users, mean age of first use, and annual incidence rates from 1999 and 2000 NHSDA data. An estimated 2.0 million Americans aged 12 or older used marijuana for the first time in 1999, which was fewer than the estimated number of new users in 1998 (approximately 2.5 million Americans), but still above the 1989 and 1990 levels (1.4 million each year). Figure 3.1 shows that the rate of marijuana initiation increased during the late 1960s and early 1970s, with a peak in 1976 and 1977 (21.0 per 1,000 potential new users). After that period, the rate of new marijuana use decreased to 8.5 in 1990, followed by an increase to 16.8 in 1996, then a decrease to 13.6 in 1999. The mean age at first use was 19 years in the early 1970s and decreased to 17 years in the 1990s.
Figure 3.1 Marijuana Incidence Rates, by Year
Note: The numerator of each rate is the number of persons who first used marijuana in the year, while the denominator is the person-time exposure measured in thousands of years for persons aged 12 or older.
* Estimated using 2000 data only.
Source: SAMHSA, Office of Applied Studies, National Household Survey on Drug Abuse, 1999 and 2000.
3.3 Trends, by Age and Gender
Over the years, rates of marijuana incidence were generally higher among males than among females (Tables 3.2 and 3.3, Figure 3.2). Among males, the rate increased dramatically from 4.9 in 1965 to 22.9 in 1971. The highest peak was noted in 1976-1977 (close to 24). After the late 1970s, incidence rates for males declined to around 10 in the late 1980s, followed by a period of increase during the 1990s to 19.3 in 1997. For females, the incidence rate increased steadily from 3.3 in 1965 to 18.9 in 1976. Similar to the pattern of males, the rate was lower during the 1980s, followed by an increase during the early 1990s. The most recent peak for females was in 1996 (15.5). For both genders, the rate in 1999 (15.5 and 12.1, respectively, for males and females) was lower than the rate in 1996-1998.
The estimated mean age at first marijuana use generally has been slightly younger in males than in females. For males, the mean age at first marijuana use ranged from 18-19 years during late 1960s to 16-17 years in recent years. For females, the mean age at first marijuana use decreased from 20 years during late 1960s to around 17 years in recent years. The average age of new marijuana users in 1999 was 16.4 years for males and 17.6 years for females.
Detailed data on age- and gender-specific incidence rates are summarized in Table 3.4. The data indicate that trends of incidence rates peaked at different periods for youths and adults. Among youths aged 12 to 17, annual incidence rates reached peaks during the late 1970s and late 1990s, and the pattern was similar for both genders. Among adults, particularly males, a peak rate of initiation was reached during the late 1960s, with rates remaining high throughout the 1970s, before dropping significantly in the 1980s. In addition, among adults aged 21 or older, the data did not show a peak in new use during the late 1990s, while persons aged 18 to 20 did.
Figure 3.2 Marijuana Incidence Rates, by Gender and Year
Note: The numerator of each rate is the number of persons who first used marijuana in the year, while the denominator is the person-time exposure measured in thousands of years for persons aged 12 or older.
* Estimated using 2000 data only.
Source: SAMHSA, Office of Applied Studies, National Household Survey on Drug Abuse, 1999 and 2000.
3.4 Trends, by Race/Ethnicity
The trends of marijuana incidence also varied across racial/ethnic groups (Tables 3.5 to 3.7). In 1999, an estimated 1.4 million new marijuana users were white; there were 0.25 million black initiates, 0.25 million Hispanic initiates, 0.04 million Asian initiates (including other Pacific Islanders and Native Hawaiians), 0.03 million American Indian/Alaska Native initiates, and 0.03 million initiates who reported more than one race. Except for American Indians/Alaska Natives, the estimated numbers of new users were lower in 1999 than in 1998. In recent years, American Indians/Alaska Natives appeared to have a younger mean age of first marijuana use (14.1 years in 1999) than members of other racial/ethnic groups. In 1999, the mean age of marijuana initiation was 17.2 years for whites, about 16.4 years for blacks and Hispanics, 18.8 for Asians (including other Pacific Islanders and Native Hawaiians), and 15.8 years for persons reporting more than one race.
