Analysis of Hurricane Impacts to Infrastruture

The Fast Analysis and Simulation Team (FAST) was formulated to serve as a central resource point for DHS in providing relevant and practical information in response to issues of national importance under limited time constraints.  The core FAST group is expanded dynamically in response to the triggering event and its location.  The FAST team’s process for hurricane analysis is diagrammed to the right.

Pre-Event Projections and Recovery Support

NISAC analysis reports provide situational awareness of the range of potential impacts to infrastructure for use in decision support. Reports are generated daily or as required for disruption (historically, up to a month or more). Results have been briefed to DHS Secretary Chertoff and the White House (including the President).

 

NISAC Hurricane Analyses

• 2003: Isabel
• 2004: Frances, Ivan, Jeanne
• 2005: Dennis, Emily, Katrina (12), Ophelia, Rita (4), Wilma (3)
• 2006: Pre-season Analyses (7), Ernesto

Hurricane Pre-Event Focus

• Populations in path
• Energy – Projected impacts
  • Electric power generation & transmission
  • Power outage areas: location & duration
  • Oil production, refining, and pipelines
  • Natural gas generation and storage
• Transportation
  • Rail, air, port, waterway–commodity impacts
• Telecommunications impacts
• Economic Impacts
  • Regional / industry impacts to GDP
  • Insured & uninsured losses
• Chemical Industries
  • Critical production facilities
  • Supply chain issues
  • Affected commodities
• Agricultural Issues
• Public Health
  • Hospitals

Post-Event / Recovery Focus

• Infrastructure damage
  • Stresses on infrastructures, sectors
  • Interdependencies / Ripple effects
  • Commodity flows
  • National impacts
• Restoration
  • Energy: Electric power, oil, gas
  • Chemical facilities and supply chain
  • Transportation: Waterways, Rail, Road, Air
  • Telecommunications
  • Relocation impacts
  • Restoration prioritization
  • Agricultural imports / exports
• Network analysis
  • Rail, telecom, electric power
• Economic impacts
  • Energy prices
  • Economic disruption
  • Employment
  • Relocation
• Cumulative Stresses to Systems