![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
|
![]() |
This report draws on information from USDA's global network of agricultural attaches and counselors, official statistics of foreign governments, other foreign source materials, and results of office analysis. Estimates of U.S. acreage, yield and production are from the USDA Agricultural Statistics Board, except where noted. This report is based on unrounded data; numbers may not add to totals because of rounding. The report reflects official USDA estimates released in the World Agricultural Supply Estimates (WASDE-322) January 10, 1997.
The report was prepared by the Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Division FAS, AGBOX 1045, 14th and Independence Ave., Washington, DC 20250-1000. Further information may be obtained by writing to the division, or by calling (202) 720-0888, 9516, or by FAX (202) 720-8880.
The next issue of World Agricultural Production, Part 1, will be available electronically after 3:30 pm local time on February 13, 1997.
WORLD AGRICULTURAL WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS
PRODUCTION HIGHLIGHTS FOR 1996/97-- January 1997 ------------1996/97------------- CHANGE CURRENT MONTHLY MONTHLY FROM COUNTRY ESTIMATES CHANGE CHANGE 1995/96 (MMT) (MMT) (PERCENT) (PERCENT) WHEAT World 579.1 -0.5 -0 +8 Production is estimated lower this month due to a decline in the total foreign category. United States 62.1 NC NC +5 Production is unchanged. Total Foreign 517.0 -0.5 -0 +8 Production is estimated lower due to a decrease in Ukraine which more than offset an increase in the European Union. Ukraine 13.5 -1.0 -7 -17 Production is estimated lower based on preliminary official data reporting lower yield. European Union 99.3 +0.3 +0 +15 Production is estimated higher due to increases in area and yield for France. COARSE GRAINS World 884.7 -0.8 -0 +11 Production is estimated lower as a decrease in the total foreign category more than offset an increase in the United States. United States 267.6 +0.3 +0 +28 Production is estimated higher as an increase in corn output more than offset a decline in sorghum. Total Foreign 617.1 -1.0 -0 +5 Production is estimated lower mainly due to a decrease in Ukraine which more than offset an increase in Yugoslavia. Ukraine 8.4 -1.5 -15 -46 Production is estimated lower based on preliminary official data indicating reduced yields for barley, oats, and corn; however, rye is revised higher. Yugoslavia 9.2 +0.5 +6 +1 Production is estimated higher due to an increase in corn yield. RICE (MILLED BASIS) World 376.8 +0 +0 +2 Production is estimated higher due to an increase in the total foreign category that more than offset a decline in the United States. United States 5.6 -0.1 -2 -1 Production is estimated lower due to a decrease in harvested area. However, yield is estimated at a record. Total Foreign 371.2 +0.1 +0 +2 Production is forecast higher due to increases in Pakistan and Thailand; however, output in Vietnam is revised lower. Pakistan 4.3 +0.5 +12 +8 Production is estimated at a record due to an increase in area and a favorable growing season. Thailand 14.4 +0.2 +1 NC Production is estimated higher based on harvest results from the main-season crop