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2008 |
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How dependent are we on foreign oil?
The United States imported about 60% of the oil we consumed during 2006. About half of these imports came from the Western Hemisphere. Our dependence on foreign oil is expected to decline in the next two decades.
Categories: Crude Reserves/Production, Imports & Exports/Movements, Consumption/Sales (Released, 5/1/2008)
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 2006
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Petroleum Supply
Monthly, and the Petroleum Supply Annual.
(Feature Article, 4/28/2008)
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2007 |
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 2005
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Petroleum Supply
Monthly, and the Petroleum Supply Annual.
(Feature Article, 4/2/2007)
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2006 |
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Technology-Based Oil and Natural Gas Plays: Shale Shock! Could There Be Billions in the Bakken?
This report presents information about the Bakken Formation of the Williston Basin: its location, production, geology, resources, proved reserves, and the technology being used for development. This is the first in a series intending to share information about technology-based oil and natural gas plays.
(Feature Article, 11/8/2006)
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2005 |
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Oil Markets After the Hurricanes: Reversion to the Mean or Return to
Recent Trend?
This presentation focuses on the impacts Hurricanes Katrina, Rita, and Wilma will have on oil markets (supply, demand, stocks, and imports) in the fourth quarter of 2005 and into 2006. The presentation looks examines whether oil markets are likely to return to much lower prices (the long term average) or continue the trend of high oil prices seen over the last couple of years.
(Presentation, 12/14/2005)
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 2004
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Petroleum Supply
Monthly, and the Petroleum Supply Annual.
(Feature Article, 10/24/2005)
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When Will World Oil Production Peak?
When will world oil production peak? EIA's analysis of this critical matter is discussed here.
(Presentation, 6/13/2005)
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California Gasoline Price Study
EIA testifies in local Congressional hearing on what has been driving up gasoline
prices in 2004 and 2005, focusing particularly on California where the hearing was held.
(Presentation, 5/10/2005)
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2004: Sign of the Future for Refiners?
A presentation to the NPRA Annual Meeting discussing the major factors that drove
petroleum prices, price differentials, and margins in 2004, and what this might mean
for refiners as we look towards the future. (Presentation, 3/14/2005)
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Petroleum and Natural Gas Outlook
A presentation to the National Association of State Energy Officials 2005 Energy Outlook
Conference, in Washington, DC, on February 17, 2005, giving EIA’s outlook for petroleum
and natural gas supply, demand, and prices. (Presentation, 2/18/2005)
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Petroleum Supply and Market Outlook
A presentation to the 7th Annual International Airport Operations/Jet Fuel Conference,
in Orlando, Florida, on February 3, 2005, giving EIA’s outlook for petroleum supply
and prices, with particular attention to jet fuel.
(Presentation, 2/9/2005)
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2004 |
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 2003
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Petroleum Supply
Monthly, and the Petroleum Supply Annual.
(Feature Article, 10/29/2004)
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Long-Term World Oil Supply Scenarios
When will worldwide crude oil production peak? EIA's analysis of this critical matter is discussed here.
(Feature Articles, 8/18/2004)
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2003 |
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2003 California Gasoline Price Study
This is the final report to Congressman Ose describing the factors driving
California's spring 2003 gasoline price spike and the subsequent price increases in
June and August.
(Publication, 12/5/2003)
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Inquiry into August 2003 Gasoline Price Spike
This report, prepared at the request of Secretary of Energy Spencer Abraham, examines
the factors behind the sharp increases in gasoline prices that occurred throughout the
United States in August 2003.
(Publication, 12/02/2003)
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 2002
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Petroleum Supply Monthly,
and the Petroleum Supply Annual. (Feature Article, 10/21/2003)
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Why Events Overseas Matter to Gasoline Retailers and Consumers
Attempts to explain how changes in the global supply and demand of crude oil can
affect retail gasoline prices in various parts of the country. It does this by exploring
3 recent gasoline price spikes: Spring 2001, March 2003, and August 2003. The
presentation compares and contrasts these price spikes in order to give the audience an
understanding of the various reasons behind gasoline price increases.
(Presentation, 10/11/2003)
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Outlook for Natural Gas and Petroleum
This presentation by Guy Caruso, Administrator of the Energy Information Administration,
addresses current market conditions for crude oil, petroleum products, and natural gas
and the short-term outlook for these commodities. Inventories of crude oil, distillate
fuel oil, propane, and natural gas are all below recent averages and a number of
uncertainties exist relating to prices, supplies, and consumption for the next winter.
