PART VII. PUBLICATIONS
Contents (Links to Click on)
NCEP
Alpert, J. C., and K. Brill, 1998:
Display of multi-model regional ensemble forecasts using 3-dimensional
animated Vis-5D. Preprint 12th
Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 78th AMS Annual
Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 277-278.
Angevine, A., and K. Mitchell, 1999:
Model comparisons with turbulence measurements from wind profilers. Preprint
13th Symposium on Boundary Layers and Turbulence, January
10-15, 1999, Dallas, Texas.
Baldwin, M. E., and T. L. Black,
1998: Post-frontal precipitation forecasting experiments in the western U. S.
with NCEP's Eta-10 Model. Preprint 12th Conference on Numerical
Weather Prediction, 78th AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16,
1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 217-218.
_______, and S. D. Hrebenach, 1998:
Experiments with bias-corrected temperature guidance using NCEP's Mesoscale
Eta Model. Preprint 16th
Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting,
78th AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 388-389.
_______, and K. E. Mitchell, 1998:
Progress on the NCEP hourly multi-sensor U. S. precipitation analysis for
operations and GCIP research. Preprint 2nd Symposium on
Integrated Observing Systems, 78th AMS Annual Meeting, January
11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 10-11.
_______, and J. S. Kain, and T. L.
Black, 1998: Eta model forecast sensitivity to initial conditions for the
22/23 Feb 98 Florida tornadoes case. Preprint 19th AMS
Conference on Several Local Storms, Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Behringer, D., W., M. Ji, and A.
Leetmaa, 1998: An improved coupled model for ENSO prediction and implications
for ocean initialization. Part I: The Ocean Data Assimilation System.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, April 1998, 1013-1021.
Benjamin, S. G., J. M. Brown, K. J.
Brundage, B. Schwartz, T. Smirnova, T. L. Smith, L. L. Morone and G. J.
DiMego, 1998: The operational RUC-2. Preprint 16th Conference
on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, 78th AMS Annual Meeting,
January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 249-252.
_____, M. Baldwin, G. DiMego, and E.
Rogers, 1998: Results from daily forecasts of the NCEP Eta-10 model over the
Western United States. Preprint 12th Conference on Numerical
Weather Prediction, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 246-247.
Bidlot, J., M. Holt, P. A. Whitman,
R. Lalbeharry, and H. S. Chen, 1998: Towards a systematic verification of
operational wave models. Proc. 3rd International
Symposium WAVE 1997, Ocean Wave Measurements and Analysis
, ACSE. Ed B. L. Edge and J. M. Hemsley, 653-663.
Black, T., and C. Peters, 1998: Eta
model guidance for the North American coastal zone. Preprint 2nd
Conf. on Coastal Atmospheric and Oceanic Prediction and Processes and
2nd Symposium on Integrated Observing Systems, 78th
AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona.
Bosley, K. T., J. A. McGinley, T. J.
McQueen, S. M. Zubrick, and G. J. DiMego, 1998: The application of the local
analysis and prediction system to the Chesapeake in support of the development
of oceanographic and meteorological forecasting capabilities. Preprint
2nd Conf. on Coastal Atmospheric and Oceanic Prediction and Processes
, 78th AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona.
Breaker, L. C., and P. C. Liu, 1998:
Application of the wavelet transform to the characterization of intraseasonal
oscillation in sea surface temperature, wind stress, and sea level off
Monterey, California. Preprint 2nd Conference on Coastal
Atmospheric and Oceanic Prediction and Processes, 78th AMS
Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona.
_______, D. B. Gilhousen, and L. D.
Burroughs, 1998: Preliminary results from long-term measurements of
atmospheric moisture in the marine boundary layer in the Gulf of Mexico.
Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 15, June 1998, 661-676.
_______, V. M. Krasnopolsky, and E.
M. Maturi, 1998: GOES-8 imagery as a new source of data to conduct ocean
feature tracking. Proceedings of 5th International
Conference on Remote Sensing for Marine and
Coastal Environment, October 5-7, 1998, San Diego, California.
Chen F., K. Mitchell, Z. Janjic, and
M. Baldwin, 1998: Impact of land-surface processes on the NCEP Eta Model
quantitative precipitation forecast. Preprint Special Symposium on Hydrology
, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 281-284.
____, and ________, 1998: Using
GEWEX/ISLSCP climatology forcing to simulate global soil moisture fields and
the hydrological cycle for 1987-1988. Preprint 9th Symposium on
Global Change Studies, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 310-311.