indicating higher yield. Vietnam 17.0 -0.5 -3 -3 Production is estimated lower due to flood damage that reduced area. OILSEEDS World 255.3 +0 +0 -0 Production is forecast slightly higher based on increased output in the total foreign category which more than offset a decrease in the United States. United States 74.9 -0.3 -0 +8 Production is estimated lower due to reduced soybean yield. Total Foreign 180.4 +0.3 +0 -3 Production is forecast slightly higher primarily due to an upward revision in the sunflowerseed estimate for Russia. Oilseeds in the European Union and Eastern Europe are revised down slightly. Russia 3.3 +0.3 +10 -29 Production is estimated higher based on harvest reports indicating improved sunflowerseed yield. PALM OIL World 16.4 NC NC +5 No change this month. Production is forecast at a record, up 0.7 million tons from last year. ON ------------1996/97------------- CHANGE CURRENT MONTHLY MONTHLY FROM COUNTRY ESTIMATES CHANGE CHANGE 1995/96 (MMT) (MMT) (PERCENT) (PERCENT) United States 19.0 +0.2 +1 +6 Production is estimated higher due to increases in area and yield. Total Foreign 67.4 +0.2 +0 -9 Production is estimated higher primarily due to increases in Sudan and Iran. Sudan 0.6 +0.1 +18 +33 Production is estimated higher due to an increase in area which more than offset a decline in yield. Iran 0.7 +0.1 +18 +3 Production is estimated higher resulting from an increase in area. WHEAT : World Production Estimates 1994/95 - 1995/96 and Forecast 1996/97 Production, Area, and Yield for Selected Producers ------------------------------------------------------------------ | | |PRELIMINAR | 1996/97 FORECAST PRODUCER | UNIT | 1994/95 | 1995/96 | Dec. 12 Jan. 10 ------------------------------------------------------------------ WORLD Production MIL. MT 524.750 536.894 579.589 579.086 Area MIL. HA 215.191 219.735 229.998 230.028 Yield MT/HA 2.439 2.443 2.520 2.517 UNITED STATES Production MIL. MT 63.167 59.400 62.099 62.099 Area MIL. HA 24.998 24.664 25.435 25.435 Yield MT/HA 2.527 2.408 2.441 2.441 TOTAL FOREIGN Production MIL. MT 461.583 477.494 517.490 516.987 Area MIL. HA 190.193 195.071 204.563 204.593 Yield MT/HA 2.427 2.448 2.530 2.527 ARGENTINA Production MIL. MT 11.300 9.200 15.500 15.500 Area MIL. HA 5.100 4.781 6.600 6.600 Yield MT/HA 2.216 1.924 2.348 2.348 AUSTRALIA Production MIL. MT 8.903 16.975 21.500 21.500 Area MIL. HA 8.003 9.721 11.100 11.100 Yield MT/HA 1.112 1.746 1.937 1.937 CANADA Production MIL. MT 23.122 25.037 30.500 30.500 Area MIL. HA 10.838 11.253 12.650 12.650 Yield MT/HA 2.133 2.225 2.411 2.411 EU-15 Production MIL. MT 84.541 86.157 99.020 99.320 Area MIL. HA 15.786 16.127 17.060 17.090 Yield MT/HA 5.355 5.342 5.804 5.812 FSU-12 Production MIL. MT 59.904 58.923 64.160 63.350 Area MIL. HA 42.218 45.310 47.300 47.310 Yield MT/HA 1.419 1.300 1.356 1.339 EASTERN EUROPE Production MIL. MT 33.962 34.990 26.360 26.360 Area MIL. HA 10.072 9.710 8.730 8.730 Yield MT/HA 3.372 3.604 3.019 3.019 CHINA Production MIL. MT 99.300 102.215 109.000 109.000 Area MIL. HA 28.981 28.860 29.500 29.500 Yield MT/HA 3.426 3.542 3.695 3.695 INDIA Production MIL. MT 59.840 65.470 62.620 62.620 Area MIL. HA 25.100 25.600 25.100 25.100 Yield MT/HA 2.384 2.557 2.495 2.495 