Tropical Depression TWELVE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122005
0900Z WED AUG 24 2005
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... INCLUDING CAT ISLAND... THE EXUMAS... LONG
ISLAND... RUM CAY... SAN SALVADOR... THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...
THE ABACOS... ANDROS ISLAND... THE BERRY ISLANDS... BIMINI...
ELEUTHERA... GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND... AND NEW PROVIDENCE.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE EAST
COAST OF FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE NORTHWARD TO VERO BEACH.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER
TODAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  76.4W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  76.4W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  76.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 24.7N  77.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 25.5N  78.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 25.9N  78.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 26.1N  80.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 26.5N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 27.0N  84.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 28.0N  86.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N  76.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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