[top]
000
FNUS53 KAPX 082108
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
408 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2008
...MORE WINTRY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...
.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY EXIT THE REGION
OVERNIGHT...BRINGING AN END TO WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HOWEVER...MUCH COLDER AIR ADVANCING INTO THE AREA WILL LEAD TO THE
REDEVELOPMENT OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS FOR THE FAVORED SNOW
BELTS...WHERE A FEW INCHES OF NEW SNOW MAY ACCUMULATE THROUGH
MONDAY. GIVEN THE EXPECTED WEATHER PATTERN...NO FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS ARE NOTED.
MIZ016-017-019-021>023-091100-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
408 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL RAIN
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36...EXCEPT 38-43 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 80-85 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (480).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.17 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 17 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1320).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.21 IN.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD SNOW
SHOWERS UNTIL 1900...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW
SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30...EXCEPT 35-40 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 70-75 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1260).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.27 IN.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW
SHOWERS UNTIL 0700...THEN SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1670).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.16 IN.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-091100-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
408 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL RAIN
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1900...THEN
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL
2300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32...EXCEPT 36-41 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (300).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
AND RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1000 UNTIL 1300...THEN
NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1300).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....22-27...EXCEPT 32-37 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT...EXCEPT 76-81 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (800).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW
SHOWERS UNTIL 0700...THEN SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 13 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1690).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-091100-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
408 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
AND OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN
NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36...EXCEPT 38-43 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT...EXCEPT 68-73 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (330).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.16 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS
UNTIL 0700. NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL
1300...THEN WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1390).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.17 IN.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD SNOW
SHOWERS UNTIL 1900...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW
SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30...EXCEPT 36-41 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1370).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.21 IN.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW
SHOWERS UNTIL 0700...THEN SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1410).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.12 IN.
$$
MIZ031>033-091100-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
408 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL SNOW
SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
2400...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34...EXCEPT 36-41 ALONG THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (280).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS
UNTIL 0700. NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL
1300...THEN WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED ALONG THE
COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 18 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1360).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD SNOW
SHOWERS UNTIL 1900...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW
SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1210).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW
SHOWERS UNTIL 0700...THEN SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT...EXCEPT 61-66 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1180).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-091100-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
408 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL RAIN
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1900...THEN
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2300. CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1900.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (320).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.13 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
UNTIL 1300. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1000
UNTIL 1300...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1270).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.16 IN.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-28.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (830).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.17 IN.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW
SHOWERS UNTIL 0700...THEN SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1400).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.VETERANS DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
LAWRENCE
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000
FNUS83 KAPX 082106
FWMAPX
FCST,202902,081109,13,3,35,82,1,1,W,12,M,40,30,100,82,7,0,N
FCST,202010,081109,13,,38,64,1,1,W,16,M,40,33,96,64,0,0,N
FCST,203101,081109,13,,35,78,1,1,W,12,M,37,31,100,78,8,0,N
FCST,203601,081109,13,3,38,79,1,1,W,13,M,44,32,96,65,6,0,N
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000
FNUS53 KDTX 082059
FWFDTX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
400 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2008
.DISCUSSION...
STRONG LOW PRESSURE NEAR JAMES BAY WILL MOVE EAST INTO QUEBEC ON
SUNDAY. BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW WILL LINGER OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION
BEHIND THIS SYSTEM WITH COOL AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS CONTINUING OVER
THE LAKES INTO MONDAY. A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE AVERAGING WILL
GRADUALLY BUILD FROM THE MIDWEST TO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-091300-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
400 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT...THEN SCATTERED
RAIN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. POP...90
PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3560-3760 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH...BECOMING WEST 20 TO 25
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS THROUGH 4 PM. SCATTERED SHOWERS BY
