Tropical Storm BERTHA

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TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  52
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
0300 UTC WED JUL 16 2008
 
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N  61.6W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT.......110NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N  61.6W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.7N  61.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 36.9N  61.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 36.0N  60.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  75SE  75SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 34.7N  59.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  75SE  75SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 34.0N  57.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  75SE  75SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 36.5N  52.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 40.0N  48.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 44.5N  42.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.8N  61.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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