Chen, H. S., 1998: Update of
NOAA/WAM global ocean wave model. SAS/JSC Working Group on Numerical
Experimentation, Res. Activities in Atmospheric and Oceanic Modeling, ed A.
Staniforth, Rpt. No. 27, WMO/TD-No 865, January 1998, 8-9.
Collins, W. G., 1998: Complex
quality control of significant level rawinsonde temperatures. Journal of
Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 15, February 1998, 69-79.
Derber, J. C., and W.-S. Wu, 1998:
The use of TOVS cloud-cleared radiances in the NCEP SSI analysis system.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, August 1998, 2287-2299.
DiMego, G. J., M. E. Baldwin, T. L.
Black, F. Chen, F. Mesinger, K. E. Mitchell, D. F. Parrish, E. Rogers, and
Q.-Y. Zhao, 1998: Enhancements to the operational ``Early'' Eta analysis and
forecast system at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction.
Preprint 12th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction,
78th AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix,
Arizona, 245-246.
Doranl, J., W. Roeder, Z. Toth, and
Y. Zhu, 1997: The AFGWC/45 WS/NCEP ensemble test: An operational point
verification of ensemble precipitation probability forecast. Preprint 12
th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 78th
AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona.
Du, 1998: A review on ensemble
forecasting (in Chinese, ``Asian Monsoon and Heavy Rain Events in China'').
Science Press in Beijing, September 1998.
Dudhia, J., J. Klemp, W. Skamarock,
D. Dempsey, Z. Janjic, S. Benjamin, and J. Brown, 1998: A collaborative
effort towards a future community mesoscale model (WRF). Preprint 12
th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 78th
AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 242-243.
Gartner, W. E., M. E. Baldwin, and N.
W. Junker, 1998: Regional analysis of quantitative precipitation forecasts
from NCEP's ``Early'' Eta and Meso Eta Models. Preprint 12th
Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, 78th AMS Annual
Meeting, January 12-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 187-189.
Gemmill, W. H., and V. M.
Krasnopolsky, 1998: Weather patterns over the ocean retrieved by neural
network multi-parameter algorithm from SSM/I. Proceedings of 5th
International Conference on Remote Sensing for Marine and Coastal Environment
, October 5-7, 1998, San Diego, California.
Grumbine, R. W., 1998: Virtual floe
ice drift forecast model intercomparison. Weather and Forecasting,
13, September 1998, 886-890.
Holt, B., A. K. Liu, D. W. Wang, A.
Gnanadesikan, and H.S. Chen, 1998: Tracking storm-generated waves in the
northeast Pacific Ocean with ERS-1 synthetic aperture radar imagery and buoys.
J. Geophys. Res., 103, no. c4, 7917-7929.
Hong, S. Y., H.-M. Juang, and Q.
Zhao, 1998: A precipitation physical package for the NCEP Regional Spectral
Model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 2621-2639.
____, and _____, 1998: Orography
blending in the lateral boundary of a regional model. Mon. Wea. Rev.,
126, June 1998, 1714-1718.
____, _____, and Q. Zhao, 1998:
Implementation of prognostic cloud scheme for a Regional Spectral Model.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, October 1998, 2621-2639.
____, and H.-L. Pan, 1998:
Convective trigger function for a mass-flux cumulus parameterization scheme.
Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, October 1998, 2600-2620.
Janjic, Z. I., T. L. Black, and G.
DiMego, 1998: Contributions toward development of a future community
mesoscale model (WRF). 12th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
, 78th AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona.
Ji, M., 1998: Impact of the TOGA
observing system on ocean initialization and ENSO prediction, Preprint 2
nd Symposium on Integrated Observing Systems, 78th
AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona.
__, D. W. Behringer, and A. Leetmaa,
1998: An improved coupled model for ENSO prediction and implications for
ocean initialization. Part II: The Coupled Model. Mon. Wea. Rev.,
126, April 1998, 1022-1034.
Juang, H.-M., 1998: The NCEP
mesoscale spectral model for small-scale and short-term predictions.
Preprint 12th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
, 78th AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix,
Arizona, 240-241.
_____, M. Iredell, and. R. Petersen,
1998: Experimental results of the North Atlantic aviation weather forecasts
by the NCEP Regional Spectral Model. Preprint 12th Conference
on Numerical Weather Prediction, 78th AMS Annual Meeting,
January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 197-198.
Kain, J. S., D. J. Stensrud, M. E.