(Presentation, 8/5/2003)
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Effects of Feed Quality and Product Specification Changes on Refined Product Supply
The presentation explores the implications that future feedstock changes and product
specification changes may have on refined product supply.
(Presentation, 3/27/2003)
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Forecasting Crude Oil Spot Price Using OECD Petroleum Inventory Levels
This paper (reprinted from the International Advances in Economic Research (Nov, 2002)
describes a simple model to forecast West Texas Intermediate crude oil spot prices.
This short-term monthly forecasting model uses only lagged relative OECD petroleum
inventories as the explanatory variable. Since petroleum inventories are a measure of
balance between production and demand, the paper develops the concept of relative
inventories and shows how they can be used to develop crude oil spot price forecasts.
(Feature Article, 3/6/2003)
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2002 |
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Supply Impact of Losing MTBE and Using Ethanol
States are moving to ban MTBE, which will increase demand for ethanol and reduce
refiners ability to produce reformulated gasoline. Making these changes is complex, and
the transition period could find consumers facing price volatility.
(Presentation, 10/24/2002)
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Financial News for Major Energy Companies
This report reviews recent financial peformance of major U.S. oil and gas companies.
Data presented are for January through March 2000.
(Publication, 10/12/2001)
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Financial News for Independent Energy Companies
Reviews recent financial performance of independent U.S. oil and gas companies.
Data presented are for October through December 2001. The next update, for January
through March 2002, will be released in June 2002.
(Publication, 10/12/2001)
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Refining Challenges: Changing Crude Oil Quality & Product Specifications
This PowerPoint presentation will focus on the challenges refiners face in the near-
to mid-term as they prepare for upcoming product specification changes, and what that
may mean for their choices of crude oil feedstocks.
(Presentation, 9/30/2002)
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 2001
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Winter Fuels
Report, the Petroleum Supply Monthly, and the Petroleum Supply Annual.
(Feature Article, 9/24/2002)
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Crude Oil, Heating Oil, and Propane Market Outlook
This PowerPoint presentation provides an early look at the crude oil, heating oil, and
propane market outlooks for the winter of 2002/03. It was given at the 2002 State Heating
Oil and Propane Program Conference held in Kennebunkport, ME on August 12, 2002.
(Presentation, 8/21/2002)
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Petroleum Chronology of Events 1970 - 2000
(Publication, 5/3/2002)
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Summer 2002 Motor Gasoline Outlook
(Feature Article, 4/10/2002)
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Petroleum Outlook: Increased Inter-PADD Movements Expected
This presentation explores the need for more inter-PADD movements of production over the
next 5 years. An MTBE ban could increase the need for product movements even more than a
the case in which MTBE continues to be used.
(Presentation, 4/9/2002)
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Availability of Gasoline Imports in the Short to Mid Term: U.S. Perspective
Analyzes changes in gasoline markets, both here in the United States
and abroad, that might affect the availability of gasoline imports between now and 2007.
This includes changes in gasoline specifications both here and in other countries that
supply imported gasoline, as well as growing demand in these countries.
(Presentation, 3/19/2002)
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Petroleum Outlook 2002: On the Road to Pamplona
A presentation to the National Petrochemical and Refiners Association Annual Meeting,
discussing EIA's outlook for global and U.S. petroleum supply, demand, and prices.
Specific attention is paid to the impact of recent and expected actions by OPEC and
other oil exporting countries, and to the outlook for gasoline markets during the
coming peak summer driving season.
(Presentation, 3/18/2002)
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Impact of Renewable Fuels Standard/MTBE Provisions of S. 1766
This service report addresses the Renewable Fuels Standard (RFS)/methyl tertiary butyl
ether (MTBE) provisions of S. 1766. The “S. 1766” Case reflects provisions of S. 1766
including a renewable fuels standard (RFS) reaching five billion gallons by 2012, a
complete phase-out of MTBE within four years, and the option for States to waive the
oxygen requirement for reformulated gasoline (RFG).
(Publication, 3/12/2002)
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The Effects of the Alaska Oil and Natural Gas Provisions of H.R. 4 and S. 1766 on U.S. Energy Markets
Addresses the Alaskan oil and natural gas provisions of H.R. 4 and S. 1766. The
estimated effects of the provision in H.R. 4 proposing crude oil production in the
Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR) and of the provision in S. 1766 concerning the
construction of a pipeline bringing Alaskan natural gas to the Lower 48 States are
presented.
