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000
FXUS64 KFWD 191031 AAA
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
531 AM CDT SUN OCT 19 2008

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAF PACKAGE/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE. EXPECT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS
NEAR 12 KTS THIS AFTERNOON...DROPPING TO AROUND 5KTS THIS
EVENING/OVERNIGHT. ASIDE FROM A FEW CIRRUS CLOUDS DRIFTING
BY...SKIES WILL BE CLEAR.

SCHULTZ

&&


.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 333 AM CDT SUN OCT 19 2008/
DRY AND MOSTLY CLEAR WEATHER TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. MAJOR
CHANGES IN STORE FOR MIDWEEK AS MUCH COOLER WEATHER AND PERHAPS
SOME RAIN MOVES INTO NORTH TEXAS.

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY AS HIGHS CLIMB
INTO THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S MOST AREAS EACH DAY. AN INITIAL
FRONTAL SURGE WILL MAKE IT THROUGH OKLAHOMA TO NEAR THE RED RIVER
LATE MONDAY BEFORE STALLING. THIS INITIAL COOL SURGE IS NOT
EXPECTED TO AFFECT NORTH TEXAS WEATHER.

MODELS IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH TIMING OF STRONG UPPER
TROUGH/CLOSED LOW INTO CENTRAL U.S. BY MIDWEEK. EXPECT FRONTAL
PASSAGE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACCOMPANYING WINDSHIFT. DID NOT MAKE
ANY CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH REGARD TO PRECIP CHANCES OR
TIMING...WITH BEST CHANCES STILL EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN AND
NORTHERN ZONES.

WILL HAVE A PERIOD OF GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE WINDS DIMINISH IN THE EVENING. RAIN
CHANCES TO END QUICKLY FROM WEST TO EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS DRY
SLOT OVERSPREADS NORTH TEXAS SOUTH OF UPPER LOW.

DRY WEATHER EXPECTED FOR LATE IN THE WEEK...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED
SHOWERS MAY OCCUR IN NORTHEAST ZONES ON THURSDAY AS WEAK
INSTABILITY DEVELOPS ON PERIPHERY OF UPPER LOW OVER SOUTHERN
MISSOURI. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL
TREND BACK TO NEAR NORMAL BY SATURDAY.      09

&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  82  59  84  61  82 /   0   0   0   5   5
WACO, TX              82  58  84  61  84 /   0   0   0   5   5
PARIS, TX             76  52  79  57  79 /   0   0   0   5   5
DENTON, TX            82  57  85  59  82 /   0   0   0   5   5
MCKINNEY, TX          79  54  82  57  80 /   0   0   0   5   5
DALLAS, TX            82  60  83  60  82 /   0   0   0   5   5
TERRELL, TX           79  56  83  59  81 /   0   0   0   5   5
CORSICANA, TX         79  56  84  59  82 /   0   0   0   5   5
TEMPLE, TX            82  56  85  60  84 /   0   0   0   5   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$





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