Baldwin, and G. S. Manikin, 1998: A comparison of two convective
parameterization schemes in NCEP's Meso Eta model and the implications for
quantitative precipitation forecasting. Preprint 12th Conf. on
Numerical Wea. Prediction and Preprint 16th Conf. on Wea. Analysis
and Forecasting, 78th AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998,
Phoenix, Arizona.
____, M. E. Baldwin, D. J. Stensrud,
T. L. Black, and G. S. Manikin, 1998: Considerations for the implementation
of a convective parameterization scheme in an operational mesoscale model.
Preprint 12th Conf. on Numerical Wea. Prediction, 78
th AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 103-106.
Kalnay, E., and Z.-X. Pu, 1998:
Application of the quasi-inverse method to accelerate 4-D VAR. Preprint 12
th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 78th
AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona.
______, S. J. Lord, and R. D.
McPherson, 1998: Maturity of operational numerical weather prediction: medium
range. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 79, no.
12, December 1998, 2753-2769.
Kaplan, M. L., J. M. Egentowich,
Y.-L. Lin, A. J. Riordan, and R. A. Rozumalski, 1998: Observations and
numerical simulations of the generation and transport of a Central American
air mass into the southeastern U. S. prior to a tornado outbreak.
Preprint 16th Conf. on Wea. Analysis and Forecasting,
78th AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 314-319.
Kelley, J. G. W., L. C. Breaker, J.
L. Miller, B. Balasubramaniyan, and J. B. Zaitzeff, 1998: The importance of
salinity in estimating the circulation in coastal areas such as the shelf
region off Chesapeake Bay. Preprint Second Conference on Coastal
Atmospheric and Oceanic Prediction and Processes, 78th AMS
Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona.
______, H. J. Thiebaux, D. Chalikov,
and D. W. Behringer, 1998: Impact of data assimilation in the Coastal Ocean
Forecast System. Preprint Second Conference on Coastal Atmospheric and
Oceanic Prediction and Processes, 78th AMS Annual Meeting,
January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona.
Kocin, P. J., L. W. Uccellini, K. F.
Brill, and M. Zika, 1998: Northeast snowstorms: An update. Preprint 16
th Conf. on Wea. Analysis and Forecasting, 78th AMS
Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 421-423.
Kodama, K. R., and H.-M. H. Juang,
1998: An assessment of warm season regional spectral model forecasts for the
Hawaiian Islands. Preprint 12th Conf. on Numerical Wea. Prediction
, 78th AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix,
Arizona, 143-146.
Koren, V., Q.Y. Duan, J. Schaake, and
K. Mitchell, 1999: Validation of snow-frozen ground parameterization of the
Eta model. Preprint AMS 14th Hydrology Conference, January
10-15, 1999, Dallas, Texas.
Krasnopolsky, V. M., 1998: Neural
networks as a generic tool for satellite retrieval algorithm development and
for direct assimilation of satellite data into numerical models. Preprint 1
st Conference on Artificial Intelligence, AMS 78th
Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona.
____________, W. H. Gemmill, and L.
C. Breaker, 1998: A neural network multi-parameter algorithm for SSM/I ocean
retrievals: comparisons and validations. Proceedings of 5th
International Conference on Remote Sensing for Marine and Coastal Environment
, October 5-7, 1998, San Diego, California.
____________, 1998: GOES-8 imagery
as a new source of data to conduct ocean feature tracking. Proceedings of 5
th International Conference on Remote Sensing for Marine and
Coastal Environment, October 5-7, 1998, San Diego, California.
____________, 1998: Validation of
coastal sea and lake surface temperature measurements derived from NOAA/AVHRR
data. Proceedings of 5th International Conference on Remote
Sensing for Marine and Coastal Environment, October 5-7, 1998,
San Diego, California.
____________, 1998: Weather patterns
over the ocean retrieved by neural network multi-parameter algorithm from
SSM/I. Proceedings of 5th International Conference on Remote
Sensing for Marine and Coastal Environment, October 5-7, 1998,
San Diego, California.
Kumar, A., and M. P. Hoerling, 1998:
Specification of regional sea surface temperatures in atmospheric general
circulation model simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research,
103, April 1998, 8901-8907.
_____, and ________, 1998: Annual
cycle of Pacific-North American seasonal predictability associated with
different phases of ENSO. Journal of Climate, 11, December
1998, 3295-3308.
Li, X., W. G. Pichel, P.
Clemente-Colón, and V. Krasnopolsky, 1998: Validation of coastal sea
and lake surface temperature measurements derived from NOAA/AVHRR data.
