Issued: Sunday, May 28, 2006
Predictive Service Areas Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
May 27 May 28 May 29 May 30 May 31 Jun 01 Jun 02
RM01-Shoshone   1 1 1 1 1 1
RM02-Big Horn Basin   1 1 1 1 1 1
RM03-Big Horn Mountains   1 1 1 1 1 1
RM04-Powder River Basin   1 1 1 1 1 2
RM05-Black Hills North   2 2 2 2 2 2
RM06-Black Hills South   2 2 1 1 2 2
RM07-Southwest Wyoming   1 1 1 1 1 1
RM08-Wind River Basin/Casper Mtn   2 2 2 2 2 3
RM09-Laramie Mountains   2 W 2 2 2 3
RM10-Northwest Colorado Plateau   W 3 3 3 3 3
RM11-North Colorado Mountains   1 1 1 1 1 1
RM12-North Front Range Foothills   3 ~ 2 2 2 2
RM13-North Front Range Mtns   W 3 3 2 2 2
RM14-Lower Colorado River Plateau   W 3 3 3 3 3
RM15-Grand Mesa/White River   W 3 3 3 3 3
RM16-Uncompahgre   W 3 3 3 3 3
RM17-Gunnison/Pike    W 2 3 3 3 3
RM18-Central Front Range   W ~ 3 3 2 2
RM19-Ute Mountain/Mesa Verde    W 3 3 3 3 3
RM20-San Juan   2 2 2 2 2 2
RM21-Southern Front Range   W ~ 2 2 2 2
Weather Synopsis:
A Pacific frontal system continues to move across the RMA on Sunday. This system is anticipated to bring windy conditons to the RMA again on Sunday, with the strongest winds in southern Colorado. Look for scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms from northern to eastern Wyoming into South Dakota for Sunday afternoon and evening, with widely scattered wet/dry thunderstorms in northern and northwest Colorado. Temperatures become somewhat mild early in the period, except for one last very warm day in the Front Range on Sunday. The cooling trend becomes more widespread across the RMA on Monday along with decreasing winds. Warming with very dry RH is forecast to return on Tuesday through Friday in central/western Wyoming and western Colorado, with moist RH values and scattered afternoon wet thunderstorms in the eastern plains. The higher RH along with widely scattered wet thunderstorms are also forecast from the Front Range into southeast Wyoming and Black Hills as well Tuesday through Friday, with more coverage of the wet thunderstorms in the plains of eastern Colorado, Kansas, and Nebraska.
SHOSHONE

Eagle  Wyoming

Elkhorn       

 

BIG HORN BASIN

Crandall      

Grass Creek Div

Hyatt High    

Leigh Creek  Wy

Rattlesnake Mtn

Split Rock Cree

 

BIG HORN MOUNTAINS

Burgess       

Mill Creek    

School House Pa

 

BLACK HILLS NORTH

Baker Park  Sou

 

WIND RIVER BASIN/CASPER MTN

Wind River    

 

NORTH COLORADO MOUNTAINS

Dead horse    

NOTICE:  Forecasts for the following PSA's may be unavailable or unrepresentative of actual conditions due to missing observations from the stations listed:
Fire Potential Discussion:                    
The greatest fire potential early in the period will be over the lower elevations of Colorado. Dryness levels in the "Very Dry" category, windy conditions, isolated dry lightning, and dry RH results in an increased risk of large fire activity in Colorado on Sunday and to much lesser extent for Monday (including southeast Wyoming). Dryness levels remain "Very Dry" through the period in western Colorado, with conditions moderating into the "Dry" category in the Front Range by Tuesday. Dryness levels in the "Moist" category will persist over northern Wyoming.
 
Resources:
The Rocky Mountain Area Preparedness Level is currently at 2.  As of May 27th, three Type 1 crews are committed out of area and three are committed within the GACC. The Alpine Type 1 Crew is available national. Twelve RMA Type 2 or Type 2IA crews are available locally or to the GACC, while zero Type 2 or Type 2 IA crews are available for national assignment. The Unaweep Fire Use Module is committed to the 2006 Gila WFU ABCD in New Mexico. The Black Hills Fire Use Module is available for national assignment. (Blume)  Type 2 IMT is 1st on the RMA rotation and available for assignment. Heavy  T-21, Lead -21 and 1 Air Attack is located at DRO. 1 Seat and J-49 with 6 SMJK are located at GJT. 1 Seat and 1 Air Attack is available at BJC and 1 Seat is available at FNL. 3 Type 3 helicopters are available – only to GACC or state specific. I A is starting to pick up in the RMA- most fires have been in FM 2 and 7.  Dispatch Centers have reported adequate resources, although supporting other geographical areas including the Southwest. RX is starting to diminish in all units-mainly restricted to pile burning.  The National Preparedness Level is currently at 2 as of May 27th.  5 Geographic Areas, including the RMA, are reporting large fires at this time.

Daily Resource Status Report:
http://www.fs.fed.us/r2/fire/daily_resource_status.htm

Click here for 7 day ERC, F10, and F100 projections
Click here for 7 day Temperature & RH projections
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