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Abrupt Climate Change

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Most of the studies and debates on potential climate change have focused on the ongoing buildup of industrial greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and a gradual increase in global temperatures. But recent and rapidly advancing evidence demonstrates that Earth's climate repeatedly has shifted dramatically and in time spans as short as a decade. And abrupt climate change may be more likely in the future.

WHOI Featured Stories
January 9, 2009
Ocean Conveyor's 'Pump' Switches Back On
The sinking of cold waters in the North Atlantic Ocean, which helps power global ocean circulation, had largely stalled since the mid-1990s, as the world warmed. To the surprise of scientists, it revved up again last winter—displaying once again just how complex the interactions between air, ocean, and ice really are.
Source: Oceanus Magazine

January 5, 2007
Sunspots, Sea Changes, and Climate Shifts
Sometimes, clues to environmental conditions in Earth's past tell conflicting stories and point to competing mechanisms for change.
Source: Oceanus Magazine

September 6, 2007
Interrogating the 'Great Ocean Conveyor'
The Greenland-Scotland Ridge stretches across the North Atlantic Ocean seafloor like a checkpoint regulating the two-way flow of ocean currents between the Nordic Seas and the Arctic Ocean to the north and the main body of the Atlantic to the south.
Source: Oceanus Magazine

North Atlantic Ocean Circulation November 16, 2006
The Once and Future Circulation of the Ocean
Did changes in ocean circulation play a role in melting the vast ice sheets that covered North America and Europe during the last ice age? Could global warming cause ocean circulation changes that lead to dramatic climate changes in the future?
Source: Oceanus Magazine

map January 23, 2006
Is Global Warming Changing the Arctic?
In the Arctic, the air, sea ice, and underlying ocean all interact in a delicately balanced system. Four ambitious Arctic projects are pulling back the icy veil that shrouds our understanding of the Arctic Ocean’s role in our climate system. (First of a five-part series.)
Source: Oceanus Magazine

What's After the Day After Tomorrow? June 1, 2004
What's After the Day After Tomorrow?
 A science perspective on the science fiction movie.

Common Misconceptions about Abrupt Climate Change June 1, 2004
Common Misconceptions about Abrupt Climate Change
Several decades of scientific research have yielded significant advances in understanding the ocean's role in regulating Earth's climate. This summary covers some of the major points about abrupt climate change that are often misunderstood.

hot tub callout image February 17, 2006
An Ocean Warmer Than a Hot Tub
New evidence from ancient seafloor sediments suggests that current climate forecasting models may underestimate future ocean warming caused by the buildup of greenhouse gases.
Source: Oceanus Magazine

 A River Runs Through It November 1, 2003
A River Runs Through It
In the northwestern Atlantic Ocean, along the edge of the U.S. continental shelf, some of the most important currents in the world are flowing.

Abrupt Climate Change: Should We Be Worried? February 10, 2003
Abrupt Climate Change: Should We Be Worried?
A World Economic Forum white paper by WHOI President and Director Robert Gagosian presented in Davos, Switzerland, January 27, 2003

Are We on the Brink of a New Little Ice Age? February 10, 2003
Are We on the Brink of a 'New Little Ice Age?'
The authors discuss the paradox that global warming could, counterintuitively, instigate a new ‘Little Ice Age’ in the northern hemisphere.

The Heat Before the Cold April 18, 2002
The Heat Before the Cold
 A New York Times Op-Ed by WHOI Scientist Terrence Joyce

 Several Centuries of Data December 1, 1996
Sedimentary Record Yields Several Centuries of Data
Natural climate changes like the Little Ice Age and the Medieval Warm Period are of interest for a few reasons. First, they occur on decade to century time scales, a gray zone in the spectrum of climate change. Accurate instrumental data do not extend back far enough to document the beginning of these events, and historical data are often of questionable accuracy and are not widespread geographically.
Source: Oceanus Magazine

