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Factors in Food Commodity Price Increases

The recent runup in global food commodity prices reflects both long-term trends and short-term events. Slower long-term growth in global crop production and more rapid growth in demand have tightened world balances of grains and oilseeds.  In addition, about 5 years ago, global production of ethanol and biodiesel began to add to the demand for grains and oilseeds. Other factors that have put upward pressure on prices include the declining value of the U.S. dollar, rising energy prices, increasing agricultural costs of production, adverse weather conditions in 2006 and 2007 and, most recently, steps taken by some countries to curb their food exports to mitigate their own food price inflation.

 

Related Resources

Global Agricultural Supply and Demand: Factors Contributing to the Recent Increase in Food Commodity Prices (May 2008)

World market prices for major food commodities such as grains and vegetable oils have risen sharply to historic highs of more than 60 percent above levels just 2 years ago. This report identifies some of the more important factors contributing to the runup in food commodity prices and discusses their role in recent price increases.


Corn Prices Near Record High, But What About Food Costs? (February 2008)

Using data on price trends from 1987-2007 and the price responsiveness of corn-dependent food to cost changes, this article traces the effect of higher corn prices on U.S. retail food prices. The results indicate ethanol's impact on retail food prices depends on how long the increased demand for corn raises farm prices of corn and the extent to which higher corn prices are passed through to retail.


Rising Food Prices Intensify Food Insecurity in Developing Countries (February 2008)

Higher global food prices can erode food security in already food-insecure countries, especially if they are also highly dependent on food imports.  Food aid, a key safety net source, has stagnated during the last two decades, and its share has declined relative to total food imports of low-income countries.


Analysis and Forecasts of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for Food (monthly)

Monthly updates are provided for the U.S. CPI for all food, food away from home, food at home, and 15 selected food categories. Annual changes in the food CPI and forecasts for the current year are presented, along with analysis of the trends.


What Did a Dollar Spent on Food Pay for in 2006? (May 2008)

Nineteen cents of every dollar spent on U.S.-grown food in 2006 went to the farmer for the raw food inputs, while the other 81 cents covered the cost of transforming these inputs into food products and getting them to grocery store shelves and restaurants.  ERS tracks these processing and distribution costs in order to inform policymakers and others about the value added to agricultural commodities by the food marketing system. 

For more information, contact: Ephraim Leibtag

Web administration: webadmin@ers.usda.gov

Updated date: May 8, 2008