Proceedings of 5th International Conference on Remote Sensing
for Marine and Coastal Environment, October 5-7, 1998, San Diego, California.
Lin, Y., K. E. Mitchell, E. Rogers,
and M. E. Baldwin, 1998: Assimilation of real-time, multi-sensor hourly
precipitation observations into the NCEP Eta Model. Preprint 12th
Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 78th AMS
Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 174-175.
Maes, C., 1998: Estimating the
influence of salinity on sea level anomaly in the ocean. Geophysical
Research Letters, October 1998, 3551-3554.
Manikin, G. S., K. E. Mitchell, and
D. J. Stensrud, 1998: The impact of a cold pool initialization scheme on a
QPF forecast using the NCEP Mesoscale Model. Preprint 16th
Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, 78th AMS Annual
Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 121-123.
_______, ________, ________, J. S.
Kain, J. Gerrity, and M. E. Baldwin, 1998: Convective scheme tests on the
coastal precipitation bias in the NCEP Eta Model. Preprint 12th
Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 78th AMS
Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 107-110.
Marshall, C., K. Crawford, K.
Mitchell, D. Stensrud, and F. Carr, 1999: Evaluation of the new land-surface
and planetary boundary layer parameterization schemes in the NCEP mesoscale
Eta model using Oklahoma Mesonet observations. Preprint AMS 14th
Conference on Hydrology, January 10-15, 1999, Dallas, Texas.
Masutani, M., K. Campana, and S.
Lord, 1999: The observing system simulation experiments for NPOESS.
Preprint 3rd Symposium on Integrated Observing Systems,
January 10-15, 1999, Dallas, Texas.
Mathur, M. B., K. F. Brill, and C. J.
Seaman, 1999: Evolution of slantwise vertical motions in NCEP's mesoscale Eta
model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 5-25.
Mesinger, F., 1998: Quantitative
precipitation forecasts of the ``early'' Eta Model: An update.
Preprint 16th Conf. on Wea. Analysis and Forecasting,
78th AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix,
Arizona, 184-186.
________, 1998: Comparison of
quantitative precipitation forecasts by the 48- and by the 29-km Eta Model:
An update and possible implications. Preprint 12th Conf. on
Numerical Wea. Prediction and Preprint 16th Conf. on Wea. Analysis
and Forecasting, 78th AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998,
Phoenix, Arizona.
________, 1998: Performance of the
48-km Eta in forecasting tracks of major landfalling Atlantic hurricanes of
the 1966 season, Bertha and Fran. Preprints, Symposium on the Research
Foci of the U.S. Weather Research Program, 78th AMS Annual
Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 526-528.
Mitchell, K., J. Schaake, D. Tarpley,
F. Chen, Y. Lin, M. Baldwin, R. Rogers, G. Manikin, A. Betts, Z. Janjic, Q.
Duan, and V. Koren, 1999: Recent GCIP advancements in coupled land-surface
modeling and data assimilation in the NCEP mesoscale Eta model. Preprint 14
th Conference on Hydrology, January 10-15, 1999, Dallas, Texas.
________, G. DiMego, T. Black, E.
Rogers, M. Baldwin, Z. Janjic, F. Mesinger, G. Manikin, and J. Gerrity, 1998:
Recent Eta Model advancements at NCEP and recommended USWRP initiatives in
modeling deep convection in mesoscale NWP models. Preprint Symposium on
Research Foci of the US Weather Research Program, 78th AMS
Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona.
________, F. Chen, M. Baldwin, J.
Schaake, Q. Duan, E. Rogers, Y. Lin, K. Brill, and G. Manikin, 1998: Recent
land-surface modeling advancements in the NCEP Mesoscale Eta Model and
relevance to air pollution applications. Preprint 10th Joint
Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the Air &
Waste Management Assoc., 78th AMS Annual Meeting, January
11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona.
Pu, Z-X., S. J. Lord, and E. Kalnay,
1999: Forecast error sensitivity and adaptive observations with the
quasi-inverse linear and adjoint NCEP global models. Preprint 3rd
Symposium on Integrated Observing Systems, January 10-15, 1999,
Dallas, Texas.
__, E. Kalnay, and Z. Toth, 1998:
Application of the quasi-inverse linear and adjoint NCEP global models to
targeted observations during FASTEX. Preprint 12th Conference
on Numerical Weather Prediction, 78th AMS Annual Meeting,
January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona.