(Publication, 3/12/2002)
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2001 |
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 2000
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Winter Fuels
Report, the Petroleum Supply Monthly, and the Petroleum Supply Annual.
(Feature Article, 10/18/2001)
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Midwest Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Near-Term Outlook
The Midwest could see higher prices compared to the national average for gasoline and
distillate fuels during the fall of 2001 as a result of the loss of capacity from the
fire at Citgo's Lemont refinery and from refinery maintenance.
(Feature Article, 10/5/2001)
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Oil Market Assessment
An assessment of the oil market as of September 12, 2001, the day after the terrorist
attacks in New York City and Washington, DC. Based on Energy Information
Administration (EIA) contacts and trade press reports, overall U.S. and global oil
supplies appear to have been minimally impacted.
(Feature Article, 9/14/2001)
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Electricity Shortage in California: Issues for Petroleum and Natural Gas Supply
Addresses the potential impact of rotating electrical outages on petroleum product and
natural gas supply in California. The analysis is presented in five parts, covering
electricity, petroleum refineries, refinery outside services, the historical response
of market prices to refinery disruptions, and natural gas.
(Publications, 6/18/2001)
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Future Oil Production for the Alaska North Slope
An analysis of plausible scenarios for the North Slope area of Alaska.
(Publication, 6/7/2001)
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The Transition to Ultra-Low-Sulfur Diesel Fuel: Effects on Prices and Supply
(Publication, 5/9/2001)
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Why Is West Coast Gasoline So Expensive?
Testimony on current gasoline prices as well as the unique situations on the West Coast
with regard to prices.
(Presentation, 4/25/2001)
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Natural Gas Hydrates 1998-2000
Reviews domestic and worldwide natural gas hydrates research and development activity
from 1998 through 2000.
(Publication, 4/25/2001, PDF)
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EIA's Testimony before the Subcommittee on Energy and Air Quality Committee on Energy and Commerce
Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 3/30/2001)
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Petroleum Outlook: More Volatility?
Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 3/19/2001)
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Oil Market Basics
An overview of oil markets and how they function.
(Publication, 3/1/2001)
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NASEO Energy Outlook Conference
Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 2/26/2001)
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Propane - A Mid-Heating Season Assessment
This report will analyze some of the factors leading up to the rapid increase in
propane demand and subsequent deterioration in supply that propelled propane prices to
record high levels during December and early January.
(Feature Article, 1/29/2001)
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Presentation for National Governors' Association
Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 1/26/2001)
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Summary Short-Term Petroleum and Natural Gas Outlook
Presentation from Energy Information Administration.
(Presentation, 1/12/2001)
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December 2000 Short-Term Energy Outlook
Presentation by Acting Administrator Mark J. Mazur, Energy Information Administration.
(Presentation, 12/18/2000)
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 1999
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Winter Fuels
Report, the Petroleum Supply Monthly, and the Petroleum Supply Annual.
(Feature Article, 11/3/2000)
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2000 |
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 1999
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Winter Fuels
Report, the Petroleum Supply Monthly, and the Petroleum Supply Annual.
(Feature Article, 11/3/2000)
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Winter Distillate and Propane Outlook
Presentation by Joanne Shore, Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 9/7/2000, HTML, Power Point)
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Long Term World Oil Supply
EIA presentation on estimates of the world conventional oil resource base and the year
when production from it will peak and then begin to decline.
(Presentation, 7/28/2000)
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Propane Market Status Report
Presentation by Alice Lippert, Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 7/27/2000)
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Winter Distillate and Natural Gas Outlook
Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 7/27/2000)
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A Year of Volatility:Oil Markets and Gasoline
Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 6/21/2000)
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The Northeast Heating Fuel Market: Assessment and Options
Examines the feasibility and impacts of converting factories and other major users of
heating oil to different fuels and discusses other options that may mitigate future
heating oil supply problems in the Northeast.
(Publication, 5/24/2000)
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Potential Oil Production from the Coastal Plain of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge: Updated Assessment
Product of the Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Reserves and Production
Division. EIA, under various programs, has assessed foreign and domestic oil and gas
resources, reserves, and production potential.
(Publication, 5/22/2000)
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Summer 2000 Motor Gasoline Outlook
The annual Motor Gasoline Assessment provides an analysis of the dominant factors
shaping the supply (production, stocks, imports) and price of the product for the
upcoming summer season of peak demand.
