Mike Johanns, Secretary of Agriculture
Interview with NDTV
NDTV: Secretary Johanns, thank you very much for joining is pm ND
Television.
First question first, there is a little bit of apprehension in the
corridors of power in India that with the Democrats coming back to the House
of representatives what does it mean for the WTO process? Do we fumble or
can we see a forward movement?
Secretary Johanns: Even with the Democrats in power I am still optimistic
we can see forward movement. There may be some issues that they will have a
special interest in. Labor issues I think will always gain their attention,
that sort of thing. But I have to tell you, there are many many Democrats
who are forward leaning on trade, believe strongly that trade has to be part
of the world agenda.
I know many want to write the story that with the election of the
Democrats it’s going to be impossible to get trade agreements approved. I
don’t believe that’s going to be the case. We may have to work harder, we
may have to do more to educate and that sort of thing, but I still think the
United States is going to have a strong trade agenda.
NDTV: You’re going to meet Commerce Minister Kamal Nath tomorrow. He’s
expecting some kind of fresh offer from you. Essentially he’s expecting you
to move forward on cutting [great historic] subsidies. Have you got anything
new for him on this particular trip?
Secretary Johanns: We’re certainly going to talk about trade issues.
We’re not here to negotiate. The negotiations were suspended last July. It’s
a multilateral effort. So all countries have to be involved in that effort,
not just two, although we certainly regard India as a very very important
player in the trade negotiations.
What I can say is this. Our President has made it very clear that he has
a very bold agenda. He wants the elimination of trade distorting subsidies.
He said that at the G8 Summit last year, he’s said that before the United
Nations. Nothing could be more bold than that. He just simply says through
the WTO process, we have to work toward the elimination of trade distorting
subsidies.
Now any economic study that has ever been done on the WTO process has
reached one conclusion and that is the greatest benefit for the world
economy, India included, is for tariffs to come down, is for barriers to be
eliminated. That is what’s really going to lift millions and millions of
people out of poverty. Like I said, any study that’s ever been done points
to the elimination of tariffs, the reduction of tariffs, the opening of the
borders to trade. That is really going to make the difference.
NDTV: The perception here is that you’re perhaps wanting market access,
but at the same time there is not the [inaudible] movement as far as on your
part cutting subsidies is concerned. In fact the figures that I read suggest
that you would actually raise your subsidy levels from the current $9.6
billion to in fact $22. At a time when Peter Mandelson, who was just here in
India over the weekend, has said that he’s willing for a 75 percent cut in
subsidies. The apprehension is the US is just not moving forward. So how do
you see that [inaudible]?
Secretary Johanns: I can answer that in a very straightforward way. The
European Union subsidizes its farmers higher than anybody in the world. The
European Union is the largest subsidizer in the world, then Japan, then the
United States. We’re actually in third place. So when he says we’re coming
down 75 percent, they need to because they’re so high to start out with.
We’re actually in third place when it comes to subsidies. So when they say
we’re cutting 75 percent I say well gosh, that’s great, but you need to.
NDTV: So they have. They have made that offer on the table. So what about
US?
Secretary Johanns: In our subsidies, the numbers you’re using are not
accurate because what you’re trying to co is compare overall with Amber Box.
We have actually said we’ll take Amber Box down from $19.1 billion to $7.6
billion. This is a dramatic cut in the amount of the most trade distorting
subsidy which is the Amber Box subsidies. So you can see the significance of
our cut.
We have said 60 percent cut and we’re not starting at the high level of
the European Union. We’re starting at a much lower level. Literally it would
require the complete change in how our farm policy is done.
So you have to really compare apples to apples here. Again, the European
Union is very high, but even with that we’ve said look, we’ve got to be more
dramatic here. We will take the Amber Box subsidies, we will cut them from
$19.1, we’ll but them 60 percent to $7.6 billion. In the Blue Box subsidies
which are the second most trade distorting subsidies, the world was saying
we need to cut those to five percent of production. We said not enough. We
need to go to 2.5 percent. We even proposed a more dramatic cut than what
the world was looking for.
The net effect of all of this, and I’ve said this to the House and the
Senate in the United States is that it totally requires reform of how we
would do our agricultural programs in the United States.
So just to sum up, I can tell you without any hesitation it’s not the
European Union that has made the bold offer. The bold offer was made by the
United States a year ago in October when we said we would take our subsidies
down so dramatically.
I appreciate what they’re doing. Personally I believe they need to do a
lot more with subsidies because they subsidize so heavily, but again, the
key issue here really long term is going to be opening markets.
NDTV: Fair enough. I guess the perception here is that they are not
adverse to opening markets, but without getting into the boxes, [inaudible]
still stand around $310 billion. All I’m asking you is, whatever you’ve said
and whatever is the offer already, are you willing to improve that? That
doesn’t seem to be able to break the deadlock.
Secretary Johanns: Again, I have to tell you I don’t know where you get
the $310 billion. Our --
NDTV: It’s in the public domain.
Secretary Johanns: Our total USDA budget isn’t $310 billion. If I put 100
percent of the USDA budget into subsidies, it wouldn’t be anywhere near $310
billion, and I don’t know where those figures come from but I would just
tell you, just being very --
NDTV: How much would that be, to make it more accurate?