Among whites, the trend pattern was generally consistent with the overall trend seen in Table 3.1. Probably because of small samples, more variation was noted for non-Hispanic minority groups (American Indians/Alaska Natives, Asians/Pacific Islanders/Native Hawaiians, and persons reporting more than one race) and for years before 1990. Incidence rates between 1990 and 1999 for the racial/ethnic groupings are displayed in Figure 3.3.
Among blacks, the annual incidence rate (per 1,000 potential new users) increased from 8.0 in 1966 to 16.7 in 1968, reached a peak at about the same time as whites (19.4 in 1976), then remained high throughout the late 1970s. Following the low rates in the 1980s, rates among blacks rose again in the early 1990s, reached a peak in 1997 and 1998 (19.2 and 19.1, respectively), then dropped to 14.0 in 1999. Similar to the general pattern for whites and blacks, Hispanics' annual incidence rate rose during late 1970s and 1990s, with a peak in 1998 (17.8).
Asians (including other Pacific Islanders and Native Hawaiians) typically had lower annual incidence rates than the other racial/ethnic groups. However, the sample size did not allow for the generation of reliable estimates for trend data prior to 1985. Among recent initiates, rates of first marijuana use by racial/ethnic groups were generally lower in 1999 than in 1998, with the exception of American Indians/Alaska Natives. Estimates from Table 3.7 suggest a higher rate of new marijuana use in recent years among American Indians/Alaska Natives and among persons reporting more than one race. The annual incidence rate among American Indians/Alaska Natives was 21.2 (per 1,000) in 1995 and had risen over these years to a rate of 46.5 in 1999. Similar to the rates for American Indians/Alaska Natives, incidence rates among persons reporting more than one race were higher than among other racial/ethnic groups during the 1990s. Their incidence rate ranged from 26.2 to 35.4 between 1995 and 1999 compared with a rate below 20.0 among whites, blacks, Hispanics, and Asians/Pacific Islanders/Native Hawaiians.
Figure 3.3 Marijuana Incidence Rates, by Race/Ethnicity and Year
Note: The numerator of each rate is the number of persons who first used marijuana in the year, while the denominator is the person-time exposure measured in thousands of years for persons aged 12 or older.
* Estimated using 2000 data only.
Source: SAMHSA, Office of Applied Studies, National Household Survey on Drug Abuse, 1999 and 2000.