(Publication, 5/17/2000)
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Fuel Oil Use in Manufacturing
Manufactures have reduced their consumption of fuel oil as a fuel source between
1974 and 1994.
(Publication, 5/15/2000)
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Update: Increased Potential for Gasoline Price Spikes--Spring & Summer
Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 4/18/2000)
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U. S. Distillate Market Update
EIA Administrator Jay E. Hakes
(Presentation, 4/7/2000)
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EIA's House of Representatives Testimony About Rising Heating Oil, Diesel, and Gasoline Prices
Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 3/9/2000)
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Myth About Second Quarter Crude Oil Prices
Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 3/9/2000)
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Why Are Heating Oil Prices Spiking in the Northeast
Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 3/6/2000)
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EIA's Senate Testimony About Rising Heating Oil, Diesel, and Gasoline Prices
Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 2/24/2000)
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U.S. Distillate Market Testimony for New York Assembly Hearing
Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 2/4/2000)
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Impact of Interruptible Natural Gas Service on Northeast Heating Oil Demand
This report was undertaken to assess the relationship between interruptible gas service
contracts and heating oil demand in the Northeast during the winter of 1999-2000.
(Publication, 1/2001)
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1999 |
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Comparisons of Independent Petroleum Supply Statistics
This article, published in the Petroleum Supply Monthly, December 1999, compares final
petroleum data published in the PSA with similar petroleum data obtained from other
sources.
(Feature Article, 12/29/1999)
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 1998
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Winter Fuels
Report, the Petroleum Supply Monthly, and the Petroleum Supply Annual.
(Feature Article, 12/29/1999)
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1999-2000 Winter Fuels Outlook
Extract from the Short-Term Energy Outlook October 1999, which analyzes demand, supply
and prices of natural gas, heating oil and propane in the coming winter season.
(Feature Article, 10/20/1999)
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Comparisons of Independent Petroleum Supply Statistics
This article, published in the Petroleum Supply Monthly, August 1999, compares final
petroleum data published in the PSA with similar petroleum data obtained from other
sources.
(Feature Article, 8/30/1999)
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Petroleum: An Energy Profile 1999
This report explains in laymen's terms the major components and operations of the U.S.
petroleum industry that include: petroleum products, resources and reserves, drilling
and exploration, refining, storage and transportation, imports, exports, and petroleum
marketing.
(Publication, 7/29/1999)
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EIA's Petroleum Data and Web Site
Energy Information Administration Midwest Workshop, May 20-21, 1999.
(Presentation, 6/8/1999)
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Demand and Price Outlook for Phase 2 Reformulated Gasoline, 2000
Phase 2 of the U.S. reformulated gasoline program begins at the end of this year. This
article, published in the Petroleum Supply Monthly, April 1999, provides a forecast and
analysis of the demand and price for Phase 2 reformulated gasoline for the year 2000.
(Feature Article, 5/19/1999)
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High Propane Stocks: Structural Change or Cycle - OPIS NGL Supply Summit
Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office of Oil and Gas.
(Presentation, 5/17/1999)
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EIA Completes Corrections to Drilling Activity Estimates Series
EIA has inadvertently been publishing erroneous estimates of oil and gas well drilling
activity since the late 1980s. Problems in the raw data obtained from a vendor were
detected in late 1997, and again in mid 1998, and have since been resolved. Monthly
publication of the corrected EIA drilling activity estimates series resumed with the
August 1998 edition of the Monthly Energy Review. EIA Completes Corrections to Drilling
Activity Estimates Series
(Feature Article, 1/8/1999)
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1998 |
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 1997
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Winter Fuels
Report, the Petroleum Supply Monthly, and the Petroleum Supply Annual.
(Feature Article, 11/1998)
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1998-99 Winter Fuels Outlook
Extract from the Short-Term Energy Outlook October 1998, which analyzes demand, supply
and prices of natural gas, heating oil and propane in the coming winter season.
(Feature Article, 10/20/1998)
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Winter Fuels Outlook - EIA/NASEO Winter Fuels Conference
Categories: Prices, Production & Processing, Imports/Exports & Movements, Stocks, Consumption/Sales;
(Presentation, 10/8/1998, Power Point, PDF)
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El Paso Gasoline Prices
A presentation by Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office
of Oil and Gas, at a public meeting hosted by Congressman Silvestre Reyes in El Paso,
Texas, on September 3, 1998. The purpose of the meeting was to discuss gasoline prices
in the El Paso area, and the factors influencing global, national, and regional
petroleum markets. The EIA presentation reviews factors affecting gasoline prices in
El Paso and other markets in the United States, and the reasons behind differences in
prices between markets.
