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Tropical Depression GENEVIEVE
ZCZC MIATCDEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE DISCUSSION NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082008
200 AM PDT SUN JUL 27 2008
GENEVIEVE IS JUST ABOUT DONE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE. IN FACT...SINCE
DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN ABSENT FOR MORE THAN EIGHT HOURS...IT
REALLY DOES NOT QUALIFY AS ONE NOW...BUT IN THE UNLIKELY EVENT THAT
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION REFIRES THIS MORNING...ADVISORIES WILL BE
CONTINUED A LITTLE LONGER. QUIKSCAT AT 02Z RETRIEVED 30-35 KT
WINDS...AND WITH THE CYCLONE IN THE SPIN-DOWN CYCLE...THERE ARE
PROBABLY NO MORE WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE NOW. THE ADVISORY
INTENSITY IS SET TO 30 KT...WHICH IS CONSISTENT WITH A BLEND OF THE
06Z DVORAK T AND CI NUMBERS. THE MAXIMUM WINDS SHOULD WEAKEN SOME
MORE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE CIRCULATION EXPENDS
ENERGY OVER COOLER WATERS AND WITHIN A STABLE ENVIRONMENT.
THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL SWIRL IS HEADED DUE WESTWARD OR
270/10...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED OR HEADING IS EXPECTED
AS THE REMNANT LOW MOVES ALONG IN THE EASTERLY TRADES. A CLOSED
CIRCULATION COULD PERSIST FOR A FEW MORE DAYS...SO THE TRACK
FORECAST EXTENDS OUT TO 96 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 27/0900Z 16.8N 123.5W 30 KT
12HR VT 27/1800Z 16.9N 125.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 28/0600Z 17.2N 127.1W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 28/1800Z 17.5N 128.9W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 29/0600Z 17.7N 130.4W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 30/0600Z 18.0N 133.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
96HR VT 31/0600Z 18.0N 137.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
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