Table 3.1 Estimated Numbers (in Thousands) of Persons Who First Used Marijuana During the Years 1965 to 1999, Their Mean Age at First Use, and the Annual Incidence Rates of First Use (Per 1,000 Person-Years of Exposure), for All Ages | |||
Year | Number of Initiates (1,000s) | Mean Age at First Use | Incidence Rates1 |
1965 | 553 | 20.4 | 4.0 |
1966 | 975 | 19.2 | 7.0 |
1967 | 1,385 | 19.5 | 9.7 |
1968 | 1,738 | 19.4 | 12.0 |
1969 | 2,123 | 19.0 | 14.5 |
1970 | 2,592 | 18.7 | 17.5 |
1971 | 2,789 | 18.7 | 18.7 |
1972 | 2,819 | 18.8 | 18.8 |
1973 | 2,854 | 18.6 | 19.0 |
1974 | 2,853 | 17.9 | 18.9 |
1975 | 2,874 | 18.3 | 19.0 |
1976 | 3,184 | 18.5 | 21.0 |
1977 | 3,163 | 18.3 | 20.9 |
1978 | 2,967 | 18.1 | 19.5 |
1979 | 2,859 | 18.1 | 18.7 |
1980 | 2,522 | 19.2 | 16.4 |
1981 | 1,867 | 17.9 | 12.0 |
1982 | 2,021 | 18.8 | 12.8 |
1983 | 1,865 | 18.2 | 11.7 |
1984 | 2,012 | 18.3 | 12.4 |
1985 | 1,865 | 18.1 | 11.4 |
1986 | 1,753 | 17.6 | 10.6 |
1987 | 1,588 | 17.6 | 9.5 |
1988 | 1,550 | 17.4 | 9.2 |
1989 | 1,447 | 17.7 | 8.7 |
1990 | 1,407 | 18.3 | 8.5 |
1991 | 1,485 | 18.0 | 9.1 |
1992 | 1,599 | 16.7 | 9.8 |
1993 | 1,954 | 17.2 | 12.2 |
1994 | 2,187 | 16.7 | 13.8 |
1995 | 2,357 | 16.5 | 15.1 |
1996 | 2,590 | 17.1 | 16.8 |
1997 | 2,494 | 17.0 | 16.5 |
1998 | 2,488 | 17.4 | 16.7 |
19992 | 2,028 | 17.0 | 13.6 |
1 The numerator of each rate is the number of persons who first used marijuana in the year, while the denominator is the person-time exposure measured in thousands of years for persons aged 12 or older. 2 Estimated using 2000 data only. Source: SAMHSA, Office of Applied Studies, National Household Survey on Drug Abuse, 1999 and 2000. |
Table 3.2 Estimated Age-Gender Numbers (in Thousands) of Persons Who First Used Marijuana During the Years 1965 to 1999 | ||||||||
Number of Initiates (1,000s) | ||||||||
Males 12-14 |
Females 12-14 |
Males 15-17 |
Females 15-17 |
Males 18-20 |
Females 18-20 |
Males 21+ |
Females 21+ |
|
1965 | 41 | * | 114 | 36 | 72 | 84 | 70 | 98 |
1966 | 64 | * | 159 | 86 | 271 | 129 | 142 | 102 |
1967 | 113 | 54 | 200 | 98 | 312 | 149 | 314 | 132 |
1968 | 98 | 38 | 248 | 109 | 552 | 195 | 293 | 184 |
1969 | 115 | 78 | 372 | 216 | 488 | 261 | 266 | 291 |
1970 | 197 | 187 | 435 | 328 | 496 | 279 | 333 | 303 |
1971 | 266 | 210 | 405 | 283 | 486 | 320 | 358 | 395 |
1972 | 264 | 148 | 496 | 453 | 414 | 308 | 385 | 326 |
1973 | 261 | 225 | 565 | 385 | 365 | 320 | 353 | 306 |
1974 | 245 | 271 | 584 | 468 | 329 | 301 | 253 | 307 |
1975 | 309 | 275 | 469 | 493 | 339 | 270 | 235 | 404 |
1976 | 213 | 208 | 665 | 603 | 414 | 317 | 303 | 420 |
1977 | 292 | 272 | 633 | 559 | 396 | 309 | 291 | 354 |
1978 | 263 | 221 | 691 | 542 | 317 | 341 | 230 | 296 |
