Pacific Northwest Research Station

Title: Timber products output and timber harvests in Alaska: projections for 1997-2010.

Author: Brooks, David J.; Haynes, Richard W.

Date: 1997

Source: Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-409. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 17 p. (Shaw, Charles G., III, tech. coord.; Conservation and resource assessments for the Tongass land management plan revision)

Station ID: GTR-PNW-409

Description: Projections of Alaska timber products output, the derived demand for raw material, and timber harvest by owner are developed from a trend-based analysis. These projections are revisions of projections made in 1990 and again in 1994, and reflect the consequences of recent changes in the Alaska forest sector and long-term trends in markets for Alaska products. With the closure of the two southeast Alaska pulp mills, demand for Alaska National Forest timber now depends on markets for sawn wood and the ability to export manufacturing residues and lower grade logs. Three alternative projections are used to display a range of possible future demand. Areas of uncertainty include the prospect of continuing changes in markets and in conditions faced by competitors and the speed and magnitude in investment in manufacturing in Alaska. The sensitivity of model output to changes in key assumptions is displayed.

Keywords: National Forest (Alaska), forest sector models, lumber

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Citation

Brooks, David J.; Haynes, Richard W.  1997.  Timber products output and timber harvests in Alaska: projections for 1997-2010..   Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-409. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 17 p. (Shaw, Charles G., III, tech. coord.; Conservation and resource assessments for the Tongass land management plan revision)