000
FNUS75 KGJT 232142
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MAILBOX RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
342 PM MDT TUE SEP 23 2008

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1510 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME WEST TO SOUTHWEST AS A
BROAD HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM EXPANDS OVER THE AREA. AS A RESULT
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE EACH DAY...WITH DRY
CONDITIONS PERSISTING THROUGH THURSDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (90% THIN HIGH CLOUDS)...
                    DECREASING AFTER 2000...BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR
                    (10-20%) BY 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........33-38%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5-10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO
                    20 MPH UNTIL 1800. THEN DIMINISHING AND
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-8 MPH AFTER
                    SUNSET.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1800...THEN BECOMING POOR (7000
                    KNOT-FT) AROUND 1900.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 1000 FT AGL AFTER SUNSET.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....UNTIL SUNSET...NORTHWEST 6 MPH (INITIALLY THE
                    TOP OF THE SMOKE COLUMN WILL MOVE TO THE
                    NORTHEAST AT AROUND 8 MPH.) AFTER SUNSET...
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 8 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-9 MPH UNTIL 1100...
                    THEN BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-6 MPH...AFTER
                    1400 WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR AFTER 1100...THEN VERY GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1100...
                    THEN BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY...AFTER
                    1400 WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR AFTER 1100...THEN VERY GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...LUKE ODOM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20080923.MAILB.02/GJT

000
FNUS75 KGJT 230414
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TRAIL CANYON...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1014 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2008

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
STABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE REGION. VALLEY INVERSIONS WILL NOT MIX
OUT UNTIL LATE MORNING DESPITE PLENTY OF SUNSHINE. WINDS SHOULD
GENERALLY FLOW A SLOPE-VALLY CIRCULATION.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%) UNTIL 1300...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-67 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING UPSLOPE 4-6 MPH BY 1230.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR BECOMING GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL AT 1200...RISING TO 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 3 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING WEST 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20% HIGH CLOUDS).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........36-41%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SHIFTING TO DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH AFTER SUNSET.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL OR LESS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-7 MPH BY 1230.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR BECOMING TO GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 10 MPH AFTER 1200.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...K  JOSEPH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20080923.TRAIL.01/GJT

000
FNUS75 KGJT 230142
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TABYAGO RX...UTUOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
742 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2008

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
COOLER AND MORE STABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY UNDER A
DRY WEST FLOW ALOFT WHILE HIGH PRESSURE RESIDES AT THE SURFACE. DRY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
STRENGTHENS OVER THE AREA.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 3-5 MPH SHIFTING TO WEST 5-9 MPH AFTER 1200.
CLEARING INDEX......820.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........46-51%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNCANYON 2-5 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......DECREASING TO 100.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-69 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 1-4 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTHEAST 3-6 MPH
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 4-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......860.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TROY LINDQUIST
REQUESTED BY...BLAINE TARBELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20080923.TABYA.01/GJT

000
FNUS75 KGJT 222319
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR YELLOW PINE RX...USFS GMUG N.F.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
519 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2008

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY...COOLER AND MORE STABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY.
THE VALLEY INVERSION WILL NOT MIX OUT UNTIL LATE MORNING DESPITE
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING UPSLOPE 4-6 MPH BY 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR BECOMING LOW-END GOOD BY 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL BY 1200...RISING TO 5500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN LIGHT AND VARIABLE BECOMING WEST 13 MPH AFTER 1200

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...DOUG CURRIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20080923.YELLO.01/GJT

000
FNUS75 KGJT 222133
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MAILBOX RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
333 PM MDT MON SEP 22 2008

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...IN THE WAKE OF LAST NIGHTS COLD FRONT A STRONG VALLEY
INVERSION WILL BE PRESENT AT THE FIRE SITE THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO REBUILD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
RESULTING IN LIGHT WINDS ALOFT AND A LITTLE GREATER ATMOSPHERIC
STABILITY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-7 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST-NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH AFTER 1100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........42-47%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH AFTER 2000.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-7 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 5-10 MPH AFTER 1100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...LUKE ODOM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20080923.MAILB.01/GJT

000
FNUS75 KGJT 220622
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SPRING CANYON...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1222 AM MDT MON SEP 22 2008

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2351 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A VIGOROUS DISTURBANCE MOVING INTO NEVADA WILL SWEEP
ACROSS NORTHEAST UTAH AND NORTHWEST COLORADO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
THIS WILL BRING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE BURN AREA THIS EVENING
BEFORE SUNSET. EXPECT STRENGTHENING SOUTHWEST WINDS TODAY WITH A
SHIFT TO THE NORTH ONCE THE FRONT PASSES. MORE STABLE AND LESS
WINDY  CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1300...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 13 MPH UNTIL 1100 THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 13-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1300...THEN BECOMING 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL...BUT SMOKE COLUMN LIKELY SHEARED HORIZONTALLY BEFORE REACHING THIS HEIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 27 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........46-51%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 8-14 MPH BECOMING EAST 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN BECOMING WEST 5-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...BEN OAKLEAF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20080921.SPRIN.02/GJT