1979 | 287 | 237 | 627 | 522 | 362 | 300 | 176 | 274 |
1980 | 184 | 165 | 486 | 531 | 215 | 297 | 249 | 312 |
1981 | 156 | 144 | 357 | 383 | 212 | 203 | 120 | 221 |
1982 | 189 | 132 | 385 | 391 | 254 | 215 | 154 | 258 |
1983 | 182 | 152 | 394 | 329 | 197 | 172 | 241 | 128 |
1984 | 237 | 176 | 382 | 385 | 209 | 207 | 160 | 215 |
1985 | 184 | 155 | 370 | 371 | 232 | 194 | 204 | 118 |
1986 | 155 | 134 | 361 | 382 | 212 | 183 | 159 | 118 |
1987 | 85 | 109 | 340 | 386 | 250 | 189 | 75 | 124 |
1988 | 132 | 80 | 348 | 327 | 210 | 164 | 112 | 136 |
1989 | 122 | 96 | 326 | 280 | 175 | 175 | 116 | 99 |
1990 | 130 | 94 | 309 | 240 | 197 | 135 | 103 | 148 |
1991 | 154 | 96 | 302 | 265 | 180 | 171 | 160 | 101 |
1992 | 185 | 159 | 347 | 258 | 222 | 173 | 104 | 82 |
1993 | 244 | 222 | 364 | 355 | 229 | 210 | 124 | 136 |
1994 | 276 | 261 | 450 | 394 | 242 | 234 | 123 | 121 |
1995 | 336 | 274 | 510 | 401 | 226 | 256 | 137 | 141 |
1996 | 350 | 294 | 523 | 523 | 235 | 268 | 138 | 202 |
1997 | 329 | 313 | 547 | 478 | 266 | 227 | 145 | 139 |
1998 | 334 | 313 | 519 | 467 | 236 | 250 | 154 | 175 |
19991 | 291 | 255 | 446 | 399 | 151 | 175 | 124 | 159 |
* Low precision; no estimate reported. 1 Estimated using 2000 data only. Source: SAMHSA, Office of Applied Studies, National Household Survey on Drug Abuse, 1999 and 2000. |
Table 3.3 Estimated Numbers (in Thousands) of Persons Who First Used Marijuana During the Years 1965 to 1999, Their Mean Age at First Use, and the Annual Incidence Rates of First Use (Per 1,000 Person-Years of Exposure), by Gender | ||||||
Year | Number of Initiates (1,000s) |
Mean Age at First Use | Incidence Rates1 | |||
Males | Females | Males | Females | Males | Females | |
1965 | 315 | 239 | 18.1 | 23.4 | 4.9 | 3.3 |
1966 | 642 | 333 | 18.8 | 19.9 | 9.8 | 4.5 |
1967 | 952 | 433 | 19.1 | 20.4 | 14.4 | 5.7 |
1968 | 1,212 | 527 | 19.0 | 20.1 | 18.1 | 6.8 |
1969 | 1,264 | 859 | 18.6 | 19.5 | 18.7 | 10.9 |
1970 | 1,479 | 1,112 | 18.6 | 19.0 | 21.7 | 13.9 |
1971 | 1,570 | 1,218 | 18.4 | 19.0 | 22.9 | 15.1 |
1972 | 1,560 | 1,258 | 19.2 | 18.3 | 22.7 | 15.5 |
1973 | 1,587 | 1,267 | 18.6 | 18.6 | 23.1 | 15.5 |
1974 | 1,493 | 1,360 | 17.7 | 18.1 | 21.7 | 16.6 |
1975 | 1,405 | 1,469 | 17.7 | 18.9 | 20.4 | 17.8 |
1976 | 1,625 | 1,559 | 18.2 | 18.8 | 23.6 | 18.9 |
1977 | 1,647 | 1,517 | 18.0 | 18.5 | 23.9 | 18.4 |
1978 | 1,556 | 1,411 | 17.6 | 18.7 | 22.5 | 17.0 |
1979 | 1,507 | 1,352 | 17.5 | 18.7 | 21.7 | 16.2 |
1980 | 1,187 | 1,335 | 19.0 | 19.4 | 17.0 | 15.9 |
1981 | 896 | 971 | 17.2 | 18.6 | 12.6 | 11.4 |
1982 | 1,014 | 1,007 | 17.9 | 19.7 | 14.1 | 11.7 |
1983 | 1,049 | 815 | 18.9 | 17.4 | 14.4 | 9.4 |
