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Macroeconomic Linkages

The U.S. agricultural sector is affected by four key macroeconomic variables: exchange rates, interest rates, income growth, and terms of trade. ERS analyzes the impact of changes in these macroeconomic factors on U.S. agriculture.


Spotlights

USDA Long-Term Macroeconomic Outlook—These macroeconomic assumptions underlie USDA's 10-year baseline projections. Economic growth, inflation, and exchange rates in the United States and other countries influence the long-term outlook for U.S. agriculture.

Macroeconomics and Agriculture—Changes in the macroeconomy have major effects on agriculture. International and domestic macroeconomic shocks can cause major changes in the values of exchange rates, consumer income, rural employment, and interest rates resulting in changes in a country's agricultural prices, production, consumption, and trade.

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