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EID
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Volume 10, Number 7, July 2004 Estimating Time and Size of Bioterror AttackJohan Walden* and Edward H. Kaplan*† |
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Figure 1. Simulated actual (open dots) and forecasted (solid curve) cumulative cases in an anthrax bioterror attack that infects 100 persons 1.8 days before the first symptomatic case is observed. The cases were simulated from a lognormal distribution with median 11 days and dispersion 2.04 days, which corresponds to the incubation time estimated for anthrax based on the Swerdlovsk outbreak (3). |
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This page last reviewed June 2, 2004 |
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Emerging
Infectious Diseases Journal |
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