Food and Drug Administration
Center for Drug Evaluation and Research
Oncologic Drugs Advisory Committee
Questions for Discussion
Background
A randomized controlled unblinded trial was conducted in 571 patients with locally advanced or metastatic non-small cell lung cancer after prior chemotherapy comparing Alimta with docetaxel. The primary objectives were 1) to show Alimta's superiority to docetaxel for overall survival and 2) to show Alimta's non-inferiority to docetaxel for overall survival if there was failure to show superiority. The efficacy results are summarized in the following Table.
|
ITTa |
RTb |
||
|
Alimta |
Docetaxel |
Alimta |
Docetaxel |
Resp Rate (%) (95% CI) |
|
|
9.1 (5.9, 13.2) |
8.8 (5.7, 12.8) |
P-val (Fisher)c |
|
|
.999 |
|
Resp Duration (median)d |
|
|
4.6 |
5.3 |
PFS (median)d |
2.9 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
HR (95% CI) p-val (Wald)c |
.97 (.82,1.16) .759 |
.98 (.82,1.17) .821 |
||
TTP (median)d |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
HR (95% CI) p-val (Wald)c |
.97 (.80, 1,17) .721 |
1.01 (.83, 1.22) .951 |
||
OS (median)d |
8.3 |
7.9 |
8.4 |
8.0 |
HR (95% CI) p-val (log rank)c |
.99 (.82, 1.20) .930 |
.97 (.80, 1.18) .765 |
aIntent to Treat
bRandomized and Treated
cAll p-values two-sided
dMonths
The FDA believes Alimta non-inferiority for overall survival can not be demonstrated for two reasons. First, there is only one small historical study (total 104 patients) from which to estimate the survival effect of docetaxel, resulting in inability to estimate the docetaxel effect with precision, to evaluate interstudy variability and to assess constancy. A meta-analysis of multiple historical studies is ordinarily required for a
Food and Drug Administration
Center for Drug Evaluation and Research
Oncologic Drugs Advisory Committee
Discussion Questions Continued
non-inferiority analysis.
Second, in the Alimta versus docetaxel study comparison of survival effect is confounded by the 32%
crossover rate of
Alimta patients to docetaxel after tumor progression and the greater number of docetaxel patients who did not receive any post study chemotherapy.
In the Alimta versus docetaxel study the Alimta 9.1% tumor response rate provides evidence of some Alimta anticancer activity and the similarity of Alimta and docetaxel in PFS and TTP provides some support for Alimta efficacy. If these were taken as surrogate effects reasonably likely to predict benefit and if Alimta had a documented safety advantage over docetaxel, accelerated approval could be a possibility.
Questions
docetaxel?
and problems in estimating the
control effect, is there a
convincing effect on survival to
warrant regular approval?
2