WHOI News Releases
Fine-tuning the Steps in the Intricate Climate Change Dance December 7, 2005
Fine-tuning the Steps in the Intricate Climate Change Dance
New scientific findings are strengthening the case that rapid climate change may be related to how vigorously ocean currents move heat between low and high latitude.
Source: Media Relations

freshwater_callout.jpg June 16, 2005
How Much Excess Fresh Water Was Added to the North Atlantic in Recent Decades?
Continued Freshening of the North Atlantic Could Slow the Conveyor in the 21st Century
Source: Media Relations

Map April 21, 2004
Rate of Ocean Circulation Directly Linked to Abrupt Climate Change in North Atlantic Region
Source: Media Relations

 Tropical Plants Help Identify Lags Between Abrupt Climate and Vegetation Shifts in Different Parts of the World May 28, 2004
Tropical Plants Help Identify Lags Between Abrupt Climate and Vegetation Shifts in Different Parts of the World
Clues to the timing and cause of abrupt climate changes in the past may lie in ocean floor sediments, according to a study by scientists at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution.
Source: Media Relations

World Map December 17, 2003
New Study Reports Large-scale Salinity Changes in the Oceans
Source: Media Relations

Testimonies & Briefings
Bigger Hurricanes: A Consequence of Climate Change? September 20, 2004
Bigger Hurricanes: A Consequence of Climate Change?
In the wake of three destructive hurricanes that pummeled Florida and Caribbean islands this fall, WHOI Research Specialist Ruth Curry (PO) flew to Washington DC on September 20 to brief members of Congress on extreme weather events and climate instability.

Testimony to the Senate Committee on Commerce, Science and Transportation May 6, 2004
Testimony to the Senate Committee on Commerce, Science and Transportation
Former OCCI Director, William Curry, describes changes in the ocean that have been detected in only the last two years and discusses possible ocean and climate changes that may occur in the future if the planet continues to warm.

The Ocean's Role in Climate July 18, 2000
The Ocean's Role in Climate
Testimony to the Senate Committee on Commerce, Science and Transportation from WHOI scientist Raymond W. Schmitt

Research Projects

Bill Curry Assessing Rapid Climate Change during the last Intergracial with a new approach to Sea Level Reconstruction
Bill Curry and William Thompson Ocean and Climate Change Institute funded research.
» Visit Website

Fiammetta Straneo Measuring the Freshwater Flux through Hudson Strait
Fiammetta Straneo
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WHOI Researchers, Labs, and Groups

Ruth Curry Ruth Curry
Physical Oceanography
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William Curry William Curry
Geology and Geophysics
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Terrence Joyce Terrence Joyce
Physical Oceanography
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Lloyd Keigwin Lloyd Keigwin
Geology & Geophysics
» Visit Website

Jerry McManus Jerry McManus
Geology & Geophysics
» Visit Website

Delia Oppo Delia Oppo
Geology & Geophysics
» Visit Website

Ray Schmitt Raymond Schmitt
Physical Oceanography
» Visit Website

Fiammetta Straneo Fiammetta Straneo
Physical Oceanography
» Contact
»
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Technology
January 31, 2007
Reaching Up Into Perilous, Icy Waters
A new technology gives scientists the ability to investigate ice-infested Arctic Ocean surface waters that help prevent sea ice from melting.
Source: Oceanus Magazine

January 26, 2007
A Mooring Built to Survive the Irminger Sea
The experiment was to build a moored buoy that could withstand fierce winter winds and waves in a climatically strategic, but decidedly hostile, part of the  ocean.
Source: Oceanus Magazine

New Coral Dating Technique April 15, 2005
New Coral Dating Technique Helps Resolve Changes in Sea Level Rise in the Past
Corals from Papua New Guinea and Barbados indicate that changes in sea level, one of the key indexes for global climate change, may have been more frequent in the past than previously thought.
Source: Media Relations

On Watch in the North Atlantic January 1, 2003
On Watch in the North Atlantic
WHOI oceanographers are taking a major step toward understanding North Atlantic climate by installing a permanent moored data collection system in 3,200 meters (10,500 feet) of water along the western boundary of the Gulf Stream at "Station W".

