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Hurricane KATRINA
ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT MON AUG 29 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
25.5N 84.3W 48 X X X 48 CEDAR KEY FL 4 8 3 3 18
26.2N 85.2W 32 1 X X 33 ST MARKS FL X 6 5 6 17
27.1N 85.9W 14 7 1 2 24 APALACHICOLA FL 1 7 5 6 19
MUHA 230N 824W 2 X X X 2 PANAMA CITY FL X 4 7 7 18
MARATHON FL 99 X X X 99 PENSACOLA FL X X 5 10 15
MIAMI FL X 1 X 2 3 MOBILE AL X X 2 11 13
W PALM BEACH FL X 1 1 2 4 GULFPORT MS X X 1 11 12
FT PIERCE FL X 2 2 3 7 BURAS LA X X 2 10 12
COCOA BEACH FL X 3 3 3 9 NEW ORLEANS LA X X 1 9 10
DAYTONA BEACH FL X 3 4 5 12 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 7 7
JACKSONVILLE FL X 2 5 6 13 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 3 3
SAVANNAH GA X X 2 7 9 GALVESTON TX X X X 2 2
CHARLESTON SC X X X 5 5 GULF 29N 85W 4 9 4 3 20
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 87W X 5 7 6 18
KEY WEST FL 99 X X X 99 GULF 28N 89W X 1 6 7 14
MARCO ISLAND FL 99 X X X 99 GULF 28N 91W X X 1 8 9
FT MYERS FL 58 X X X 58 GULF 28N 93W X X X 4 4
VENICE FL 35 X X X 35 GULF 28N 95W X X X 2 2
TAMPA FL 13 4 1 2 20
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM SAT TO 8PM SAT
C FROM 8PM SAT TO 8AM SUN
D FROM 8AM SUN TO 8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
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