Mike Johanns, Secretary of Agriculture
Interview with Dow Jones
Dow Jones: -- also. Meeting the Agriculture Minister.
Secretary Johanns: Yes.
Dow Jones: What will be the thrust of the discussions with the Indian
Ministers as far as improvement of agriculture trade at the global level
discussion? That has been a major issue, WTO talks have also been a little
bit [inaudible].
Secretary Johanns: We talked about a number of issues. There were a
lot of reasons why I wanted to come to India, and let me just mention those
and then I’ll talk a little bit about trade.
The Knowledge Initiative between our countries is something that we are
very pleased about, and because it’s an Agriculture Knowledge Initiative of
course we would be very involved in that. So we’ve spent a great deal of
time talking about that and how we can build that relationship. So that has
occupied actually maybe even a majority of my time here.
Dow Jones: [Inaudible]?
Secretary Johanns: There are also bilateral issues. There are issues
that involve India and the United States relative to trade and regulations
and that sort of thing. So we’ve spent a fair amount of time talking about
those.
Then of course there is the Doha Round. India has been a major
participant in that round through Kamal Nath. So we spent some time talking
about those talks and is there an opportunity for those talks to gain some
new life? What would it take for that to happen? So our discussions have
been very wide-ranging, I think very productive in that area.
We have appreciated India’s leadership in the talks and so it was good to
be here and talk about those issues, too.
Dow Jones: There are certain contentious issues like relating to
subsidies. Our argument has been that [inaudible] or United States
[inaudible] subsidies which are trade distorting in nature. How do you look
at that?
Secretary Johanns: A couple of things that I would offer. The first
thing is, the United States when it comes to subsidies actually is not the
largest subsidizer of agriculture. That distinction does rest with the
European Union. They subsidize at a level that is 2.5 to 3 times greater
than the United States. Japan is a very large subsidizer. In fact if you
look at their overall agriculture, they are the largest or second largest
subsidizer of agriculture. Then in third place would be the United States.
Our President over the last year and a half has indicated that we should
have a goal of eliminating trade distorting subsidies, and he has repeated
that goal on a number of occasions.
But the real benefit is going to come from increased market access.
That’s where the developing world, the least developed countries have the
greatest opportunity to lift people out of poverty. It’s through trade. So
our proposals on reducing subsidies, the President’s discussion about
eliminating trade distorting subsidies have been contingent on improved
market access. And that’s not just for the United States, that’s because
literally every economic study that has been done on the Doha Round has
indicated that the greatest opportunity for economic advancement is not
through the elimination of subsidies, it’s through achieving greater market
access, the ability to sell products in the international market without the
burdens of high tariffs and barriers that prevent that.
We want to do everything we can to make this round successful, but the
studies are very clear that the real success of the round will be in
reducing trade barriers such as high tariffs, opening up markets, and
encouraging world trade.
Dow Jones: So that means that you have to go hand in hand as far as
the removing of subsidies and greater market access, it would have to go
together and not just refocus on a single objective of subsidies?
Secretary Johanns: Exactly.
Dow Jones: They are complementary --
Secretary Johanns: Yes, they are complementary. There are three
pillars in the agricultural piece of the negotiations. Domestic support --
Dow Jones: Domestic support, export subsidies and --
Secretary Johanns: -- export subsidies and then the market access
pillar.
Dow Jones: So any specific proposal you have for India in how it
should go about removing its protectionist tariffs? That they should reduce
tariffs to get [inaudible] in the developed world, maybe European Union,
maybe US, maybe Japan. If it was then they should bring down their subsidies
and we should bring down our tariffs?
Secretary Johanns: Any country, this would not be just about India.
Many countries have high tariffs. Our goal here is to really achieve the
promise of Doha which is to improve the world economy, to bring people out
of poverty, to improve the lives of millions of people. That’s what the Doha
Round was all about.
We are willing to do our part, we have said that from the beginning. But
it all does fit together. We not only have to talk about the reduction of
trade distorting subsidies, we have to talk about the reduction of tariffs.
We have to talk about special products and sensitive products. We don’t want
to be in a situation where what we achieve in terms of tariff reduction
slips away by an endless number of special products designations. India has
maintained that they should be allowed and all developing countries should
be allowed to identify 20 percent of their tariff lines as special products.
What that would mean is that 95 to 98 percent of their marketplace in
agriculture would be protected. They would only trade with other countries
when they chose to, in other words. So even though there may be some
reduction in tariffs, if you have that much protected under the special
products category, or for developed countries under the sensitive products
category, it can slip away.
So all of these things need to fit together with a common theme of
achieving a balanced Doha Round, reduction of trade distorting subsidies,
reduction of tariffs, appropriate treatment of sensitive products and
special products, and the elimination of export subsidies. It all has to
fit.
Dow Jones: Regarding this proposal, what has been the response from
the Indian side? You say you can’t allow all these products to slip into an
endless list of special products.