1984 | 1,020 | 992 | 18.3 | 18.2 | 13.8 | 11.3 |
1985 | 1,021 | 844 | 18.2 | 17.9 | 13.6 | 9.5 |
1986 | 925 | 828 | 17.8 | 17.4 | 12.1 | 9.2 |
1987 | 773 | 815 | 17.3 | 17.9 | 10.0 | 9.0 |
1988 | 834 | 716 | 17.1 | 17.9 | 10.8 | 7.9 |
1989 | 787 | 660 | 17.5 | 17.8 | 10.3 | 7.3 |
1990 | 774 | 633 | 17.5 | 19.4 | 10.2 | 7.1 |
1991 | 837 | 648 | 18.1 | 17.8 | 11.2 | 7.3 |
1992 | 909 | 690 | 16.6 | 16.8 | 12.3 | 7.8 |
1993 | 1,009 | 945 | 16.8 | 17.6 | 13.8 | 10.8 |
1994 | 1,152 | 1,035 | 16.7 | 16.8 | 16.0 | 11.9 |
1995 | 1,254 | 1,103 | 16.4 | 16.7 | 17.7 | 12.9 |
1996 | 1,284 | 1,306 | 16.4 | 17.7 | 18.5 | 15.5 |
1997 | 1,318 | 1,176 | 17.0 | 16.9 | 19.3 | 14.1 |
1998 | 1,268 | 1,220 | 17.6 | 17.2 | 18.9 | 14.9 |
19992 | 1,034 | 993 | 16.4 | 17.6 | 15.5 | 12.1 |
1 The numerator of each rate is the number of persons who first used marijuana in the year, while the denominator is the person-time exposure measured in thousands of years. 2 Estimated using 2000 data only. Source: SAMHSA, Office of Applied Studies, National Household Survey on Drug Abuse, 1999 and 2000. |
Table 3.4 Estimated Annual Age-Gender Specific Incidence Rates of First Use (Per 1,000 Person-Years of Exposure) of Persons Who First Used Marijuana During the Years 1965 to 1999 | ||||||||
Year | Age-Gender Specific Incidence Rates1 | |||||||
Males 12-14 |
Females 12-14 |
Males 15-17 |
Females 15-17 |
Males 18-20 |
Females 18-20 |
Males 21+ |
Females 21+ |
|
1965 | 7.2 | * | 21.5 | 5.9 | 18.2 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 3.4 |
1966 | 11.1 | * | 30.5 | 14.7 | 60.9 | 22.3 | 5.8 | 3.3 |
1967 | 19.7 | 8.8 | 37.7 | 17.2 | 68.0 | 24.0 | 12.4 | 4.1 |
1968 | 17.1 | 6.1 | 46.9 | 18.8 | 125.6 | 34.0 | 11.0 | 5.4 |
1969 | 19.1 | 11.9 | 71.2 | 37.4 | 121.7 | 49.1 | 9.6 | 8.2 |
1970 | 30.9 | 28.6 | 86.4 | 57.5 | 124.6 | 54.8 | 11.6 | 8.2 |
1971 | 41.3 | 32.3 | 83.0 | 48.9 | 125.5 | 64.1 | 12.2 | 10.3 |
1972 | 43.6 | 22.5 | 99.5 | 77.0 | 108.3 | 64.5 | 12.8 | 8.2 |
1973 | 43.9 | 33.5 | 110.6 | 68.0 | 98.2 | 68.3 | 11.4 | 7.5 |
1974 | 40.0 | 42.0 | 118.6 | 84.6 | 89.7 | 64.1 | 8.0 | 7.3 |
1975 | 48.3 | 44.4 | 99.4 | 88.5 | 93.2 | 58.2 | 7.2 | 9.4 |
1976 | 34.1 | 34.0 | 142.5 | 109.6 | 114.5 | 71.3 | 9.1 | 9.5 |
1977 | 49.9 | 44.5 | 131.6 | 108.3 | 117.5 | 72.6 | 8.5 | 7.8 |
1978 | 48.4 | 37.6 | 141.2 | 110.5 | 100.0 | 81.3 | 6.6 | 6.4 |
1979 | 57.0 | 41.6 | 133.2 | 106.3 | 114.3 | 73.7 | 4.9 | 5.8 |
1980 | 37.2 | 29.9 | 110.3 | 109.1 | 66.0 | 78.0 | 6.8 | 6.5 |
1981 | 30.9 | 26.2 | 82.9 | 79.7 | 60.3 | 54.4 | 3.2 | 4.5 |
1982 | 36.3 | 23.7 | 93.4 | 83.0 | 72.3 | 57.6 | 4.0 | 5.2 |
