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Surrogate Safety Measures From Traffic Simulation Models

Final Report
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Publication No: FHWA-RD-03-050

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U.S. Department of Transportation
Federal Highway Administration
Research, Development, and Technology

Office of Safety Research and Development
Turner-Fairbank Highway Research Center
6300 Georgetown Pike
McLean, Virginia 22101

 


   Technical Report Documentation Page

1. Report No.
FHWA-RD-03-050

2. Government Accession No.

3. Recipient's Catalog No.

4. Title and Subtitle
Surrogate Safety Measures From Traffic Simulation Models, Final Report

5. Report Date

6. Performing Organization Code

7. Author(s)
Douglas Gettman and Larry Head

8. Performing Organization Report No.

9. Performing Organization Name and Address
Siemens Gardner Transportation Systems
6375 E. Tanque Verde, Suite 170
Tucson, AZ 85715

10. Work Unit No. (TRAIS)

11. Contract or Grant No.
DTFH61-01-P-00393

12. Sponsoring Agency Name and Address
Office of Safety Research and Development
Turner-Fairbank Highway Research Center
Federal Highway Administration
6300 Georgetown Pike
McLean, VA 22101

13. Type of Report and Period Covered
Final Report
October 2001 – January 2003

14. Sponsoring Agency Code

15. Supplementary Notes
FHWA Contracting Officer’s Technical Representative (COTR): Joe Bared, Office of Safety R&D

16. Abstract
This project investigates the potential for deriving surrogate measures of safety from existing microscopic traffic simulation models for intersections. The process of computing the measures in the simulation, extracting the required data, and summarizing the results is denoted as the Surrogate Safety Assessment Methodology. These surrogate measures could then be used to support traffic engineering alternatives evaluation with respect to safety for both signalized and unsignalized intersections. The report describes the five main activities of this project: (1) review of previous work in modeling of safety at traffic facilities (focusing on intersection safety modeling) using surrogate measures, (2) survey of the capabilities of existing traffic simulation models to support derivation of surrogate measures of safety, (3) identification of use cases and functional requirements for a surrogate safety assessment tool that interacts with traffic simulation model outputs, (4) specification of algorithms for calculating surrogate measures of safety appropriate for intersections, and (5) suggestions for validation activities to support the analysis potential for surrogate measures and compare surrogate measures from simulation models with field data and previous safety studies.

17. Key Words
Surrogate safety measures, traffic simulation models, traffic conflicts, intersection safety assessment.

18. Distribution Statement
No restrictions.  This document is available to the public through the National Technical Information Service.  Springfield, VA 22161

19. Security Classif. (of this report)
Unclassified

20. Security Classif. (of this page)
Unclassified

21. No. of Pages
126

22. Price

Form DOT F 1700.7              (8-72)      Reproduction of completed page authorized


SI* (Modern Metric) Conversion Factors


FOREWORD

This report summarizes the activities and results of a project to evaluate the assessment of surrogate measures of safety for traffic intersections from existing, commercially available traffic simulation models. The objective of the project was to evaluate the various simulation models’ capabilities for producing measures of intersection safety and specify algorithms for calculating the measures.

Copies of this report can be obtained from the Research and Technology Report Center, 9701 Philadelphia Court, Unit Q, Lanham, Maryland 20706; telephone: (301) 577-0818; fax: (301) 577-1421; or the National Technical Information Service (NTIS), 5285 Port Royal Road, Springfield, Virginia 22161; telephone: (703) 487-4650; fax: (703) 321-8547.

 

Michael F. Trentacoste
Director
Office of Safety
  Research and Development 

 

NOTICE

This document is disseminated under the sponsorship of the U.S.  Department of Transportation in the interest of information exchange. The United States Government assumes no liability for its contents or use thereof. This report does not constitute a standard, specification, or regulation.  The U.S. government does not endorse products or manufacturers.  Trade and manufacturers’ names appear in this report only because they are considered essential to the object of this document.


