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Summary of Severe Weather Outbreak in South Florida: February 2, 1998
JAMES B. LUSHINE, Warning and Coordination Meteorologist

BRIEF METEOROLOGICAL SYNOPSIS
A low pressure center formed in the Gulf of Mexico on February 1, 1998 and eventually deepened to a minimum central pressure of 989 mb as it tracked across the northeast Gulf-- a not unusual occurrence during a strong El Niño episode. In response to the deepening low, winds increased to gale force during mid-morning of February 2 over south Florida. A warm front moved northward from the Straits of Florida ushering in tropical air to the Keys and the southern peninsula by midday. An area of severe thunderstorms formed in the warm sector over the southeast Gulf of Mexico and moved into the lower Keys beginning around mid-afternoon Monday, February 2, 1998, and spreading to the southeast Florida coast by evening.
TORNADOS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
The area of severe thunderstorms produced four confirmed tornado paths in south Florida. The tornado path in Dade-Broward county was likely caused by four individual tornados occurring simultaneously along a portion of its path making a total of seven tornado touchdowns. A dozen or more other severe thunderstorms (wind gusts above 57 mph) occurred across the Keys, most of Dade and Broward counties and portions of Palm Beach and Glades counties. The highest wind measured during the event was 119 mph, a delayed report from the C-MAN instrument at Long Key in the middle Keys. The ASOS at the Miami International Airport measured a peak wind gust of 104 mph. Rainfall along the southeast Florida coast was locally heavy with widespread amounts of 3 to 6 inches.
CHRONOLOGY AND STATISTICS OF DADE-BROWARD TORNADO
The tornado first touched down at 8:22 pm on the north edge of Miami International Airport near N.W. 36th Street and Curtis Parkway withF1-F2 intensity, damaging about a dozen planes. The NWS ASOS observation at Miami International Airport, located about 3/4 mile west of the touchdown point reported a wind gust of 104 mph (probably associated with the "rear flank downdraft". The F2 tornado crossed through Virginia Gardens and south portion of Miami Springs in a 100-200 yard-wide path damaging many buildings and hurling a 2x4 inch board through an apartment door. The tornado showed F1 intensity across the remainder of Miami Springs, damaging roof tops and uprooting large trees. At 8:27 pm the tornado intensified to its maximum F2 intensity (125-150 mph), as it moved into southern Hialeah, severly damaging structures. The tornado weakened to F1 intensity near the Hialeah Racetrack. Just north of Hialeah Racetrack, the damage path widened to one to three miles, with indications of three or four individual tornados of F1 intensity moving in tandem toward the north. At 8:31 pm, the main tornado reintensified to F2 status as it approached Opa Locka Airport severely damaging the roof of the UPS facility then damaging or destroying 140 aircraft and a hanger at the airport blowing some debris nearly half a mile. The ASOS at Opa Locka Airport measured a gust of 67 mph. The tornados weakened slightly to F1 intensity as they moved through Carol City damaging houses and utility lines. At 8:34 pm they crossed the Dade-Broward county line and damaged a strip shopping center in Miramar. The multiple tornados moved across North Perry Airport at 8:36 pm where 40 aircraft were destroyed and another 40 were damaged. The tornados weakened to F0-F1 intensity as they continued toward the north northeast damaging a shopping center in Davie near Orange Road and Hiatus Road. The tornados were F0 intensity as they moved north damaging trees, signs and some roofs before lifting at 8:44 pm near Broward Boulevard just west of the Florida Turnpike in Plantation. The thunderstorm that produced the tornados continued to the northeast producing sporadic minor damage through northeast Broward county before exiting the coast into the Atlantic.


Maximum Intensity: 125-150 mph (F2)
Time and Location of touchdown: 8:22 pm at north edge of Miami Intl Airport
Time and Location of lifting: 8:44 pm in Plantation (near Broward Blvd and 54th St)
Total path length: 21 miles
Average damage path width: 100-200 yards
Minimum damage path width: 10 yards
Maximum damage path width*: 1-3 miles
Average Direction/Speed of movement: North Northeast 50 mph
Time on ground: 22 minutes
  *4 tornados occurring simultaneously across the path

