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Fire Risk Analysis
for Nuclear Power Plants
(NUREG/CR-2258)
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Publication Information
Manuscript Completed: May 1981
Data Published: September 1981
Prepared by
M. Kazarians, G. Apostollakis
School of Engineering and Applied Science
University of California
Los Angeles, CA 90024
Prepared for
Division of Risk Analysis
Office Of Nuclear Regulatory Research
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission
Washington, D.C. 20555
NRC FIN 86280.
Availability
Notice
Abstract
A methodology for evaluating the frequency of
severe consequences due to fires in nuclear power
plants is presented. The methodology produces a 1 of accident scenarios and then assesses the frequency
of occurrence of each. Its framework is given in
six steps. In the first two steps, the accident
scenarios are identified qualitatively and the potential
of fires to cause initiating events is investigated.
The last four steps are aimed at quantification.
The frequency of fires is obtained for different
compartments in nuclear power plants using Bayesian
techniques. The results are compared with those of
classical methods and the variation of the frequencies
with time is also examined. The combined effects of
fire growth, detection, and suppression on component
failure are modeled. The susceptibility of cables to
fire and their failure modes are discussed. Finally,
the limitations of the methodology and suggestions for
further research are given.
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