Tropical Storm PALOMA

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TROPICAL STORM PALOMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172008
1500 UTC THU NOV 06 2008
 
AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NICARAGUA NORTHWARD TO LIMON HONDURAS.  THIS WATCH COULD BE
DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.
 
INTERESTS IN CUBA AND JAMAICA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  82.3W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  82.3W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  82.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 16.3N  82.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.3N  82.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.3N  82.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.3N  82.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 20.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 85NE  85SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE 110SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 22.5N  76.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 25.0N  73.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N  82.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH
 
 
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