__, S. J. Lord, and E. Kalnay, 1998:
Targeted observations: forecast sensitivity experiments with USAF
dropwindsonde data in the NE Pacific Ocean in February of 1995. Preprint 12
th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 78th
AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona.
__, ____, and _____, 1998: Forecast
sensitivity with dropwind- sonde data and targeted observations.
Tellus, 50A, 391-410.
Randall, D., J. Curry, D. Battisti,
G. Flato, R. Grumbine, S. Hakkinen, D. Martinson, R. Preller, J. Weatherly,
1998: Status of and outlook for large-scale modeling of atmosphere-ice-ocean
interactions in the Arctic. Bulletin the American Meteorological
Society, 79, 197-219.
Reynolds, R. W., 1999: Differences in
sea surface temperature analyses produced by different methods - implications
for climate studies. Preprint 3rd Symposium on Integrated
Observing Systems, January 10-15, 1999, Dallas, Texas.
________, D. C. Stokes, F. Vossepoel,
and G. Wick, 1998: ENSO observing and analysis systems for sea surface
temperatures and salinities. Preprint 2nd Symposium on
Integrated Observing Systems, 78th AMS Annual Meeting, January
11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona.
Rogers, R., D. Parrish, and G.
DiMego, 1998: Data assimilation experiments with the regional 3-d variational
analysis at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction. Preprint 12
th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 78th
AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 32-33.
Rozumalski, R. A., and M. L. Kaplan,
1998: Geostrophic adjustment, explosive cyclogenesis, and the initialization
of mesoscale numerical simulation models. Preprint 12th Conf.
on Numerical Wea. Prediction, 78th AMS Annual Meeting, January
11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 91-93.
Rutledge, G. K., V. Baer, G. DiMego,
and J. Hayes, 1998: A user-driven data requirements and assessment approach
for AWIPS/NOAAPORT. Preprint 14th Int'l. Conf. on Int. Info.
& Proc. Sys. for Meteor., Ocean. and Hydro., 78th AMS
Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 392-395.
Seaman, N. L., S. A. Michelson, P. C.
Shafran, and D. R. Stauffer, 1998: Forecasts of severe squall-line
development in MM5 using explicit moist physics at 4-km resolution. Preprint
12th Conf. on Numerical Wea. Prediction and Preprint 16th
Conf. on Wea. Analysis and Forecasting, January 11-16, 1998,
Phoenix, Arizona.
Shafran, P. C., and N. L Seaman,
1998: Comparison of numerical predictions of boundary-layer structure over
the midwest during the Lake Michigan Ozone Study (LMOS). Preprint 10
th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution
Meteorology with the Air & Waste Management Assoc., 78th
AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 349-353.
Sindic-Rancic, G., Z. Toth, and E.
Kalnay, 1998: Storm scale ensemble experiments with the ARPS model:
Preliminary results. Preprint 12th Conference on Numerical
Weather Prediction, 78th AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16,
1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 279-280.
Stensrud, D., G. Manikin, E. Rogers,
and K. Mitchell, 1998: Importance of cold pools to mesoscale model forecasts.
Preprint 16th Conf. on Wea. Analysis and Forecasting, 78
th AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 153-156.
Szunyogh, I., Z. Toth, S. Majumdar.
R. Morss, C. Bishop, and S. Lord, 1999: Ensemble-based targeted observations
during NORPEX. Preprint 3rd Symposium on Integrated Observing Systems
, January 10-15, 1999, Dallas, Texas.
Tolman, H. L., 1998: Effects of
observation errors in linear regression and-average analyses. Quart. J.
Roy. Meteor. Soc., 124, 897-917.
______, 1998: A new global wave
forecast system at NCEP. Ocean Wave Measurements and Analysis, Eds. B.
L. Edge and J. M. Helmsey, ASCE, 777-786.
______, L. C. Bender, and W. L. Neu,
1998: Comments on: The Goddard coastal wave model. Part I: Numerical method.
J. Phys. Oceanogr., 28, 1287-1290.
______, W. L. Neu, and L. C. Bender,
1998: Comments on: the The Goddard coastal wave model. Part II: Kinematics.
J. Phys. Oceanogr., 28, 1305-1308.
Toth, Z., I. Szunyogh, K. Emanuel, C.
Snyder, J. Woollen, W. Wu, T. Marchok, R. Morss, and C. Bishop, 1998:
Ensemble-based targeted observations during FASTEX. Preprint 12th
Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 78th AMS
Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona.
