Jan 14, 2009 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Jan 14 16:24:41 UTC 2009
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20090114 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20090114 1730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability Legend Image
   SPC AC 141622
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1022 AM CST WED JAN 14 2009
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   MODELS INDICATE LITTLE CHANGE TO THE AMPLIFIED LARGE-SCALE UPPER
   FLOW PATTERN THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD.  SHARP RIDGING IS
   EXPECTED TO PERSIST ALONG OR JUST WEST OF PACIFIC COASTAL AREAS...
   WHILE A DEEP COLD TROUGH ENCOMPASSES MUCH OF CANADA AND THE U.S.
   EAST OF THE ROCKIES.  THE LEADING FRONTAL ZONE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
   EASTERN TROUGH MAY BECOME MORE DIFFUSE OVER THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF
   MEXICO OR WESTERN CARIBBEAN...BUT A SIGNIFICANT REINFORCING
   LOW-LEVEL COLD INTRUSION APPEARS LIKELY TO SURGE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
   GULF OF MEXICO BY LATE THURSDAY/THURSDAY NIGHT.  THIS WILL
   CONTRIBUTE TO THE MAINTENANCE OF A DRY/STABLY STRATIFIED ENVIRONMENT
   ACROSS MUCH OF THE U.S...AND NEGLIGIBLE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORM
   ACTIVITY.
   
   ..KERR.. 01/14/2009
   
   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z