10 AM THROUGH 4 PM...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS.
POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-73 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7120-7620 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW
SHOWERS THROUGH 10 PM...THEN SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-87 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5360-5560 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-64 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4890-5390 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ049-054-055-062-091300-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
400 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PERIODS OF RAIN
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH ABOUT
MIDNIGHT...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3890-4090 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS THROUGH 4 PM. SCATTERED SHOWERS BY
10 AM THROUGH 4 PM...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS.
POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-77 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400-7900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW
SHOWERS THROUGH 10 PM...THEN SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5830-6030 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5370-5870 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-091300-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
400 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS LIKELY THROUGH ABOUT MIDNIGHT...THEN
A CHANCE OF RAIN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-91 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4710-4910 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 TO 35 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
LATE AT NIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS. SCATTERED SHOWERS BY 10 AM THROUGH
4 PM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-69 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7510-8010 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW
SHOWERS THROUGH 1 AM...THEN SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-88 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5 MPH
LATE AT NIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4880-5080 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-60 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4790-5290 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.VETERANS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
$$
BT
[top]
000
FNUS83 KGRR 082055
FWMGRR
FCST,203802,081109,13,,35,78,1,1,W,11,M,37,33,100,78,10,4,N
[top]
000
FNUS53 KGRR 082055
FWFGRR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
355 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2008
...COLD AND WET...
.DISCUSSION...MIXED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL TURN TO SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED SUNDAY.
MIZ037>039-043>045-090930-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
355 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 32 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25
MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1400 (EXCELLENT)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS
UNTIL 1300...THEN WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 36
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100-7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500-1900 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 36
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700-7200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
5700-6200 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1900 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 1300 (EXCELLENT)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1200 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.
$$
MIZ040-046-090930-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
355 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 26
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-1000 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
UNTIL 1300...THEN NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300-6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1600-1700 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1300 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1300 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-090930-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
355 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN SCATTERED RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 37
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1500 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.11 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS
UNTIL 1300...THEN WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 36
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1600-2000 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500-7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...2000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 1400 (EXCELLENT)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1200 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-090930-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
355 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 29
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-900 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS
UNTIL 1300...THEN WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700-7200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1800-2000 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200-1300 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1200 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-090930-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
355 PM EST SAT NOV 8 2008
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400...THEN SCATTERED RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800-900 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.
.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS
UNTIL 1300...THEN WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500-1700 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.11 IN.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1200 (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.VETERANS DAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
9 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO
9 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
$$
000
FNUS83 KAPX 072035
FWMAPX
FCST,202902,081108,13,8,39,76,1,1,SW,09,M,61,38,89,72,0,0,N
FCST,202010,081108,13,3,39,76,1,1,SW,06,M,56,38,89,56,8,6,N
FCST,203101,081108,13,3,39,82,1,1,SW,08,M,57,37,92,51,8,8,N
FCST,203601,081108,13,8,39,82,1,1,SW,11,M,60,39,96,79,0,0,N
000
FNUS83 KGRR 071957
FWMGRR
FCST,203802,081108,13,8,41,82,1,1,SSW,10,M,58,37,100,51,8,6,N
[top]
000
FNUS73 KAPX 071443
FWSAPX
SPOT FORECAST FOR LUZERNE PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
943 AM EST FRI NOV 7 2008
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0940 EST ON NOVEMBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...RAIN SHOWERS HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA...WITH SKIES
EXPECTED TO CLEAR BY MIDDAY. SKIES WILL REMAIN PARTLY TO MOSTLY
SUNNY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WITH ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION NOT
EXPECTED UNTIL LATER THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL BE OCCASIONALLY GUSTY
THIS AFTERNOON...REACHING SPEEDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH AT TIMES FROM THE
SOUTH.
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT) TO START...BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) BETWEEN 1100-
1200. NO PRECIPITATION.
TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 57.
RH..................93 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING
SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON. OCCASIONAL GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH DURING
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
$$
FORECASTER...JOHN BORIS
REQUESTED BY...ERIC ANDERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20081107.LUZER.01/APX
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