____, Y. Zhu, E. Kalnay, and S.
Tracton, 1998: Probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts based on
the NCEP global ensemble. Preprint 14th International
Conference on IIPS, 78th AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16,
1998, Phoenix, Arizona.
____, ___, T. Marchok, S. Tracton,
and E. Kalnay, 1998: Verification of the NCEP global ensemble forecasts.
Preprint 12th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
, 78th AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona.
Tracton, M. S., J. Du, Z. Toth, and
H.-M. Juang, 1998: Short Range Ensemble Forecasting (SREF) at NCEP/EMC.
Preprint 12th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
, 78th AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix,
Arizona, 269-272.
_______, and __, 1998: Short-range
ensemble forecasting (SREF) at NCEP/EMC. Research Activities in
Atmospheric and Oceanic Modeling. Ed. A. Staniforth, Report 27, CAS/JSC
Working Group Numerical Experimentation (WGNE), WMO/TD-No. 865, 5.58-5.59.
_______, and __, 1998: SREF at NCEP.
Proceedings of the 6th Workshop on Meteorological Operational Systems
, November 1998, Reading, England, 7 pp.
Vergara, J. A., H.-M. H. Juang, and
S.-Y. Hong, 1998: An evaluation of the regional forecasting for Chile-South
America. Preprint 12th Conf. on Numerical Wea. Prediction
, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 151-154.
Wang, W., and A. Kumar, 1998: A GCM
assessment of atmospheric seasonal predictability associated with soil
moisture anomalies over North America. Journal of Geophysical Research
, 103, November 1998, 28,637-28,646.
White, G., and A. daSilva, 1998: An
intercomparison of surface marine fluxes from GEOS-I/DAS, ECMWF/ERA and
NCEP/NCAR fluxes. Preprint 12th Conference on Numerical Weather
Prediction, 78th AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix,
Arizona.
_____, R. Kistler, S. Lord, and S.
Saha, 1998: The NCEP/NCAR reanalysis and TOGA/COARE. Preprint 12th
Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 78th AMS
Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix, Arizona.
Young, C. K., H.-M. H. Juang, and
S.-Y. Hong, 1998: Predictability experiments on the severe weather events
over the Korean Peninsula using the NCEP Regional Spectral Model. Preprint
12th Conf. on Numerical Wea. Prediction, January 11-16, 1998,
Phoenix, Arizona, 81-83.
Yu, T.-W., 1998: Use of satellite
ocean surface winds in NCEP real-time operational analyses and forecasts.
Preprint, Western Pacific Geophysical Meeting of the AGU, Suppl to AGU
EOS Trans, 79, No. 24, p W36.
Yucel, I., W. J. Shuttleworth, J.
Washburne, and F. Chen, 1998: Evaluating NCEP Eta model-derived data against
observations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 1977-1991.
Zhao, Q.-Y., T. L. Black, Y. Hou, and
K. A. Campana, 1998: Improving the shortwave radiation calculations in the
Eta Model at NCEP. Preprint 12th Conference on Numerical Weather
Prediction, 78th AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16, 1998, Phoenix,
Arizona, 199-200.
____, _____, G. DiMego, R. Aune, Y.
Lin, M. E. Baldwin, E. Rogers, and K. A. Campana, 1998: Assimilating cloud
and precipitation observations into the Eta Model to improve cloud and
precipitation forecasts. Preprint 12th Conference on Numerical
Weather Prediction, 78th AMS Annual Meeting, January 11-16,
1998, Phoenix, Arizona, 179-180.
Zhu, Y., E. Rogers, P. Shafran, and
S. J. Lord, 1999: NAOS experiments on the U. S. upper air observing system
using NCEP global and regional forecast system. Preprint 3rd
Symposium on Integrated Observing Systems, January 10-15, 1999, Dallas, Texas.
TDL
Antolik, M. S., 1998: Eta-based MOS
quantitative precipitation forecasts in an era of rapidly changing numerical
models: How well can we do? Preprints 16th
Conference on Weather Analysis
and Forecasting, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 446-449.
Calkins, J. E., M. R. Peroutka, R. K.
Meiggs, and J. Lang, 1998: Creating NOAA Weather Radio broadcast scripts
using Interactive Forecast Preparation. Preprints 14th International
Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology,
Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., pp. 355-358.
Charba, J. P., 1998: Evaluation of
LAMP quantitative precipitation forecasts. Preprints 16th
Conference on
Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 440-442.