1983 | 34.5 | 26.9 | 96.2 | 69.6 | 58.4 | 44.9 | 6.2 | 2.5 |
1984 | 46.5 | 31.4 | 90.7 | 82.2 | 63.5 | 53.3 | 4.0 | 4.1 |
1985 | 38.1 | 28.8 | 85.8 | 79.2 | 73.7 | 50.5 | 5.0 | 2.2 |
1986 | 33.4 | 26.5 | 83.6 | 80.6 | 67.2 | 47.5 | 3.8 | 2.2 |
1987 | 18.5 | 22.0 | 80.8 | 81.6 | 76.0 | 50.0 | 1.8 | 2.2 |
1988 | 29.0 | 16.7 | 85.9 | 71.4 | 62.2 | 43.0 | 2.6 | 2.4 |
1989 | 26.3 | 19.6 | 82.9 | 64.3 | 51.7 | 45.3 | 2.6 | 1.7 |
1990 | 27.2 | 19.1 | 79.7 | 55.3 | 58.6 | 34.5 | 2.3 | 2.5 |
1991 | 31.5 | 18.6 | 77.3 | 62.2 | 56.5 | 44.3 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
1992 | 36.1 | 29.3 | 88.3 | 59.6 | 70.9 | 46.6 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
1993 | 45.6 | 39.6 | 90.5 | 82.5 | 75.2 | 57.4 | 2.6 | 2.2 |
1994 | 49.6 | 46.8 | 112.7 | 89.1 | 80.5 | 67.3 | 2.5 | 1.9 |
1995 | 61.2 | 49.9 | 126.8 | 90.3 | 76.9 | 74.6 | 2.8 | 2.2 |
1996 | 65.1 | 55.0 | 127.0 | 117.8 | 80.5 | 80.4 | 2.8 | 3.1 |
1997 | 60.2 | 59.2 | 130.5 | 110.3 | 94.0 | 67.7 | 2.8 | 2.1 |
1998 | 59.9 | 58.8 | 127.4 | 111.5 | 83.9 | 75.2 | 3.0 | 2.6 |
19992 | 51.8 | 48.1 | 112.2 | 97.9 | 53.0 | 52.1 | 2.3 | 2.4 |
* Low precision; no estimate reported. 1 The numerator of each rate is the number of persons who first used marijuana in the year, while the denominator is the person-time exposure measured in thousands of years. 2 Estimated using 2000 data only. Source: SAMHSA, Office of Applied Studies, National Household Survey on Drug Abuse, 1999 and 2000. |
Table 3.5 Estimated Numbers (in Thousands) of Persons Who First Used Marijuana During the Years 1965 to 1999, by Racial/Ethnic Subgroups | ||||||
Year | Number of Initiates (1,000s) | |||||
White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / Pacific Islander / Native Hawaiian |
American Indian / Alaska Native |
More Than One Race |
|
1965 | 427 | * | * | * | * | * |
1966 | 804 | 113 | * | * | * | * |
1967 | 1,180 | 128 | 49 | * | * | * |
1968 | 1,417 | 246 | 62 | * | * | * |
1969 | 1,834 | 175 | 63 | * | * | * |
1970 | 2,264 | 180 | 73 | 38 | * | 21 |
1971 | 2,313 | 228 | 177 | * | 14 | * |
1972 | 2,413 | 244 | 111 | 12 | 22 | 17 |
1973 | 2,442 | 260 | 91 | * | * | * |
1974 | 2,343 | 256 | 213 | 12 | * | 19 |
1975 | 2,377 | 296 | 171 | 12 | * | * |
1976 | 2,615 | 317 | 172 | * | 31 | * |
1977 | 2,608 | 277 | 163 | 74 | * | 28 |
1978 | 2,370 | 297 | 206 | 77 | * | 12 |
1979 | 2,388 | 275 | 127 | * | 8 | 23 |
1980 | 2,067 | 235 | 168 | * | * | * |
1981 | 1,518 | 195 | 120 | * | 6 | * |
1982 | 1,640 | 164 | 165 | * | 16 | 7 |
1983 | 1,459 | 149 | 187 | 39 | 11 | * |
1984 | 1,633 | 232 | 98 | * | 8 | 7 |
1985 | 1,437 | 179 | 165 | 65 | 7 | 12 |