ALACE, PALACE and SOLO Floats ALACE, PALACE and SOLO Floats
Drifting with currents and profiling the upper ocean.
Source: Ocean Instruments

Spray Glider Spray Glider
Measuring temperature, salinity, and turbidity.
Source: Ocean Instruments

In the News

Polar Warming Polar Warming
PBS Online News Hour featuring WHOI Scientist Carin Ashjian
» Visit Website

Ice Age to Warming - and Back? Ice Age to Warming - and Back?
The Christian Science Monitor news story featuring WHOI Scientist Lloyd Keigwin
» Visit Website

Global Chilling Global Chilling
A New York Times Op-Ed featuring WHOI Scientist Ruth Curry
» Visit Website

Saltier Atlantic May Help Decipher Global Warming Saltier Atlantic May Help Decipher Global Warming
A Boston Globe article featuring WHOI scientist Ruth Curry
» Visit Website

How will stocks handle the Big Chill? How will stocks handle the Big Chill?
A CNBC article featuring WHOI scientist Ray Schmitt.
» Visit Website

Researchers Track Rise of Fresh Water in Arctic Ocean Researchers Track Rise of Fresh Water in Arctic Ocean
National Public Radio (NPR), Morning Edition, Dec. 17, 2002 A study in the journal Science finds the volume of fresh water flowing into the Arctic Ocean from rivers in Asia and Europe appears to be rising. The phenomenon could have a transforming impact on currents and global climate by century's end.
» Visit Website

Science Publications
LeGrande, A. N.; G. A. Schmidt; et.al. January 24, 2006. Consistent Simulations of Multiple Proxy Responses to an Abrupt Climate change Event. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 103(4):837-842.

Denton, G.H., R.B. Alley, G.C. Comer, W.S. Broecker. May-June 2005.
The role of seasonality in abrupt climate change. Quaternary Science Reviews(24)10-11: 1159-1182.

Overpeck, J.T., M. Sturm, J.A. Francis, et.al. August 23, 2005. Arctic System on Trajectory to New, Seasonally Ice-Free State. EOS Transactions, American Geophysical Union. (86)34:309.

Meier, W., J. Stroeve, F. Fetterer, K. Knowles. September 6, 2005. Reductions in Arctic Sea Ice Cover No Longer Limited to Summer. EOS Transactions, American Geophysical Union. (86)36:326.

Hansen, B., S. Osterhus, D. Quadfasel, W. Turrel. August 2004. Already the Day After Tomorrow? Science 302(5686):953-954.

Alley, R. Abrupt Climate Changes: Oceans, Ice and Us.
Oceanography (17)4:194-296

Alley, R.B., J. Marotzke, W.D. Nordhaus, J.T. Overpeck, et.al. March 28, 2003. Abrupt Climate Change, Science (299)5615: 2005 - 2010

Committee on Abrupt Climate Change, et.al. 2002 Abrupt Climate Change: Inevitable Changes. National Academies Press, Washington DC.

Dickson, B., I. Yashayaev, J. Meincke, B. Turrell, S. Dye, J. Holfort. April 25, 2002. Rapid Freshening of the Deep North Atlantic Ocean over the Past Four Decades Nature 416: 832-837

Weiss, H. and R.S. Bradley January 26, 2001. What Drives Societal Collapse. Science,26:609-610.
The article describes how early civilizations were casualties of rapid climate change.

Broecker, W.S. November 28, 1997 Thermohaline Circulation, the Achilles Heel of Our Climate System: Will Man-Made CO 2 Upset the Current Balance?
Science 278(5343): 1582-1588

Fagan, B. 2000. The Little Ice Age: How Climate Made History 1300-1850. Santa Barbara, Basic Books.

Other Sites We Recommend
The Discovery of Rapid Climate Change

Explanations of how climate works
  • Weather Animations from USA Today
    The site archives over a 100 effective and quick loading animated gifs depicting weather phenomena relating to climate change, air masses, air pressure, El Nino, floods, hurricanes, lightning, optical effects, seasons, storms, winds, and more.

  • An Overview of Climate Processes
    Information on climate processes provided by National Climatic Data Center Paleoclimatology Program.
Orbital influences on climate Oceans role in climate

Articles, books and reports on abrupt climate change Articles on the potential impact of abrupt climate change on society


Last updated: March 30, 2009
 


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