Secretary Johanns: A very important point. I’m not here to negotiate.
I’m not the negotiator for the US. That’s Susan Schwab. I’m the Ag
Secretary. But having said that, as Ag Secretary I have an opportunity to
attend all of these negotiations, which I have.
I came here to talk about these issues because they’re so important. My
belief is that India wants to achieve a successful Doha Round. Like every
other country, they certainly have issues that are very concerning to them,
where they want to achieve success. That would be the position of every
country that is participating in these WTO negotiations.
What I have tried to encourage of India and what I would say the United
States needs to do and the other 147 countries of the WTO, is we need to be
flexible. We need to be willing to examine the possibilities of how this can
fit together so we can have a trade agreement that does achieve the promise
of Doha.
India’s response to that has I think been favorable. Again, I’m not here
to negotiate. It’s not like we’ve been sitting down and negotiating specific
items. But our discussions, our general discussions have been good.
Dow Jones: So you say around 20 percent of the tariff lines
[inaudible]?
Secretary Johanns: Twenty percent of the tariff lines which the WTO
has analyzed that and the conclusion of the World Trade Organization is that
would protect 95-98 percent of the market. That would be basic --
Dow Jones: For agriculture?
Secretary Johanns: Yes. That would protect basically the entire
market.
Dow Jones: Any specific commodities for bilaterals, moving up from
the Doha Round and a voluntary issue in bilateral --
Secretary Johanns: We’re working on a number of issues. India of
course wants to sell products to the United States and to date they have
done that successfully. There is a trade imbalance in agricultural products
between India and the United States and the imbalance is in favor of India.
India sells more agricultural products to us than we sell to India. They
have been successful in this relationship. Of course they would like to
expand the products that they sell. Mangos would be a perfect example.
That’s an issue we’ve been working on for some time, but it’s also an issue
where I’m confident we’re going to achieve success.
So our goal is to try to have our piece of this done for the next mango
crop which would be April of next year. That’s pretty ambitious, but we
continue to focus on that as our goal.
Ellen, what other issues are we working on with India? Certainly wheat on
our side.
Dow Jones: Wheat is one major issue.
Secretary Johanns: We have, India has purchased wheat this year in
the international market, but we have not been successful at all, we have
not sold any wheat to India this year. There are some reasons for that that
we want to solve. India has very stringent sanitary/phytosanitary
requirements. We raise the issue of whether there is some opportunity to
solve some of that because they’re so stringent, they’re just virtually
impossible to meet. So consequently we have not been successful in selling
any wheat into India even though they have purchased large quantities.
Dow Jones: Do you think there will be such levels of being stringent
uncalled for, we can reduce these sanitary and phytosanitary --
Secretary Johanns: In all trade there are tolerances. Nothing in the
world of trade is absolute perfection. That’s why in just about any trade
you work with, from automobiles to fruits and vegetables or grains, there
are a level of tolerances. What we are trying to work toward with India is
an approach that protects their interests while allowing trade to occur.
Dow Jones: Both have the same trouble.
Secretary Johanns: Yeah.
Dow Jones: Do you see India importing wheat next year?
Secretary Johanns: I don’t know. India will make an analysis of that
and make a determination about their crop. I’m probably not a good person to
answer that, but their Ag Minister would probably be better equipped to --
Dow Jones: But as and when India buys it should consider buying from
the US.
Secretary Johanns: We would sure love to sell wheat to India. We
export a lot of wheat from the United States, so for us that’s very
positive.
Dow Jones: Moving from wheat to rice. Rice of the United States has
been an issue in the European Union, one of the unauthorized strains,
modified strains, finding its way [inaudible]. How do you see the US rice
getting affected by this incident?
Secretary Johanns: It has an impact, although with our trading
partners around the world we’ve had success in working through this issue.
It is an unbelievable minute, unbelievable is not the right word. It is a
very very minute quantity that they have discovered of GE rice and we have
been able to establish that there is no risk whatsoever to human health.
There is no risk to the environment. The strain, LR Rice 601 is actually
going through a deregulation process in the United States which should be
completed by the end of the year. At that point we will know if it’s going
to be deregulated or not . We have not decided that yet. But that process --
We have done a lot of work on that process and we should be able to have an
answer to that question we think probably by the end of the year. Sometimes
these things can take longer, but we think by the end of the year.
Dow Jones: But in any case this rice was never authorized to be for
human --
Secretary Johanns: This one particular strain, LR 601, no. Two other
strains that have the same protein had been deregulated. But this particular
strain, the deregulation process had started and then the company, Bayer,
thought that they would not market this so it was not completed. But that’s
the process I was referring to. It looks like that should be completed one
way or another by the end of the year.
Dow Jones: So the two other rice strains with the same protein as LR
601 --
Secretary Johanns: Have been deregulated.
Dow Jones: And it will be totally pulled out of the market by end of
this year?