1986 | 1,375 | 186 | 130 | 25 | 24 | 13 |
1987 | 1,242 | 140 | 134 | 52 | 10 | 12 |
1988 | 1,222 | 137 | 132 | 20 | 24 | 15 |
1989 | 1,074 | 137 | 183 | 21 | * | 16 |
1990 | 1,057 | 144 | 144 | 49 | 8 | 5 |
1991 | 1,092 | 164 | 146 | 50 | 14 | 20 |
1992 | 1,154 | 199 | 178 | 27 | 13 | 27 |
1993 | 1,388 | 256 | 225 | 34 | 23 | 28 |
1994 | 1,582 | 273 | 250 | 41 | 16 | 24 |
1995 | 1,711 | 282 | 259 | 54 | 16 | 35 |
1996 | 1,848 | 303 | 307 | 75 | 19 | 39 |
1997 | 1,733 | 345 | 308 | 44 | 20 | 43 |
1998 | 1,702 | 336 | 320 | 80 | 19 | 31 |
19991 | 1,436 | 248 | 246 | 39 | 30 | 28 |
* Low precision; no estimate reported. 1 Estimated using 2000 data only. Source: SAMHSA, Office of Applied Studies, National Household Survey on Drug Abuse, 1999 and 2000. |
Table 3.6 Estimated Mean Ages at First Use of Persons Who First Used Marijuana During the Years 1965 to 1999, by Racial/Ethnic Subgroups | ||||||
Year | Mean Age at First Use | |||||
White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / Pacific Islander / Native Hawaiian |
American Indian / Alaska Native |
More Than One Race |
|
1965 | 21.3 | * | * | * | * | * |
1966 | 19.3 | 19.2 | * | * | * | * |
1967 | 19.7 | 18.5 | 22.0 | * | * | * |
1968 | 19.3 | 19.6 | 20.2 | * | * | * |
1969 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 18.6 | * | * | * |
1970 | 18.9 | 17.1 | 17.1 | 18.0 | * | * |
1971 | 18.8 | 18.4 | 17.9 | * | * | * |
1972 | 18.8 | 18.0 | 21.2 | * | 19.5 | * |
1973 | 18.7 | 18.4 | 18.0 | * | * | * |
1974 | 17.9 | 18.4 | 17.1 | * | * | 16.6 |
1975 | 18.5 | 17.3 | 18.1 | * | * | * |
1976 | 18.4 | 19.8 | 17.7 | * | 16.8 | 16.4 |
1977 | 18.4 | 18.0 | 18.1 | 17.7 | 16.6 | * |
1978 | 17.9 | 18.5 | 20.1 | 17.9 | * | * |
1979 | 18.2 | 17.7 | 16.7 | * | 14.5 | 15.2 |
1980 | 19.4 | 18.8 | 17.9 | 17.1 | * | * |
1981 | 18.0 | 18.6 | 15.9 | * | * | * |
1982 | 18.8 | 20.8 | 17.0 | * | 18.1 | * |
1983 | 18.2 | 18.2 | 18.8 | 18.5 | 16.2 | 14.0 |
1984 | 18.0 | 20.3 | 14.7 | 29.5 | 10.8 | 13.5 |
1985 | 18.2 | 17.6 | 17.4 | 17.1 | 14.8 | 19.1 |
1986 | 17.8 | 17.4 | 16.9 | 16.1 | 14.5 | 14.9 |
1987 | 17.7 | 16.6 | 17.3 | 19.2 | 19.6 | 18.3 |
1988 | 17.4 | 16.5 | 18.0 | 17.9 | 21.8 | 15.1 |
1989 | 17.9 | 17.2 | 17.0 | 17.3 | 16.5 | 15.5 |
1990 | 18.6 | 17.8 | 17.7 | 17.5 | 19.3 | 14.9 |
1991 | 18.3 | 17.5 | 16.0 | 17.7 | 22.2 | 16.5 |
1992 | 16.8 | 17.0 | 15.7 | 17.5 | 15.4 | 16.0 |
1993 | 17.1 | 17.9 | 16.7 | 18.1 | 22.7 | 14.4 |
1994 | 16.8 | 16.9 | 16.2 | 16.5 | 15.8 | 15.2 |
1995 | 16.5 | 16.8 | 16.0 | 18.3 | 15.1 | 14.9 |
1996 | 17.1 | 17.6 | 16.7 | 17.3 | 14.5 | 16.0 |
1997 | 17.0 | 17.7 | 16.0 | 16.6 | 15.8 | 15.9 |