Secretary Johanns: Last year we probably, well, this year. This year
would be a better indication. We would be probably around $10 billion
overall. The year before it was a little bit higher.
NDTV: You’re talking total support?
Secretary Johanns: Yeah. I’m just telling you, I don’t know where people
get these numbers but $310 billion has never been the size of the farm
programs in the United States, even from the very beginning. That is just, I
don’t know where that number comes from but it makes no sense.
NDTV: I still need an answer to my question. You talk about the offers on
the Amber Box and the Blue Box, but the fact of the matter is they are still
trade distorting. For what you have already based on an offer on the table,
are you willing to fatten that up? Are you willing to improve on that offer?
Secretary Johanns: We’ve always said this is negotiation. We understand
that. Our President has set the goal, he has set the standard. He has been
very straightforward and he’s said it a number of times, let’s work toward
the total elimination of trade distorting subsidies. He didn’t mince words
about that. But again, the whole idea here is that we accomplished great
success in the three pillars. One pillar is subsidies and the United States
really is leading the way, but our President again has set a goal of let’s
try to totally eliminate trade distorting subsidies.
The second pillar is market access. We have seen nothing very exciting
with market access. With the European Union offer on the table you’d still
have very very limited market access. Virtually nothing would be achieved
here.
Then you have the export competition pillar. I believe we can eliminate
trade distorting export competition and in Hong Kong we agreed that should
be accomplished by 2013. But all three pillars have to be balanced.
NDTV: Is there going to be a quid pro quo, and I’m talking G20 here. You
come half way as well as slashing your subsidy or domestic support is
concerned, and G20 perhaps moves up on market access in NAMA and agribudget.
Is that the quid pro quo you’re looking at?
Secretary Johanns: We have all agreed to the notion that these things are
interconnected. Call it what you will, they are very very much
interconnected. And not only that, it becomes even more complicated. India
would like to see greater market access in many parts of the world for
information technology services, manufacturing services, so all of those
areas become interrelated here and like I said, I think all countries have
agreed that there has to be success in all of these areas to have a
successful Doha Round.
NDTV: But India also has concerns on something called sensitive products.
That kind of mechanism. There doesn’t seem to be any agreement on how much
of SP should be allowed. While India wants 20 percent of the lines to be
protected, I think the US position is just about five. So it’s a huge chasm,
huge gulf. How do you bridge that?
Secretary Johanns: Actually it’s special products. Sensitive products
would apply to the developed countries. Special Products applies to the
developing countries like India.
Let me just offer a thought on special products, an important area. We
have always acknowledged that there has to be some special product
categories. We acknowledged that months and months ago in these
negotiations. India on behalf of all developing countries, which would
include China, which incidentally, as you know, is a world class competitor;
Brazil. In soy beans Brazil is an unbelievable competitor, very world class
competitor. South Korea. But they’ve taken a position that 20 percent of
tariff lines had to be protected.
The WTO did an analysis of that position. This isn’t something we did.
This was done by the World Trade Organization. And said that in effect what
that means is that would protect 95 to 98 percent of the marketplace in ag
products. So basically those countries that I mentioned, and all developing
countries, would basically protect 98 percent of their marketplace.
Again, if you’re a believer that poverty is eliminated or people are
lifted out of poverty by the opportunity to trade, to grow their products
and ship those into the international marketplace, then you really
accomplish nothing here because 98 percent is going to be protected.
So how do we bridge that gap is one of the challenges of our negotiation.
I would say this, to the farmer who may be listening in on this or whatever.
Today between India and the United States in agricultural trade there is an
imbalance in favor of India. India sells more agricultural products to the
United States than we sell back to India. I share that because that tells me
that India can very definitely compete in the international marketplace. But
most importantly, not only can they compete, they can benefit.
If we can create a marketplace through these trade negotiations where a
farmer in India can grow a product -- mangos or whatever -- and ship that to
the United States or to another part of the world, and actually get good
return on the investment they’ve made to plant and grow that crop, then I
think there’s tremendous potential here.
NDTV: Fair enough. I get your thoughts on that.
One last question on the shrimp exports. [Inaudible] have been feeling
the pinch of the kind of continuous bond that they’ve been asked to furnish.
That’s almost crippling exports as far as our shrimp is concerned. Are you
willing to show ay flexibility before it actually lands up in the WTO
dispute settlement [inaudible]?
Secretary Johanns: We always hope we can work through issues before we go
to a WTO process, and we’ve had issues with other countries, probably with
India too, where we’ve worked and worked to try to resolve issues at the
technical level and even at the ministerial level. Our hope is to avoid that
WTO process because it is time consuming, it is very expensive, and
sometimes the results can literally be a year or two or three years away.
So my answer to your question is look, we’re going to engage, we will try
to solve problems. In the end if those problems can’t be solved then the WTO
is there and that’s why that process is there. But we really work hard to
try to avoid that because it is time consuming, it is expensive, it’s a
challenge for both sides.
NDTV: Mr. Mike Johanns, thank you very much for talking to us.
Secretary Johanns: Thank you.