PAKISTAN Production MIL. MT 15.212 17.002 16.907 16.907 Area MIL. HA 8.034 8.170 8.376 8.376 Yield MT/HA 1.893 2.081 2.019 2.019 TURKEY Production MIL. MT 14.700 15.500 16.500 16.500 Area MIL. HA 8.600 8.550 8.450 8.450 Yield MT/HA 1.709 1.813 1.953 1.953 MEXICO Production MIL. MT 4.151 3.460 3.200 3.200 Area MIL. HA 0.965 0.870 0.800 0.800 Yield MT/HA 4.302 3.977 4.000 4.000 OTHER W. EUROPE Production MIL. MT 0.805 0.946 0.975 0.921 Area MIL. HA 0.171 0.166 0.173 0.163 Yield MT/HA 4.708 5.699 5.636 5.650 ================================================================== Jan. 10,1997 Timothy Rocke, Grains Chairperson, PECAD CORN : World Production Estimates 1994/95 - 1995/96 and Forecast 1996/97 Production, Area, and Yield for Selected Producers ------------------------------------------------------------------ | | |PRELIMINAR | 1996/97 FORECAST PRODUCER | UNIT | 1994/95 | 1995/96 | Dec. 12 Jan. 10 ------------------------------------------------------------------ WORLD Production MIL. MT 560.225 514.069 572.614 573.154 Area MIL. HA 134.335 133.471 139.438 139.280 Yield MT/HA 4.170 3.852 4.107 4.115 UNITED STATES Production MIL. MT 256.621 187.305 235.349 236.064 Area MIL. HA 29.496 26.303 29.651 29.602 Yield MT/HA 8.700 7.121 7.937 7.975 TOTAL FOREIGN Production MIL. MT 303.604 326.764 337.265 337.090 Area MIL. HA 104.839 107.168 109.787 109.678 Yield MT/HA 2.896 3.049 3.072 3.073 ARGENTINA Production MIL. MT 11.100 10.700 13.500 13.500 Area MIL. HA 2.500 2.600 3.200 3.200 Yield MT/HA 4.440 4.115 4.219 4.219 SOUTH AFRICA Production MIL. MT 4.845 10.200 9.500 9.500 Area MIL. HA 2.952 3.300 3.400 3.400 Yield MT/HA 1.641 3.091 2.794 2.794 THAILAND Production MIL. MT 3.800 3.700 4.000 4.000 Area MIL. HA 1.200 1.140 1.200 1.200 Yield MT/HA 3.167 3.246 3.333 3.333 EASTERN EUROPE Production MIL. MT 22.716 25.371 24.970 25.470 Area MIL. HA 7.068 6.949 7.085 7.085 Yield MT/HA 3.214 3.651 3.524 3.595 EU-15 Production MIL. MT 28.298 28.952 34.030 34.030 Area MIL. HA 3.717 3.690 4.111 4.051 Yield MT/HA 7.613 7.846 8.278 8.400 FSU-12 Production MIL. MT 4.032 6.990 4.085 3.405 Area MIL. HA 1.880 2.465 2.097 2.097 Yield MT/HA 2.145 2.836 1.948 1.624 MEXICO Production MIL. MT 17.005 16.000 17.500 17.500 Area MIL. HA 8.022 7.000 7.500 7.500 Yield MT/HA 2.120 2.286 2.333 2.333 CHINA Production MIL. MT 99.280 112.000 117.000 117.000 Area MIL. HA 21.152 22.767 23.500 23.500 Yield MT/HA 4.694 4.919 4.979 4.979 BRAZIL Production MIL. MT 37.440 32.480 34.000 34.000 Area MIL. HA 14.189 13.767 14.000 14.000 Yield MT/HA 2.639 2.359 2.429 2.429 PHILIPPINES Production MIL. MT 4.534 4.300 4.300 4.300 Area MIL. HA 2.967 2.760 2.700 2.700 Yield MT/HA 1.528 1.558 1.593 1.593 INDONESIA Production MIL. MT 5.500 6.200 6.000 6.000 Area MIL. HA 3.109 3.652 3.500 3.500 Yield MT/HA 1.769 1.698 1.714 1.714 CANADA Production MIL. MT 7.043 7.271 7.200 7.200 Area MIL. HA 0.955 1.003 1.040 1.040 Yield MT/HA 7.375 7.249 6.923 6.923 ================================================================== Jan. 10,1997 Timothy Rocke, Grains Chairperson, PECAD SOYBEANS : World Production Estimates 1994/95 - 1995/96 and Forecast 1996/97 Production, Area, and Yield for Selected Producers ------------------------------------------------------------------ | | |PRELIMINAR | 1996/97 FORECAST PRODUCER | UNIT | 1994/95 | 1995/96 | Dec. 12 Jan. 10 ------------------------------------------------------------------ WORLD Production MIL. MT 137.783 124.387 132.581 132.010 Area MIL. HA 62.207 61.351 63.263 63.236 Yield MT/HA 2.215 2.027 2.096 2.088 UNITED STATES Production MIL. MT 68.493 59.243 65.388 64.837 Area MIL. HA 24.629 24.938 25.673 25.661 Yield MT/HA 2.781 2.376 2.547 2.527 TOTAL FOREIGN Production MIL. MT 69.290 65.144 67.193 67.173 Area MIL. HA 37.578 36.413 37.590 37.575 Yield MT/HA 1.844 1.789 1.788 1.788 ARGENTINA Production MIL. MT 12.650 12.640 13.000 13.000 Area MIL. HA 5.700 5.980 6.000 6.000 Yield MT/HA 2.219 2.114 2.167 2.167 BRAZIL Production MIL. MT 25.900 23.400 26.000 26.000 Area MIL. HA 11.680 10.950 12.200 12.200 Yield MT/HA 2.217 2.137 2.131 2.131 PARAGUAY Production MIL. MT 2.200 2.300 2.500 2.500 Area MIL. HA 1.100 1.100 1.200 1.200 Yield MT/HA 2.000 2.091 2.083 2.083 CHINA Production MIL. MT 16.000 13.500 12.500 12.500 Area MIL. HA 9.222 8.127 7.500 7.500 Yield MT/HA 1.735 1.661 1.667 1.667 INDONESIA Production MIL. MT 1.680 1.560 1.550 1.550 Area MIL. HA 1.477 1.390 1.400 1.400 Yield MT/HA 1.137 1.122 1.107 1.107 EASTERN EUROPE Production MIL. MT 0.256 0.303 0.352 0.352 Area MIL. HA 0.164 0.178 0.214 0.214 Yield MT/HA 1.561 1.702 1.645 1.645 EU-15 Production MIL. MT 1.032 0.939 1.090 1.070 Area MIL. HA 0.352 0.291 0.329 0.314 Yield MT/HA 2.932 3.227 3.313 3.408 CANADA Production MIL. MT 2.251 2.293 2.170 2.170 Area MIL. HA 0.820 0.824 0.860 0.860 Yield MT/HA 2.745 2.783 2.523 2.523 ================================================================== Jan. 10,1997 Rod Paschal, Oilseeds Chairperson, PECAD COTTON : World Production Estimates 1994/95 - 1995/96 and Forecast 1996/97 Production, Area, and Yield for Selected Producers ------------------------------------------------------------------ | | |PRELIMINAR | 1996/97 FORECAST PRODUCER | UNIT | 1994/95 | 1995/96 | Dec. 12 Jan. 10 ------------------------------------------------------------------ WORLD Production MIL. BALES 85.520 91.822 85.934 86.367 Area MIL. HA 32.149 35.429 33.324 33.535 Yield KG/HA 579 564 561 561 UNITED STATES Production MIL. BALES 19.662 17.900 18.738 18.951 Area MIL. HA 5.391 6.478 5.172 5.193 Yield KG/HA 794 602 789 795 TOTAL FOREIGN Production MIL. BALES 65.858 73.922 67.196 67.416 Area MIL. HA 26.758 28.951 28.152 28.342 Yield KG/HA 536 556 520 518 AUSTRALIA Production MIL. BALES 1.539 1.929 2.600 2.600 Area MIL. HA 0.222 0.304 0.390 0.390 Yield KG/HA 1,509 1,382 1,452 1,452 CENTRAL AMERICA Production MIL. BALES 0.052 0.065 0.047 0.047 Area MIL. HA 0.017 0.019 0.013 0.013 Yield KG/HA 666 745 787 787 EGYPT Production MIL. BALES 1.170 1.088 1.680 1.680 Area MIL. HA 0.305 0.306 0.387 0.387 Yield KG/HA 835 774 945 945 MEXICO Production MIL. BALES 0.458 0.860 1.100 1.100 Area MIL. HA 0.146 0.242 0.300 0.300 Yield KG/HA 683 774 798 798 PAKISTAN Production MIL. BALES 6.250 8.200 6.800 6.800 Area MIL. HA 2.650 3.048 3.200 3.200 Yield KG/HA 514 586 463 463 SUDAN Production MIL. BALES 0.400 0.490 0.550 0.650 Area MIL. HA 0.174 0.220 0.240 0.350 Yield KG/HA 501 485 499 404 TURKEY Production MIL. BALES 2.886 3.845 3.500 3.500 