1998 | 17.8 | 17.2 | 16.0 | 17.6 | 14.6 | 17.0 |
19991 | 17.2 | 16.5 | 16.4 | 18.8 | 14.1 | 15.8 |
* Low precision; no estimate reported. 1 Estimated using 2000 data only. Source: SAMHSA, Office of Applied Studies, National Household Survey on Drug Abuse, 1999 and 2000. |
Table 3.7 Estimated Annual Incidence Rates of First Use (Per 1,000 Person-Years of Exposure) of Persons Who First Used Marijuana During the Years 1965 to 1999, by Racial/Ethnic Subgroups | ||||||
Year | Racial/Ethnic Specific Incidence Rates1 | |||||
White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / Pacific Islander / Native Hawaiian |
American Indian / Alaska Native |
More Than One Race |
|
1965 | 4.0 | * | * | * | * | * |
1966 | 7.5 | 8.0 | * | * | * | * |
1967 | 10.8 | 8.9 | 4.1 | * | * | * |
1968 | 12.8 | 16.7 | 4.9 | * | * | * |
1969 | 16.4 | 11.7 | 4.9 | * | * | * |
1970 | 20.2 | 11.8 | 5.4 | 7.3 | * | 21.3 |
1971 | 20.6 | 14.7 | 12.7 | * | 20.0 | * |
1972 | 21.5 | 15.5 | 7.7 | 2.2 | 31.6 | 17.7 |
1973 | 21.8 | 16.3 | 6.2 | * | * | * |
1974 | 21.0 | 15.9 | 14.1 | 2.0 | * | 18.8 |
1975 | 21.3 | 18.2 | 11.1 | 2.0 | * | * |
1976 | 23.5 | 19.4 | 10.9 | * | 41.5 | 34.0 |
1977 | 23.5 | 16.8 | 10.1 | 11.7 | * | 27.0 |
1978 | 21.4 | 17.8 | 12.5 | 12.2 | * | 11.6 |
1979 | 21.6 | 16.3 | 7.5 | * | 10.3 | 21.3 |
1980 | 18.6 | 13.7 | 9.7 | * | * | * |
1981 | 13.5 | 11.1 | 6.8 | * | * | * |
1982 | 14.5 | 9.1 | 9.2 | * | 19.7 | 5.8 |
1983 | 12.8 | 8.1 | 10.1 | 5.7 | 14.1 | * |
1984 | 14.2 | 12.4 | 5.2 | * | 9.3 | 5.5 |
1985 | 12.4 | 9.4 | 8.6 | 9.1 | 8.0 | 9.2 |
1986 | 11.7 | 9.6 | 6.6 | 3.4 | 28.5 | 9.2 |
1987 | 10.5 | 7.1 | 6.7 | 7.0 | 11.4 | 8.2 |
1988 | 10.3 | 6.9 | 6.5 | 2.7 | 28.8 | 10.3 |
1989 | 9.2 | 6.9 | 9.1 | 2.9 | * | 10.9 |
1990 | 9.1 | 7.3 | 7.3 | 6.6 | 10.2 | 3.4 |
1991 | 9.5 | 8.4 | 7.4 | 6.9 | 16.9 | 13.9 |
1992 | 10.1 | 10.3 | 9.1 | 3.7 | 17.1 | 19.5 |
1993 | 12.3 | 13.4 | 11.6 | 4.7 | 29.3 | 20.9 |
1994 | 14.2 | 14.5 | 13.1 | 5.7 | 21.8 | 18.3 |
1995 | 15.6 | 15.2 | 13.7 | 7.6 | 21.2 | 27.1 |
1996 | 17.1 | 16.6 | 16.5 | 10.5 | 25.8 | 31.2 |
1997 | 16.3 | 19.2 | 16.8 | 6.2 | 28.8 | 35.4 |
1998 | 16.3 | 19.1 | 17.8 | 11.6 | 28.6 | 26.2 | 19992 | 13.8 | 14.0 | 13.5 | 5.6 | 46.5 | 26.4 |
* Low precision; no estimate reported. 1 The numerator of each rate is the number of persons who first used marijuana in the year, while the denominator is the person-time exposure measured in thousands of years. 2 Estimated using 2000 data only. Source: SAMHSA, Office of Applied Studies, National Household Survey on Drug Abuse, 1999 and 2000. |
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