_____, Y. Liu, M. H. Hollar,
B. Exley, and A. Belayachi, 1998: Gridded climatic monthly frequencies of
precipitation amount for 1-, 3-, and 6-h periods over the conterminous United
States. Wea. Forecasting, 13, 25-57.
Churma, M. E., and S. B. Smith, 1998:
Evaluation of the AWIPS thunderstorm product. Preprints 16th
Conference
on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 472-474.
Kelly, D.S., and J. E. Ghirardelli,
1998: A general overview of methodology and applications of the Local AWIPS
MOS Program (LAMP), a short-range forecast guidance product. Preprints
16th Conference on
Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 437-439.
Kitzmiller, D. H., 1998:
Probabilistic 0-3 hour rainfall forecasts from a satellite
extrapolative-statistical technique. Preprints 16th
Conference on Weather
Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 453-455.
Mannarano, D., and R. Beasley, 1998:
Quality control of ASOS observations. Preprints 14th International
Conference on Inter active Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for
Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc.,
487- 491.
Meiggs, R. K., M. R. Peroutka, and D.
P. Ruth, 1998: Implementing Interactive Forecast Preparation nationwide.
Preprints 14th International Conference on Interactive Information and
Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology,
Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 359-363.
Peroutka, M. R., R. K. Meiggs, and M.
B. Romberg, 1998: The generation of products in Interactive Forecast
Preparation. Preprints 14th International Conference on Interactive
Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology
, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 350-354.
Ruth, D. P., 1998: Model
interpretation using slider bars in Interactive Forecast Preparation.
Preprints 14th International Conference on Interactive Information and
Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology,
Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 464-468.
_____, M. A. Mathewson, T. J.
LeFebvre, and P. K. Wu, 1998: Interpretation and editing techniques for Interactive
Forecast Preparation. Preprints 14th International Conference
on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology,
Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 345-349.
Saffle, R., J. Cappelletti, W.
Carrigg, T. Ganger, M. Jain, D. Miller, and S. B. Smith, 1998: Accelerating
the integration of new meteorological algorithms into the WSR-88D-The Common
Operations and Development Environment. Preprints 14th International
Conference on Interactive Information and Processing Systems
(IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Phoenix, Amer.
Meteor. Soc., 254-258.
Silverman, A. M., R. W. Przybylinski,
and D. H. Kitzmiller, 1998: Derived WSR-88D products and environmental
indicies as severe weather predictors - a statistical evaluation.
Preprints 19th Conference on Severe Local Storms,
Minneapolis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 744-747.
Smith, S. B., G. W. Reuter, and M. K.
Yau, 1998: The episodic occurrence of hail in Central Alberta and Highveld of
South Africa. Atmosphere-Ocean, 36-2, 169-178.
_____, J. T. Johnson, R. D. Roberts,
S. M. Zubrick, and S. J. Weiss, 1998: The System for Convection Analysis and
Nowcasting Field Test 1997-98.
Preprints 19th Conference on Severe Local Storms,
Minneapolis, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 790-793.
_____, T. M. Graziano, R. A. Lane, W.
O. Alexander, M. D. Eilts, J. T. Johnson, J. W. Wilson, R. D. Roberts, D. W.
Burgess, D. H. Kitzmiller, R. E. Saffle, R. C. Elvander, S. M. Zubrick, J. T.
Schaefer, S. J. Weiss, and D. A. Imy, 1998: The System for Convection
Analysis and Nowcasting (SCAN). Preprints 16th
Conference on Weather
Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J22-24.
NCEP OFFICE NOTES
422 "Structural Preconditioning in Optimal Analysis"
(Purser)
423 "Complex Quality Control of Rawinsonde Heights and
Temperatures at the National Meteorological Center:
Quality Control of Mandatory Level Data"
(Collins, Gandin)
TDL OFFICE NOTES
98-1 "Packing of radar mosaics" (Glahn)
98-2 "A proposal for a new generation of centralized
statistical quantitative precipitation forecast
guidance products" (Antolik)
98-3 "Packing of individual radar products" (Antolik)
TDL EXTENDED ABSTRACTS
Battel, G., J. P. Tuell, G. Trojan,
S. Romano, and B. Baxter, 1998: Generating automated weather summaries in the
AWIPS era. Abstracts National Weather Association 23rd
Annual Meeting Program, Norman, Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page number).
Tuell, J. P., B. Baxter, D. Zipper,
and G. Battel, 1998: Generating automated climatological summaries in the
AWIPS era. Abstracts National Weather Association 23rd
Annual Meeting Program, Norman, Nat. Wea. Assoc., (no page number).