CASUALTIES AND DAMAGE
In Dade and Broward counties the severe thunderstorms and tornados caused no fatalities but at least six injuries. A total of 235 aircraft were damaged or destroyed at Miami International, Opa Locka, and North Perry airports. Damage to structures in Dade county included 32 homes destroyed, 205 with major damage and 380 with minor damage. Hialeah Hospital, a flea market and a carnival suffered extensive damage. At least four vehicles were overturned. Dozens of utility poles along with hundreds of trees were snapped. In Dade and Broward counties around 600,000 people suffered power outages at some time, and 200 people were left homeless. Losses from the severe weather in south Florida are estimated between 120 and 148 million dollars, the greatest weather-related monetary loss ever, outside of a significant tropical cyclone or major freeze. The loss total was calculated as follows:

  Damage to public facilities:             $19 Million
  Insured losses:                          $25 Million
  Uninsured losses:                        $25-50 Million
  Agricultural losses:                     $39 Million
  Marine losses:                           $12-15 Million

  Total losses:                            $120-148 Million
In the Keys, damage to houses occurred particularly near Grassy Key, Islamorada and Conch Key and utility lines were down over many areas of the Keys. Losses to marine equipment, especially lobster traps, was heavy.
In Glades county a tornado damaged several mobile homes in Buckhead Ridge and severe thunderstorm winds caused damage in Moore Haven and Lakeport. Damage totals are estimated at $75-100 thousand.
Damage in Palm Beach, Collier and Hendry counties is considered minimal.
MARINE CONDITIONS
Due to the deepening low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico, winds approaching gale force preceded the onset of the severe thunderstorms/tornados. One person was killed in the lower Keys when crushed between two boats during these strong winds. Several rescues of boaters were made in the lower Keys. At least three large boats ran aground off the southeast Florida coast. There was minor beach erosion and tidal flooding along portions of the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico coasts of south Florida and in the Keys.

SUMMARY OF CONFIRMED SOUTH FLORIDA TORNADOS

LocationTimeMax Intensity*LengthWarning Lead Time
Grassy Key1850-1852ESTF11 mile50 minutes
Islamorada1910ESTF0Short8 minutes
Dade-Broward2022-2044ESTF221 miles48 min (Dade)
12 min (Broward)
Buckhead Ridge2115ESTF0ShortNone

*Fujita Scale
F0  40-72 mphF1  73-112 mph F2  113-157 mph


HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE
The tornados in Dade county on February 2, 1998 were the most intense since December 20, 1973 (during another major El Niño episode) when an F2 tornado tore a 6-mile long path through Homestead, injuring 9 and causing about $3 million (adjusted to 1998 values) in damage. The February 2, 1998 tornados caused losses estimated between 65 and 80 million dollars, the highest amount ever recorded in Dade county from a tornadic event, exceeding the approximately $15 million sustained in the tornado of June 17, 1959 (damage adjusted to 1998).

Two F3 intensity tornados have been recorded in Dade county-- in 1959 and 1925. The 1959 tornado injured 77 people while the 1925 tornado on April 5 was the only killer tornado in Dade county history, killing five and injuring more than 35 (during a major La Niña episode).


SEVERE WIND GUSTS (greater than 57 mph)

LocationPeak WindRemarks
Long Key119 mphMeasured by C-MAN instrument
Miami International Airport104 mphASOS measurement 3/4 mile west
of initial tornado touchdown
Hollywood104 mphEstimated by trained observer
Duck Key97 mphEstimated from unofficial observer
Molasses Reef84 mphMeasured by C-MAN instrument
Long Key72 mphMeasured by C-MAN instrument
Fowey Rocks71 mphMeasured by C-MAN instrument
Sombrero Key70 mphMeasured by C-MAN instrument
10 miles south of Miami70 mphEstimated by trained spotter
Key West International Airport68 mphMeasured
Opa Locka Airport67 mphASOS measurement
Homestead Air Reserve Base66 mphMeasured
Lake Worth Inlet63 mphMeasured by C-MAN instrument
Sand Key61 mphMeasured by C-MAN instrument
Pembroke Pines60 mphEstimated by NWS employee
Fort Lauderdale60 mphEstimated by sheriff's office
Virginia Key60 mphMeasured by unofficial Observer


