Issued: Wednesday, Jan 14, 2009 Updated:  Monday - Friday by 1030 MST
Predictive Service Areas Ytd Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Jan 13 Jan 14 Jan 15 Jan 16 Jan 17 Jan 18 Jan 19 Jan 20
SW01  Northwest AZ 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
SW02  West-Central AZ 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
SW03  Southwest AZ 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
SW04  Four Corners Area 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
SW05  Western Mogollon Rim 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
SW06N  Central AZ/Phoenix Metro 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
SW06S  Southeast AZ 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
SW07   Northwest NM Mtns. 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
SW08  White Mtns. & Gila Region 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
SW09  South/Cntrl. NM Lowlands 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2
SW10  Sangre de Cristo Mtns. 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
SW11  Central NM Mtns. & Plains 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
SW12  South-Central NM Mtns. 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
SW13  Northeast NM/NW TX 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 3
SW14N  Southeast NM/West TX 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 3
SW14S  Southwest TX/Big Bend 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
                Print Version   National Map   Product Description
Weather Synopsis:
Breezy and cool to seasonable with fluctuating temperatures east, mild and dry west through the week.  A similar weather pattern expected into the weekend, with high pressure building along the west coast and an upper trough entrenched across the central and eastern U.S.  Result will be dry and mild conditions west of the divide where the high pressure influence will be greatest, and breezy conditions with fluctuating temperatures and RH across the east due to the incursion of backdoor cold fronts every few days.  One such backdoor front will push west to the NM central mountain chain during first half of Thursday, though any substantial easterly winds associated with this will abate by Friday.  Enhanced winds and dry conditions will occur aross southeast NM and southwest TX as these fronts approach, but any critical fire weather conditions associated with will be short-lived and localized.  A return to a more stormy pattern with systems moving in from the west is expected by later next week.
NOTICE:  Forecasts for the following PSA's may be unavailable or unrepresentative of actual conditions due to missing observations from the stations listed:
Fire Potential Discussion:
Moderate to occasionally high risk for signficant fire activity southeast NM/southwest TX, with a low to negligible risk elsewhere.  Lower elevations of southeast NM/west TX will continue to have increased risk due to periodic breezy/windy and dry conditions, though widespread and/or prolonged High Risk conditions are not anticipated.  This area will remain the most windy and dry for the foreseeable future and is expected to receive little if any precipitation.


SW04
Albino
Resource Discussion:
Within Southwest Area SWA Preparedness Level: 1
Negligible resource demand potential across the Area.
                                                     
  SOUTHWEST AREA ANTICIPATED RESOURCE DEMAND INDEX **  
   
    From/To National National Preparedness Level: 1
   
    Anticipate low demand for resources from outside the Area   Negligible demand for OUT-OF-AREA T1 crews and T1&2 IMT's.  Anticipate no demand for T1 crews and/or IMT's within or outside of the the area over the next 7-Days.
   
   
   
    Anticipate low to moderate demand for resources from outside the Area  
   
   
    SWA ANTICIPATED RESOURCE DEMAND (ARD) ** Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Anticipate moderate to high demand for resources from outside the Area  
    Jan 14 Jan 15 Jan 16 Jan 17 Jan 18 Jan 19 Jan 20
   
    This table is experimental.   T1 & 2 IMT's 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
    Anticipate high to very high demand for resources from outside the Area  
    T1 Crews 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
   
   
  ** (Experimental Index)  Indicates resource commitment versus demand for additional resources. Resources refers to T1 resources (i.e. Crews, Helo's, A/T's, IMT's).   ** Describing the SWA ARD Table
   
   
   
    Click here for 7 day ERC, F10, and F100 projections
   
   
    Click here for 7 day Temperature & RH projections