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MDL/Statistical Modeling Branch Publications and Presentations
Text Products
- Gilbert,K. K., R. L. Cosgrove, and J. C. Maloney 2008: NAM-based MOS guidance - The 0000/1200 UTC alphanumeric messages. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 08-01, NOAA, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 11 pp.
- Cosgrove, R. L., and J. P. Dallavalle, 2005: GFS-based MOS guidance - The extended-range alphanumeric messages from the 0000/1200 UTC forecast cycles. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 05-07, NOAA, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 11 pp.
- Dallavalle,J. P., and R. L. Cosgrove, 2005: Eta-based MOS guidance - The 0000/1200 UTC alphanumeric messages. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 05-06, NOAA, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 11 pp.
- Dallavalle,J. P., and R. L. Cosgrove, 2004: GFS-based MOS guidance - The short-range alphanumeric messages from the 0000/1200 UTC forecast cycles. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 05-03, NOAA, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 13 pp.
- Dallavalle,J. P., and R. L. Cosgrove, 2004: GFS-based MOS guidance - The short-range alphanumeric messages from the 0600/1800 UTC forecast cycles. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 05-04, NOAA, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 13 pp.
- Dallavalle, J. P., J. S. Jensenius, and S. A. Gilbert, 1992: NGM-Based MOS guidance - The FOUS14/FWC message. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 408, NOAA, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 24 pp.
- Dallavalle,J. P., and J. C. Su, 2005: GFS-based MOS guidance for the Western Pacific - The short-range alphanumeric messages from the 0000/1200 UTC forecast cycles. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 05-01, NOAA, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 4 pp.
GFS-based Elements
- Allen, Rebecca, 2001: MRF-based MOS precipitation type guidance for the United States. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 485, NOAA, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 12 pp.
- Allen, R. L., and M.C. Erickson, 2001: AVN-based MOS precipitation type guidance for the United States. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 476, NOAA, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 9pp.
- Carroll, Kevin L., 2005: GFS-based MOS temperature and dewpoint guidance for the United States, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 05-05, NOAA, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 8 pp.
- Rudack, David, 2006: GFS-based MOS Wind Gust Guidance for the United States, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 06-01, NOAA, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 9 pp.
- Sfanos, Benjamin, 2001: AVN-based MOS wind guidance for the United States and Puerto Rico. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 474, NOAA, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 6pp.
- Su, James C., 2005: GFS-based MOS wind forecast guidance for the Western Pacific Islands. MDL Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 05-02, NOAA, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 11 pp.
- Weiss, Mitchell, 2001: AVN-based MOS ceiling height and total sky cover for the contiguous United States, Alaska, Hawaii, and Puerto Rico. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 483, NOAA, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 22 pp.
Eta-based Elements
NGM-based Elements
- Antolik, Mark S., 1999: NGM-based statistical quantitative precipitation forecast guidance for the contiguous United States and Alaska. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 461, NOAA, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 28 pp.
- Foose, Joseph M., 1997: NGM-based MOS wind guidance for Alaska. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 439, NOAA, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 21 pp.
- Meyer, F. G, V. J. Dagostaro, and D. T. Miller, 1995: NGM-based MOS visibility and obstruction to vision guidance for the contiguous U.S.. NWS Technical Procedures Bulletin No. 431, NOAA, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 10 pp.
- Allen, Rebecca L., 1999: AVN-Based MOS Precipitation Type Forecasts. Abstracts 24th Annual Meeting of the National Weather Association, Biloxi. Abstract, Presentation
- Dallavalle, J. P., and B. Glahn, 2005: Toward a gridded MOS system. Preprints, 21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Washington, D.C., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 13B.2.
- Dallavalle, J. P., and M. C. Erickson, 1999: MOS-2000: A new era in interpretive weather guidance? Abstracts 24th Annual Meeting of the National Weather Association, Biloxi. Abstract, Presentation
- Sheets, K. L., Trimarco, R. A., and K. K. Hughes, 2005: Using geographic information systems to develop gridded model output statistics. Preprints, 21st Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Washington, D.C., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 13B.1.
- NWS PQPF Science Strategy Workshop, June 4, 2002:
- Millersville University Presentation, 2005
- University of Maryland Presentation, 2005
- Probabilistic Forecasting in Practice, AMS Short Course on Probabilistic Forecasting, San Diego CA, 2005
- Everything You Wanted to Know About MOS, But Were Afraid to Ask, Presentation given to Southern Region, 2005
- Gridded MOS, A Prototype System, Presentation given to Ninth Annual Great Divide Workshop, 2005
- Antolik, M.S., 2000: An overview of the National Weather Service's centralized statistical quantitative precipitation forecasts. Journal of Hydrology, 239, 306-337. Abstract
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