Secretary Johanns: Not pulled out of the market. The 601 strain will
have gone through our legal process at the USDA. If it successfully goes
through that then we call it deregulation. We will deregulate that product
so they could sell it if they chose to. Whether they will or not would be up
to the company.
Again, we haven’t reached a final determination as to whether it will be
deregulated or whether it won’t be deregulated. That process is going on,
but that will be, we think that will be done by the end of the year.
Dow Jones: That would be later on.
Secretary Johanns: Yes.
Dow Jones: The other two rice strains with the same protein --
Secretary Johanns: They are deregulated. They have already gone
through the process with the same protein. Different strains, same protein,
but they’ve been through the process.
Dow Jones: You say they’ve still not decided whether they will
deregulate it or --
Secretary Johanns: There are three strains. Two have been
deregulated. The third one is 601. All had a common protein. This one, 601,
is now going through that deregulation process.
Dow Jones: But that has had an impact on the sales to the European
Union and European Union has put in place a procedure for inspection which
you don’t approve.
Secretary Johanns: Yeah. The European Union has historically taken
the position that they don’t allow genetically modified products. There are
a few exceptions now, not very many. In fact we have had a WTO case on this
issue.
Dow Jones: But then are you approaching this issue with the European
Union to ensure that your rice sales, exports, continue?
Secretary Johanns: They have instituted a testing regimen, so we’ve
been doing everything we can to work with the European Union on that.
Voice: That’s actually the only country where the reaction to trade
has been that severe.
Secretary Johanns: That’s a good point. Other countries we’ve been
able to deal with this issue. The European Union has taken a very severe
approach to this. But the European Union historically has been
anti-genetically modified products. Very anti.
Dow Jones: Japan and other countries where the US rice goes, it has
been --
Secretary Johanns: Japan we sell short grain rice and medium grain.
Dow Jones: That is not affected.
Voice: Canada and Mexico, Latin America, those sales are --
Secretary Johanns: Certainly they’ve asked for information, we’ve
provided that information and we’ve worked with them.
Dow Jones: Long grain rice was to Mexico --
Secretary Johanns: Canada, Mexico, Asia.
Dow Jones: So no issues --
Secretary Johanns: No, not Asia. Latin America.
Dow Jones: But on the whole, do you think your exports, rice exports
are likely to come down in 2007 because of this issue?
Secretary Johanns: The area where you would impact and have some
decline certainly would be the European Union, just simply because we have
this hurdle that we’ve got to overcome. But so far, like I said, other parts
of the world have asked for information than we’ve been able to work through
it. It’s probably a little too early to tell in the end whether there is a
net downward impact just simply because sales that you don’t make in one
country may be made up in another country so it can be a little hard to
predict. But certainly in the European Union, you’re having an impact. We’re
seeing an impact. No doubt about it.
Dow Jones: But you are working, as you said, with them, how to --
Secretary Johanns: We sure hope to solve this problem with the
European Union.
Dow Jones: You said the third strain is also on its way to --
Secretary Johanns: Deregulation. Yeah. We’ll see if it is or it
isn’t, but the process is going on. I can’t pre-judge that process . That’s
why I’m saying it might, it might not. We’re gathering input. W e get
comments. We have to go through a regulatory process. In the end our
scientists and our people at the USDA make a determination as to whether it
will be deregulated. I never predict how those things will come out.
Dow Jones: So that is a legal process, and two of the strains are
already --
Secretary Johanns: Exactly.
Dow Jones: Coming back to India, other than wheat, any specific
commodity you want bilateral trade to go up? Because you said the balance
has been in India’s favor, and you would like --
Secretary Johanns: There would be a number of products that we would
love to see in this marketplace. Wheat --
Voice: Pet food was one example. That stopped because the Indian
authorities thought we had [inaudible] influenza, which we don’t. So we’ve
been providing them the documents for that.
Secretary Johanns: We have that.
Voice: There’s [inaudible], dairy products, animal genetics, where
there’s a number of technical issues that we’re discussing with regard to
these important protocols.
Dow Jones: Is it basically because of non-tariff issues, the sanitary
and phytosanitary requirements? Or is it also because of tariffs?
Voice: There’s an interest in tariffs. For example, pistachios. I
think edible oils. There’s a number of products where there’s tariffs.
Secretary Johanns: We deal with both issues, it just depends on the
commodity and --
Dow Jones: But you would like the balance to be [inaudible] and the
thrust will be on improvement of bilateral trade.
Secretary Johanns: Yeah. India has the same goal with us. Needless to
say, they’ve had a very successful relationship. They’ve been selling more
than we have. But they don’t want to stop there either. At least recently
the big issue that we’ve been working on, and I’m confident that we’re
making progress, is with mangos. As I said, we hope to have that issue
addressed. Our goal is for the crop in April of ’07.
Dow Jones: And that is basically sanitary and phytosanitary?
Secretary Johanns: It was a sanitary/phytosanitary regulatory
process. But it’s been going on years and years.
Dow Jones: I think my time is up.
Secretary Johanns: Thank you.