PRINCIPAL WARNINGS, WATCHES, ADVISORIES, STATEMENTS, FORECASTS

TypeLocationTime IssuedLead Time
Extended Public and Marine ForecastsS Florida600 pm Thu Jan 2996 hours
State Forecast DiscussionS Florida230 pm Fri Jan 3072 hours
Hazardous Weather OutlookS Florida515 am Sun Feb 136 hours
Special Weather StatementS Florida330 pm Sun Feb 124 hours
Lake Wind AdvisoryS Florida415 am Mon Feb 25 hours
Wind AdvisoryS Florida929 am Mon Feb 21 hour
Gale WarningS Florida1030 am Mon Feb 21/2 hour
Coastal Flood WatchS Florida1031 am Mon Feb 20-6 hours
Flood WatchS Florida123 pm Mon Feb 25-10 hours
Tornado WatchS Florida131 pm Mon Feb 25-8 hours
Local Airport AdvisorySE Florida220 pm Mon Feb 26 hours
Tornado WarningLower & Middle Keys600 pm Mon Feb 250 minutes
Tornado WarningMiddle & Upper Keys702 pm Mon Feb 28 minutes
Tornado WarningE Dade734 pm Mon Feb 248 minutes
Tornado WarningE Broward829 pm Mon Feb 26 minutes
Urban Flood AdvisoryE Dade/E Broward854 pm Mon Feb 2Unknown


VERIFICATION OF ALL WARNINGS

Type of WarningAreaTime ValidVerified by
(Tor/G[mph])
Lead Time
Special Marine WarningFlorida Straits2:15-4:20 pmG4345 minutes
Tornado Warning and SMWMarquesas to Tortugas3:32-5:30 pmNone----
Tornado Warning and SMWLower Keys3:51-5:50 pmG6857 minutes
Severe Thunderstorm WarningLower Keys4:16-5:15 pmG6822 minutes
Severe Thunderstorm WarningCollier & Mainland Monroe4:54-6:25 pmNone----
Special Marine WarningFlorida Straits
& Florida Bay
5:20-7:20 pmG825 minutes
Severe Thunderstorm WarningAll Keys5:27-7:00 pmG8018 minutes
Tornado WarningLwr & Middle Keys6:00-7:05 pmTornado50 minutes
Severe Thunderstorm WarningBroward County6:19-7:20 pmNone----
Severe Thunderstorm WarningCollier & Mainland
Monroe
6:25-8:00 pmFunnel Cloud5 minutes
Severe Thunderstorm WarningDade6:39-7:40 pmG6051 minutes
Severe Thunderstorm WarningAll Keys7:02-8:00 pmTornado8 minutes
Tornado WarningW Dade7:18-8:10 pmG6012 minutes
Tornado WarningAll Keys7:23-8:25 pmG11937 minutes
Tornado WarningDade7:34-8:35 pmTornado48 minutes
Severe Thunderstorm WarningBroward8:12-9:15 pmTornado32 minutes
Tornado WarningE Broward8:29-9:30 pmTornado5 minutes
Severe Thunderstorm WarningMiddle & Upper Keys8:31-9:30 pmG7929 minutes
Severe Thunderstorm WarningPalm Beach County8:52-9:55 pmG6353 minutes
Special Marine WarningLake Okeechobee9:15-10:20 pmG6020 minutes
Special Marine WarningFlorida Straits
& Florida Bay
9:30 pm-12:30 amG4530 minutes
Special Marine WarningJupiter Inlet to
Angelfish Key
9:38-11:40 pmG6322 minutes
Tornado WarningN Palm Beach County10:18-11:20 pmNone----


  Total Warnings Issued:    24
  Total Warnings Verified:  20
  Average Lead Time:        28 minutes


RAINFALL
             
  Location                    Amount(inches)
  Westchester                        6.40*
  Hollywood                          5.27
  West Kendall                       5.24*
  Fort Lauderdale                    5.15*
  Miami Intl Airport                 4.56
  Homestead                          4.50*
  Miami                              4.30*
  West Miami                         4.06
  Coral Springs                      3.90
  Homestead General Aviation         3.88
  North Dade                         3.28
  Fort Lauderdale                    3.00
  Key West                           2.41
  Tamiami Airport                    2.03
  Clewiston                          1.51
  West Palm Beach                    1.30
  Naples                             0.90

  *Unofficial observation


JAMES B. LUSHINE--Warning and Coordination Meteorologist

Click here for Doppler radar images during this event.


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Date modified: November 1, 2005
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