TABLE OF CONTENTS

  1. Introduction

  2. Literature Review

    Conflicts
      Conflict Severity
      Ranking Conflict Measures on Collection Desirability

    Other Surrogate Measures
    Surrogate Measures From Microscopic Simulations
      General-Purpose Microscopic Models
    Literature Summary

  3. Traffic Simulation Model Overview

    General
    Behavior Modeling
    Data Extraction
    Calibration and Parameters
    Cost

  4. Discussion of Microscopic Simulation Model Comparisons

    CORSIM
    SIMTRAFFIC
    VISSIM
    HUTSIM
    Paramics
    Integration
    AIMSUN
    WATSIM
    Texas

  5. Summary of Simulation Model Features Review

  6. SSAM Functional Requirements

    Functional Requirements Development Process
      System Owner, Users, and Stakeholders
      SSAM Objectives
      Concept of Operation of the SSAM

    Use Case Analysis
      System Users
      Use Case Packages

    User Interface Mock-Ups
    Functional Requirements

  7. Algorithms for Surrogate Measures of Safety at Intersections

    Conflict Event Descriptions
      Crossing FlowsConflict Point Events
      Merging Crossing FlowsConflict Line Events
      Adjacent FlowsLane-Changing Conflict Line Events
      Following FlowsRear-End Conflict Line Events
      Collision Types Not Represented in the Surrogate Measures
      Pedestrian Collisions
      U-Turn-Related Collisions
      Summary
      Unrepresented Evasive Maneuvers
      Significant Unrepresented Conflict Event Contributors

    Conflict Point
    Conflict Line
    Rear-End Conflict Line
    Summary of Conflict Points, Lines, and Rear-End Lines
    Surrogate Measures Definitions
      Severity of Conflict and Severity of Resulting Collision
    Surrogate Measures for Conflict Points
    Time To Collision
      Post-Encroachment Time
      MaxS
      DeltaS
      Initial Deceleration Rate
      Location of the Conflict Point

    Computational Algorithms—Conflict Points
    Surrogate Measures for Conflict Lines With Merging Flows
      Time To Collision
      Post-Encroachment Time
      MaxS
      DeltaS
      Initial Deceleration Rate
      Location of the Conflict Line

    Computational Algorithms—Conflict Lines for Merging Flows
    Surrogate Measures for Rear-End Conflict Lines
      Time To Collision
      Post-Encroachment Time
      MaxS
      DeltaS
      Initial Deceleration Rate
      Location of the Conflict Line

    Computational Algorithms—Rear-End Conflict Lines
    Summary

  8. Event File Specification

    Elements in the Event File
      Elements in the Header
      Elements in Each Time Step
      Implications of File Size
      File Naming Conventions

  9. Validation of Surrogate Measures

    Discrimination Between Intersection Design Alternatives
      Approach
    Correlation With Traffic Conflicts
      Approach
    Prediction of Reductions in Traffic Conflicts
      Approach
      Alternative Approach


  10. Report Summary

  11. References

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1. Requirements development process.
Figure 2. Event-file-based information flow diagram.
Figure 3. Use case package diagram.
Figure 4. Main application with network-level display.
Figure 5. Intersection close-up window.
Figure 6. Table display.
Figure 7. Graph display.
Figure 8. Distribution comparison display.
Figure 9. Workspace display.
Figure 10. Conflict point and lines.
Figure 11. Conflict point diagram.
Figure 12. Conflict line example.
Figure 13. Rear-end conflict line example.
Figure 14. Surrogate measures on conflict point diagram.
Figure 15. Surrogate measures on conflict line diagram.
Figure 16. Surrogates identified on rear-end line diagram.

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1. Table of surrogate safety conflict measures.
Table 2. General simulation characteristics comparison.
Table 3. Behavior modeling comparison.
Table 4. Data extraction capabilities comparison.
Table 5. Calibration and parameters comparison.
Table 6. Modification cost comparison.
Table 7. Use case actors.
Table 8. Install and upgrade use cases.
Table 9. Configure use cases.
Table 10. Operate use cases.
Table 11. Analysis use cases.
Table 12. Reporting use cases.
Table 13. Percentage of total intersection crashes made up of angle, rear-end, and pedestrian collisions (other and unknown percentages in parentheses).

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