OMB CONTRIBUTIONS
151 "User manual and system documentation of WAVEWATCH-III
version 1.15" (Tolman)
154 "A multi-parameter empirical ocean algorithm for SSM/I
retrievals" (Krasnopolsky, Gemmill, Breaker)
158 "NCEP standards for operational codes and implementation"
(Peters)
164 "Impact on NCEP numerical weather prediction of omitting
Marine ship data" (Yu)
NCEP SEMINARS
January 6 "Single Column, Cloud Resolving and GCM Simulations
of GATE, TOGA-COARE and Monsoon Systems Using
a Prognostic Cloud Microphysics Parameterization"
Das [Universities of Space Research Association])
January 20 "Stormwatch 97-98: Estimating Coastal Winds with
Radarsat" (Beal [The Johns Hopkins University])
January 27 "Linear Myths and Nonlinear Realities in a Theory of
Surface Gravity Waves" (Chalikov)
February 3 "Air-sea Fluxes from Reanalyses" (White)
February 10 "An Evaluation of NCEP RSM for Regional Climate
Modeling" (Hong)
February 20 "Comparisons of Atmospheric Model Products with
Observations of the Coastal Mising and Optics
Experiment" (Baumgartner, Anderson [WHOI])
February 24 "Weather Information Support for the Winter Olympics"
(Kelley [NOS])
March 3 "Interaction Between Boundary Layer Convection, and
Grid-resolvable Precipitation Physics in the NCEP
Spectral Models" (Hong)
March 12 "The U.S. Weather Research Program: What Shall We Do
With It?" (Lord)
March 17 "Simulation of TOGA-COARE Convective Systems using
Single-column and cloud-resolving Models"
(Tao [NASA/GSFC])
March 24 "Statistical Properties of Cross-calibration Tables
Constructed from Empirical Distribution Functions"
(Crosby [NESDIS])
March 31 "Cascade Interpolation Schemes for Semi-Lagrangian
Advection"
(Nair [Recherche en prevision numerique])
April 7 "Dynamical Mechanisms of the 1995 California Floods"
(Masutani)
April 10 "Current Status and Future Plans of Very Short-range
Precipitation Forecast at Japan Meteorological
Agency" (Yamada [JMA])
April 10 "Very Fine Scale Local Numerical Weather Prediction
at JMA" (Muroi [JMA])
April 14 "Stratospheric Data Assimilation"
(Swinbank [NASA/GSFC])
April 16 "High Resolution Numerical Weather Prediction of
Precipitation over the Pacific Northwest: An
Evaluation of Performance of the Eta and MM5"
(Mass [Univ. Washington])
April 28 "NOAA's Role in the TWA Flight 800 Investigation"
(De Bow [Office of Coast Survey])
May 19 "Evaluation of the New Land-surface Scheme in the
NCEP Mesoscale Eta Model Using Oklahoma Mesonet
Observations" (Marshall)
May 28 "Wind Profiler Measurements Compared to Eta Model
Output" (Angevine [NOAA Aeronomy Lab])
June 2 "Marine Weather from Space, With or Without a GCM"
(Brown [Univ. Washington])
June 12 "Recent Developments in Assimilation of Satellite
Data with 4DVAR at ECMWF" (Saunders [ECMWF])
June 23 "ERA-40 Plans and Progress; and the 1986 Problem:
Impact of Observing System Changes on ERA-15"
(Fiorino [ECMWF])
August 25 "Do Present-day Land-surface Models in Weather
Prediction and Climate Models Represent the Land
Surface?" (Lohmann [Princeton Univ.])
September 1 "Interactions of the Land-Surface with the
Atmospheric Boundary Layer: A Case Study at Cabauw,
Netherlands" (Ek [Oregon State Univ.])
September 22 "Interannual Variability of Atlantic Tropical
Cyclone Activity" (Chen)
September 29 "Reflections of an NCEP Acting Director, At Three
Months" (Hoke)
October 6 "The Impact of Long Wave Radiative Forcing on
Climate: A Global and Regional Perspective"
(Baer [Univ. Maryland])
November 19 "Estimation Theory and the Importance of Physical
Understanding in Data Assimilation" (Xu [NRL])
December 15 "Analysis Intercomparison and Verification of NCEP
and ECMWF Models"
(Silverberg [Northern Illinois Univ.])
December 18 "A New Method of Assimilation of a Realistic Strong
Continuous Gulf Stream Current in Initial Data for
a Forecast with the Princeton ocean Model"
(Falkovich)