(Presentation, 9/2/1998)
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California Crude Oil Prices
A presentation by Dr. John S. Cook, Director of the Petroleum Division in EIA's Office
of Oil and Gas, at a joint workshop sponsored by the Department of Energy and the
California Independent Petroleum Association (CIPA) in Bakersfield, California, on
June 2, 1998. The purpose of the workshop was to examine the factors behind an
apparent widening, in recent months, of the differential between California heavy
crude oil prices and those of other world crude streams. The EIA presentation reviews
factors affecting California and other world oil markets over the past several years,
concentrating on the differentials between light and heavy crude oil streams.
(Presentation, 6/2/1998)
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Assessment of Summer 1997 Motor Gasoline Price Increase
Assesses the 1997 late summer gasoline market and some of the important issues surrounding that event.
(Publication, 5/1998)
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EIA Corrects Errors in Its Drilling Activity Estimates Series
Problems, resolutions, and the implications of key differences between the prior and
revised data series.
(Feature Article, 3/16/1998)
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1997 |
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Propane Market Assessment for Winter 1997-1998
Major components of propane supply and demand in the United States and their status
entering the 1997-1998 heating season.
(Feature Article, 12/1997)
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Accuracy of Petroleum Supply Data 1996
Accuracy of published data in the Weekly Petroleum Status Report, the Winter Fuels
Report, the Petroleum Supply Monthly, and the Petroleum Supply Annual.
(Feature Article, 12/1997)
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A Contrast Between Distillate Fuel Oil Markets in Autumn 1996 and 1997
Differences between conditions in the fall of 1996, when markets were very tight, and
at the beginning of the heating season in 1997-1998.
(Feature Article, 12/1997)
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Oil and Gas Resources of the West Siberian Basin, Russia
Estimates of the oil and gas resources of fields in the West Siberian Basin as
determined from reservoir level data.
(Publication, 11/1997)
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The Impact of Environmental Compliance Costs on U.S. Refining Profitability
Effects of environmental compliance costs on U.S. refining profitability in the
1990's for major energy companies.
(Publication, 10/1997)
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Petroleum 1996: Issues and Trends
Analyses of a broad spectrum of petroleum markets, ranging from oil field prices to
pump prices at local gasoline stations.
(Publication, 9/15/1997)
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A Comparison of Selected EIA-782 Data With Other Data Sources
Quality of data published in the Petroleum Marketing Monthly as compared with other
data sources.
(Feature Article, 8/1997)
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The Intricate Puzzle of Oil and Gas "Reserves Growth"
Methods used to estimate proven oil and gas reserves and ultimate recovery; and the
factors that affect the ultimate recovery estimates of a field or reservoir.
(Feature Article, 7/1997)
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Motor Gasoline Assessment, Spring 1997
Factors causing the run up of motor gasoline prices during Spring 1996 and the market
decline during Spring 1997.
(Publication, 7/1997)
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An Analysis of U.S. Propane Markets, Winter 1996-97
Examination of propane supply, demand, and price developments and trends.
(Publication, 6/1997)
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1996 |
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An Analysis of Gasoline Markets, Spring 1996
The factors causing the run up of motor gasoline prices during spring 1996.
(Publication, 6/1996)
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Oil Production Capacity Expansion Costs for the Persian Gulf - XLS Spreadsheet Model
Cost of expanding oil production capacity for the Persian Gulf based on geologic
plays and fields rather than country-level economics.
(Publication, 1/1996)
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1995 |
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U.S. Oil and Gas Development in the United States in the Early 1990's
Growing prominence of smaller energy companies in U.S. oil and gas production,
including factors related to investment strategy, resource development cost, cost of
capital, and characteristics of independents who survived the 1986 oil price collapse.
(Publication, 10/1995)
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1994 |
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Oil and Gas Resources of the Fergana Basin (Uzbekistan, Tadzhikistan, and Kyrgyzstan)
Reservoir level assessments of oil and gas ultimate recovery in the former Soviet Union
area.
(Publication, 12/1994)
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1993 |
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International Oil and Gas Exploration and Development 1991
Compilation of country-level data and assessment of regional trends relating to
upstream aspects of global oil and gas supply.
(Publication, 11/1993)
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1989 |
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A Review of Valdez Oil Spill Market Impacts
(Feature Article, 3/1989)
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