Area MIL. HA 0.582 0.741 0.714 0.714 Yield KG/HA 1,080 1,130 1,067 1,067 FSU-12 Production MIL. BALES 8.778 8.260 6.570 6.570 Area MIL. HA 2.707 2.573 2.545 2.545 Yield KG/HA 706 699 562 562 ARGENTINA Production MIL. BALES 1.608 1.800 1.950 1.950 Area MIL. HA 0.700 0.940 0.900 0.900 Yield KG/HA 500 417 472 472 BRAZIL Production MIL. BALES 2.526 1.791 1.400 1.400 Area MIL. HA 1.220 1.130 0.750 0.750 Yield KG/HA 451 345 406 406 CHINA Production MIL. BALES 19.900 21.900 17.500 17.500 Area MIL. HA 5.530 5.422 4.800 4.800 Yield KG/HA 784 879 794 794 INDIA Production MIL. BALES 10.814 12.493 12.300 12.300 Area MIL. HA 7.861 8.650 8.500 8.500 Yield KG/HA 300 314 315 315 ================================================================== Jan. 10,1997 Ron Roberson, Cotton Chairperson, PECAD RICE (Milled Basis) : World Production Estimates 1994/95 - 1995/96 and Forecast 1996/97 Production, Area, and Yield for Selected Producers ------------------------------------------------------------------ | | |PRELIMINAR | 1996/97 FORECAST PRODUCER | UNIT | 1994/95 | 1995/96 | Dec. 12 Jan. 10 ------------------------------------------------------------------ WORLD Production MIL. MT 365.356 370.860 376.774 376.836 Area MIL. HA 148.090 148.621 148.487 148.420 Yield MT/HA 2.467 2.495 2.537 2.539 UNITED STATES Production MIL. MT 6.648 5.631 5.682 5.595 Area MIL. HA 1.342 1.252 1.177 1.133 Yield MT/HA 4.954 4.498 4.828 4.938 TOTAL FOREIGN Production MIL. MT 358.708 365.229 371.092 371.241 Area MIL. HA 146.748 147.369 147.310 147.287 Yield MT/HA 2.444 2.478 2.519 2.521 PAKISTAN Production MIL. MT 3.447 3.936 3.800 4.260 Area MIL. HA 2.107 2.162 2.000 2.230 Yield MT/HA 1.636 1.821 1.900 1.910 BURMA Production MIL. MT 9.280 10.000 10.440 10.440 Area MIL. HA 5.517 5.700 5.700 5.700 Yield MT/HA 1.682 1.754 1.832 1.832 THAILAND Production MIL. MT 14.124 14.400 14.200 14.400 Area MIL. HA 9.196 9.250 9.200 9.200 Yield MT/HA 1.536 1.557 1.543 1.565 CHINA Production MIL. MT 123.151 129.650 132.000 132.000 Area MIL. HA 30.171 30.700 30.700 30.700 Yield MT/HA 4.082 4.223 4.300 4.300 INDONESIA Production MIL. MT 32.333 32.700 33.500 33.500 Area MIL. HA 11.439 11.400 11.600 11.600 Yield MT/HA 2.827 2.868 2.888 2.888 REP. OF KOREA Production MIL. MT 5.060 4.694 5.320 5.320 Area MIL. HA 1.102 1.056 1.050 1.050 Yield MT/HA 4.592 4.445 5.067 5.067 JAPAN Production MIL. MT 10.903 9.781 9.400 9.400 Area MIL. HA 2.212 2.118 1.967 1.967 Yield MT/HA 4.929 4.618 4.779 4.779 BRAZIL Production MIL. MT 7.402 6.834 6.200 6.200 Area MIL. HA 4.242 3.880 3.700 3.700 Yield MT/HA 1.745 1.761 1.676 1.676 AUSTRALIA Production MIL. MT 0.813 0.680 1.040 1.040 Area MIL. HA 0.128 0.149 0.165 0.165 Yield MT/HA 6.352 4.564 6.303 6.303 PHILIPPINES Production MIL. MT 6.809 7.263 7.300 7.300 Area MIL. HA 3.668 3.924 3.950 3.950 Yield MT/HA 1.856 1.851 1.848 1.848 INDIA Production MIL. MT 81.160 79.460 81.000 81.000 Area MIL. HA 42.500 42.300 42.500 42.500 Yield MT/HA 1.910 1.878 1.906 1.906 BANGLADESH Production MIL. MT 16.833 17.687 18.000 18.000 Area MIL. HA 9.922 9.950 9.950 9.950 Yield MT/HA 1.697 1.778 1.809 1.809 ================================================================== Jan. 10,1997 Timothy Rocke, Grains Chairperson, PECAD
![]() |
|